HomeWorld Cup 2026Match details
Finished · World Cup 2026
📝 Match Recap AI

The highly anticipated match between Argentina and Egypt in the 2026 World Cup lived up to its billing, with Argentina ultimately emerging victorious by a narrow 3-2 margin. The match was a closely contested affair, with both teams creating scoring opportunities throughout. Despite being given a zero percent chance of winning by pre-match models, Egypt took an early lead through Y. Ibrahim's 15th-minute goal, only to be pegged back by Lionel Messi's equalizer six minutes later. Egypt regained the lead in the 67th minute courtesy of M. Ziko's strike, but Argentina's superior quality eventually told.

Argentina's comeback was sparked by C. Romero's 79th-minute goal, and they took the lead for the first time in the match when Messi scored his second of the game in the 83rd minute. Enzo Fernandez sealed the win for Argentina with a goal in the 90th minute, capping off a dramatic turnaround. The result was not entirely unexpected, given Argentina's 43% chance of winning according to pre-match predictions, but Egypt's spirited performance made for a compelling match. Messi was the standout player, earning a 9 rating for his instrumental role in Argentina's victory, while Leandro Paredes and Enzo Fernandez also impressed with ratings of 8.2 and 8, respectively.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/07 · 16:00
Round
Round of 16
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta
Referee
François Letexier
AI predictionExpected goals 0.6 : 0.2
🧠 The model favours a draw at 50%, with expected goals 1-0, and the likeliest scorer is L. Messi (62%).
😮 Surprised everyone
Argentina 42% Draw 50% Egypt 8%
Argentina 0% Draw 0% Egypt 100%
1 votes
Confidence 29% Low confidence
📈 In great form Argentina 📈 In great form Egypt 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 45%
Both teams to score 8% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 95%
Over 2.5 5%Under 2.5 95%
Win Probability
100%
Argentina 100% Draw 0% Egypt 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
L. Messi
🏠 Argentina
62%
Lautaro Martínez
🏠 Argentina
45%
Mohamed Salah
✈️ Egypt
23%
J. Álvarez
🏠 Argentina
21%
Team comparison API-Football
Argentina Egypt
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
60%
Team strength
0%
H2H
60%Strength40%
61%Attacking strength39%
57%Defensive strength43%
59%Poisson distribution41%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
40%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Argentina or draw
Key events
🟨Haissem Hassan
Yellow Card
-5'
Y. IbrahimAssists M. Attia
goals
15'
Lionel Messi
goals
21'
🔄H. FathyE. Ashour
Substitution
46'
📺Mostafa Ziko
Goal cancelled
59'
🔄N. GonzalezN. Tagliafico
Substitution
66'
🔄L. MartinezR. de Paul
Substitution
66'
M. ZikoAssists H. Hassan
goals
67'
🔄G. MontielN. Molina
Substitution
73'
🔄TrezeguetH. Hassan
Substitution
73'
C. RomeroAssists L. Messi
goals
79'
🔄O. MarmoushM. Ziko
Substitution
80'
L. MessiAssists G. Montiel
goals
83'
🟨Marwan Attia
Yellow Card
90+8'
🟨Hamdy Fathy
Yellow Card
90+4'
🟨Mostafa Shobeir
Yellow Card
90+3'
🔄N. OtamendiC. Romero
Substitution
90+5'
🔄F. MedinaJ. Alvarez
Substitution
90+5'
🔄ZizoM. Lasheen
Substitution
90+6'
E. FernandezAssists L. Martinez
goals
90'
Lineup
23
E. Martinez 6
3
N. Tagliafico 6.5
6
L. Martinez 7
13
C. Romero 7.6
26
N. Molina 6.3
5
L. Paredes 8.2
24
E. Fernandez 8
20
A. Mac Allister 6.5
7
R. de Paul 6.6
9
J. Alvarez 6.9
10
L. Messi 9.2
23
M. Shobeir 7.5
15
K. Hafez 6.3
5
R. Rabia 6.9
2
Y. Ibrahim 7.2
3
M. Hany 5.6
8
