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Finished · International Friendlies
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/06/07 · 20:00
Round
Friendly International
Stadium
Ohio Stadium — Columbus
Referee
Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava
AI predictionExpected goals 1.3 : 1.1
🧠 The model favours Ecuador at 43%, with expected goals 1-1.
🤖 AI won
Ecuador 43% Draw 27% Guatemala 30%
Ecuador 0% Draw 0% Guatemala 0%
0 votes
Confidence 32% Low confidence
Most likely score 1 - 1 13%
Both teams to score 49% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 57%
Over 2.5 43%Under 2.5 57%
Win Probability
100%
Ecuador 100% Draw 0% Guatemala 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
Ecuador Guatemala
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
100%
Team strength
100%
H2H
100%Strength0%
80%Attacking strength20%
79%Defensive strength21%
94%Poisson distribution6%
100%Head-to-head0%
100%Expected goals0%
0%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Winner : Ecuador
Head-to-head Last 2
2Ecuador win
0Draw
0Guatemala win
2024/03/22 Ecuador 2 : 0 Guatemala
2018/09/12 Ecuador 2 : 0 Guatemala
Key events
🟨José Morales
Yellow Card
18'
⚽J. Caicedo
Goal (Penalty)
19'
🟨Jackson Porozo
Yellow Card
33'
🟨Alan Franco
Yellow Card
44'
🔄A. Preciado⟵A. Minda
Substitution
46'
🔄P. Hincapie⟵F. Torres
Substitution
46'
🔄J. Ordonez⟵A. Franco
Substitution
46'
🔄P. Vite⟵K. Paez
Substitution
46'
🔄M. Caicedo⟵J. Alcivar
Substitution
46'
🔄J. Mendez⟵W. Fajardo
Substitution
46'
🟨Pedro Vite
Yellow Card
56'
🔄N. Angulo⟵J. Caicedo
Substitution
60'
🔄J. Yeboah⟵A. Valencia
Substitution
60'
🔄O. Escobar⟵M. Evans
Substitution
67'
🔄A. Ordonez⟵D. Lom
Substitution
67'
⚽N. Angulo
goals
73'
🔄G. Plata⟵J. Arevalo
Substitution
74'
🔄G. Valle⟵H. Galindez
Substitution
77'
🔄P. Estupinan⟵Y. Medina
Substitution
77'
⚽P. Estupinan
goals
78'
🔄A. Recinos⟵M. Hernandez
Substitution
79'
🔄K. Ramirez⟵J. Franco
Substitution
87'
🔄O. Castellanos⟵J. Rosales
Substitution
87'
Lineup
1
▾
H. Galindez 6.3
2
▾
F. Torres 7.2
25
J. Porozo 7.3
21
▾
A. Franco 7.3
26
▾
Y. Medina 6.9
8
▾
A. Valencia 7.2
5
▾
J. Alcivar 7
14
▾
A. Minda 7.6
24
▾
J. Arevalo 7
16
⚽ ▾
J. Caicedo 7
10
▾
K. Paez 6.6
1
N. Hagen 5.2
16
J. Morales 5.3
3
N. Samayoa 6.2
4
J. Pinto 6.5
23
▾
M. Hernandez 7.3
7
A. Herrera 6.2
19
▾
W. Fajardo 6.9
22
▾
J. Franco 6.5
5
▾
J. Rosales 6.7
8
▾
M. Evans 6.9
14
▾
D. Lom 6.2
Ecuador 3-4-1-2
Substitutes
46′ ▲17 7.5 A. Preciado ▾ A. Minda 46′ ▲3 6.6 P. Hincapie ▾ F. Torres 46′ ▲4 7.2 J. Ordonez ▾ A. Franco 46′ ▲15 7.2 P. Vite ▾ K. Paez 46′ ▲23 7 M. Caicedo ▾ J. Alcivar 60′ ▲20 7.5 N. Angulo ▾ J. Caicedo 60′ ▲9 6.5 J. Yeboah ▾ A. Valencia 74′ ▲19 6.7 G. Plata ▾ J. Arevalo 77′ ▲22 6.3 G. Valle ▾ H. Galindez 77′ ▲7 7.6 P. Estupinan ▾ Y. Medina
Coaching staff
Sebastian Beccacece Manager
Bench
12 M. Ramirez GK
Guatemala 5-4-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲15 6.3 J. Mendez ▾ W. Fajardo 67′ ▲20 6.7 O. Escobar ▾ M. Evans 67′ ▲10 6.5 A. Ordonez ▾ D. Lom 79′ ▲24 A. Recinos ▾ M. Hernandez 87′ ▲6 K. Ramirez ▾ J. Franco 87′ ▲17 O. Castellanos ▾ J. Rosales
