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Finished · Club Friendlies
📝 Match Recap AI

# Charleroi Edges Past Seraing United in Friendly Encounter

Charleroi secured a narrow two-one victory over Seraing United in a friendly match that played out largely as expected given the pre-match predictions. The home side's forty percent win probability proved justified as they converted their chances more effectively than their visitors, who nonetheless made a competitive game of it. Seraing United's thirty-three percent chance of winning meant the result was not a complete shock, though they will rue missed opportunities that could have altered the outcome.

The match was decided by Charleroi's superior finishing and control in key moments, with the hosts managing to hold off a determined Seraing United side that pulled one back to set up a tense finale. While the pre-match model suggested this could have gone any number of ways given the relatively balanced probabilities, Charleroi's ability to impose their game plan proved the difference in the end. It was a competitive friendly that delivered exactly the kind of result the data had indicated was most likely, with neither side putting in an exceptional performance but Charleroi doing just enough to claim bragging rights.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 16:30
Round
Club Friendlies
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Charleroi at 40%.
🤖 AI won
Charleroi 40% Draw 27% Seraing United 33%
Charleroi 0% Draw 0% Seraing United 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Charleroi 100% Draw 0% Seraing United 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
Charleroi Seraing United
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
60%
H2H
50%Strength50%
70%Attacking strength30%
57%Defensive strength43%
87%Poisson distribution13%
60%Head-to-head40%
57%Expected goals43%
50%
Team strength
40%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Winner : Charleroi and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 6
4Charleroi win
0Draw
2Seraing United win
2023/02/11 Charleroi 3 : 0 Seraing United
2022/11/08 Seraing United 4 : 1 Charleroi
2022/08/13 Seraing United 0 : 1 Charleroi
2022/07/08 Charleroi 1 : 2 Seraing United
2022/02/04 Charleroi 2 : 0 Seraing United
2021/10/22 Seraing United 1 : 3 Charleroi
Key events
No events recorded yet — they appear here during and after the match.
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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