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Our prediction accuracy in numbers

AI predictions Accuracy Season forecast Prediction contest Contest results

We freeze each match’s prediction before kick-off, then compare it to the actual result — so accuracy is only counted on genuine pre-match predictions, with no later edits. A prediction is “correct” if the favoured outcome (win/draw) matched the result.

42%
Overall winner accuracy
310 of 731 predictions correct
44%Accuracy of last 100 matches
731Predictions evaluated
0.669Brier score
2026/06/29Tracking since
📊 Accuracy by confidence
High confidence (60%+)45%
38 of 84
Medium confidence (45–59%)38%
35 of 92
Low confidence (under 45%)43%
237 of 555

The more confident the engine, the higher its accuracy — a sign the probabilities are meaningful.

🎲 Accuracy by prediction type
Home win44%
284 of 650
Draw14%
2 of 14
Away win36%
24 of 67
📜 Latest evaluated results
✓ Santos 4:2 UCV Our pick: Santos win (63%) ✕ Cavalry FC 1:1 Supra du Quebec Our pick: Cavalry FC win (86%) ✕ Rosario Central 0:0 Racing Club Our pick: Rosario Central win (45%) ✓ Argentinos JRS 3:0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Our pick: Argentinos JRS win (75%) ✓ St Ives Town 3:2 Bishop's Stortford Our pick: St Ives Town win (40%) ✕ Cray Valley PM 2:3 Ebbsfleet United Our pick: Cray Valley PM win (40%) ✓ Bromsgrove Sporting 3:0 Malvern Town Our pick: Bromsgrove Sporting win (40%) ✓ Worthing 2:1 Brighton U21 Our pick: Worthing win (40%) ✕ Mérida AD 0:2 Al-Nassr Our pick: Mérida AD win (40%) ✓ Mladost Ždralovi 2:0 Inter Zapresic Our pick: Mladost Ždralovi win (40%) ✓ MC Oran 3:0 Muaither SC Our pick: MC Oran win (40%) ✕ Eastbourne United 0:4 Hastings United Our pick: Eastbourne United win (40%) ✕ Kozuv Gevgelija 0:2 Belasica Our pick: Kozuv Gevgelija win (40%) ✓ Rouen 1:0 Al Wakrah Our pick: Rouen win (40%) ✕ South Park 2:2 Kingstonian Our pick: South Park win (40%) ✓ Merthyr Town 3:0 Swansea Our pick: Merthyr Town win (40%) ✓ Worksop Town 1:0 Mickleover Sports Our pick: Worksop Town win (40%) ✕ Ramsbottom United 1:3 Bamber Bridge Our pick: Ramsbottom United win (40%) ✕ Nantwich Town 0:3 Chester Our pick: Nantwich Town win (40%) ✓ Felixstowe & Walton Utd 2:1 Braintree Our pick: Felixstowe & Walton Utd win (40%)