Coaching staff
Fernando Tena Luis Manager
Bench
12 L. Moran GK 13 J. Bantes FWD 2 J. Ardon DEF 18 O. Santis FWD 9 D. Mendez
Player rating API-Football
Ecuador
14
Alan Minda
MID · 45′
7.6
7
Pervis Estupiñán
DEF · 13′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.6
17
Ángelo Preciado
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
7.5
20
Nilson Angulo
FWD · 30′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.5
21
Alan Franco
DEF · 45′ · 🟨
7.3
25
Jackson Porozo
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
7.3
2
Félix Torres
DEF · 45′
7.2
8
Anthony Valencia
MID · 60′
7.2
4
Joel Ordóñez
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
7.2
15
Pedro Vite
MID · 45′ · 🟨 · Substitute
7.2
5
Jordy Alcivar
MID · 45′
7
24
Jeremy Arevalo
FWD · 74′
7
16
Jordy Caicedo
FWD · 60′ · ⚽1
7
23
Moisés Caicedo
MID · 45′ · Substitute
7
26
Yaimar Medina
MID · 77′
6.9
19
Gonzalo Plata
FWD · 16′ · Substitute
6.7
10
Kendry Páez
FWD · 45′
6.6
3
Piero Hincapié
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
6.6
9
John Yeboah
FWD · 30′ · Substitute
6.5
1
Hernán Galíndez C
GK · 77′
6.3
22
Gonzalo Valle
GK · 13′ · Substitute
6.3
12
Moisés Ramírez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
Guatemala
23
Marcelo Hernández
DEF · 79′
7.3
8
Matthew Evans
MID · 67′
6.9
19
William Jehú Fajardo
MID · 45′
6.9
5
José Rosales
MID · 87′
6.7
20
Olger Escobar
FWD · 23′ · Substitute
6.7
24
Arian Recinos
DEF · 11′ · Substitute
6.6
4
José Pinto C
DEF · 90′
6.5
22
Jonathan Franco
MID · 87′
6.5
10
Arquímides Ordóñez
FWD · 23′ · Substitute
6.5
15
Jhon Méndez
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.3
7
Aaron Herrera
DEF · 90′
6.2
3
Nicolás Samayoa
DEF · 90′
6.2
14
Darwin Lom
FWD · 67′
6.2
16
José Morales
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
5.3
1
Nicholas Hagen
GK · 90′
5.2
17
Oscar Castellanos
MID · 3′ · Substitute
—
6
Kevin Ramirez
MID · 3′ · Substitute
—
12
Luis Morán
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
2
José Ardón
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
18
Óscar Santis
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
9
Daniel Méndez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
13
Jefry Bantes
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Ecuador × Guatemala
33% Shot Accuracy
91% Pass Accuracy
66% Possession
Ecuador Guatemala
18Shots3
6Shots on Target0
7Shots off Target2
13Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
740Passes380
674Accurate Passes313
6Corners0
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper saves2
17Tackles16
13Interceptions9
1Blocks (defensive)6
36Duels Won32
11Fouls3
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
34% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Ecuador
Jeremy Arevalo
5
Anthony Valencia
2
Moisés Caicedo
2
Jordy Alcivar
1
Yaimar Medina
1
Pervis Estupiñán
1
Guatemala
Aaron Herrera
2
José Morales
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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