E. Ashour 6.5
19
M. Attia 6.7
17
M. Lasheen 6.7
12
H. Hassan 6.6
11
M. Ziko 7.7
10
M. Salah 6.9
Player rating API-Football
Argentina
10
Lionel Messi C
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1 · 🅰️1
9.2
5
Leandro Paredes
MID · 90′
8.2
24
Enzo Fernández
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
8
13
Cristian Romero
DEF · 89′ · ⚽1
7.6
22
Lautaro Martínez
FWD · 24′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.2
6
Lisandro Martínez
DEF · 90′
7
9
Julián Alvarez
FWD · 89′
6.9
4
Gonzalo Montiel
DEF · 17′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
6.9
7
Rodrigo De Paul
MID · 66′
6.6
15
Nicolás González
FWD · 24′ · Substitute
6.6
3
Nicolás Tagliafico
DEF · 66′
6.5
20
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · 90′
6.5
26
Nahuel Molina
DEF · 73′
6.3
23
Emiliano Martínez
GK · 90′
6
19
Nicolás Otamendi
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
25
Facundo Medina
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
12
Gerónimo Rulli
GK · 0′ · Substitute
1
Juan Musso
GK · 0′ · Substitute
2
Marcos Senesi
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
8
Valentín Barco
MID · 0′ · Substitute
11
Giovani Lo Celso
MID · 0′ · Substitute
14
Exequiel Palacios
MID · 0′ · Substitute
16
Thiago Almada
MID · 0′ · Substitute
17
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
18
Nico Paz
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
21
José Manuel López
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Egypt
11
Mostafa Ziko
FWD · 80′ · ⚽1
7.7
23
Mostafa Shobeir
GK · 90′ · 🟨
7.5
2
Yasser Ibrahim
DEF · 90′ · ⚽1
7.2
5
Rami Rabia
DEF · 90′
6.9
10
Mohamed Salah C
FWD · 90′
6.9
17
Mohanad Lasheen
MID · 89′
6.7
19
Marwan Attia
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
6.7
12
Haissem Hassan
MID · 73′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
6.6
8
Emam Ashour
MID · 45′
6.5
7
Mahmoud Trézéguet
FWD · 17′ · Substitute
6.5
15
Karim Hafez
DEF · 90′
6.3
14
Hamdy Fathy
MID · 45′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.3
22
Omar Marmoush
FWD · 10′ · Substitute
6.3
3
Mohamed Hany
DEF · 90′
5.6
25
Zizo
FWD · 1′ · Substitute
1
Mohamed El-Shenawy
GK · 0′ · Substitute
26
Mohamed Alaa
GK · 0′ · Substitute
16
Mahdi Soliman
GK · 0′ · Substitute
24
Tarek Alaa
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
20
Ibrahim Adel
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
21
Mahmoud Saber
MID · 0′ · Substitute
18
Nabil Donga
MID · 0′ · Substitute
9
Hamza Abdelkarim
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
37% Shot Accuracy
90% Pass Accuracy
64% Possession
Argentina Egypt
2.84Expected Goals (xG)0.89
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
19Shots5
7Shots on Target2
8Shots off Target3
11Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
602Passes349
541Accurate Passes287
6Corners1
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper saves4
20Tackles16
7Interceptions9
0Blocks (defensive)4
50Duels Won47
13Fouls11
0Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
40% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
36% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Argentina
Lionel Messi
6
Nahuel Molina
2
Rodrigo De Paul
2
Nicolás González
2
Nicolás Tagliafico
1
Alexis Mac Allister
1
Egypt
Mohamed Hany
1
Haissem Hassan
1
Marwan Attia
1
Mostafa Ziko
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group G
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Belgium 3120 +45
2 Egypt 3120 +25
3 Iran 3030 +03
4 New Zealand 3012 −61
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