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◷ 16:00 · 2026/07/29 · Club Friendlies
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# Hoffenheim Look to Extend Dominance Against Kiel in Friendly

Hoffenheim welcome Holstein Kiel to their stadium in a friendly encounter that offers both sides valuable preparation time. The hosts have enjoyed complete superiority in their recent head-to-head record, winning all three of their previous meetings against Kiel without conceding a draw. Despite mixed recent form—with one victory and one defeat in their last two outings—Hoffenheim enter as clear favourites and will be eager to maintain their perfect record against their opponents. Kiel, meanwhile, arrive in inconsistent shape after claiming two wins in their last five games, though they have shown they can compete at this level.

This fixture has all the hallmarks of an entertaining encounter with goals likely at both ends. Hoffenheim's attacking prowess and home advantage position them as the favourites, yet Kiel's ability to threaten going forward means they cannot be discounted entirely. The data suggests a match that could easily produce over two and a half goals, with Hoffenheim either edging a close contest or settling for a share of the spoils representing the most probable outcomes. A vintage Hoffenheim victory remains the likeliest result, but smart punters may find value in backing the hosts or a draw combined with a goals-heavy scoreline.

Match info
Date
2026/07/29 · 16:00
Round
Club Friendlies
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AI prediction
🧠 The model favours 1899 Hoffenheim at 40%.
1899 Hoffenheim 40% Draw 27% Holstein Kiel 33%
1899 Hoffenheim 0% Draw 0% Holstein Kiel 0%
Vote your prediction:
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
41% 27% 32%
1899 Hoffenheim 41% Draw 27% Holstein Kiel 32%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
1899 Hoffenheim Holstein Kiel
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
30%
Team strength
100%
H2H
30%Strength70%
40%Attacking strength60%
67%Defensive strength33%
38%Poisson distribution62%
100%Head-to-head0%
73%Expected goals27%
70%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : 1899 Hoffenheim or draw and +2.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 3
31899 Hoffenheim win
0Draw
0Holstein Kiel win
2025/01/18 Holstein Kiel 1 : 3 1899 Hoffenheim
2024/08/24 1899 Hoffenheim 3 : 2 Holstein Kiel
2021/10/26 1899 Hoffenheim 5 : 1 Holstein Kiel
Key events
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Lineup
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