Erbil vs Baghdad — AI Sport Live

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Finished · Iraq Stars League

Erbil

3 : 1

Baghdad

Match info

Status

Finished

Date

2026/06/02 · 15:00

Round

Round 38

Stadium

Franso Hariri Stadium — Arbil

AI predictionExpected goals 2.8 : 0.8

🧠 The model favours Erbil at 79%, with expected goals 3-1.

🤖 AI won

Erbil 79% Draw 13% Baghdad 8%

Erbil 0% Draw 0% Baghdad 0%

0 votes

Confidence 89% High confidence

🛡️ Leaky visitors away Erbil 📉 Poor form Baghdad ⚽ Goals expected

Most likely score 2 - 0 11%

Both teams to score 52% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 Over 70%

Over 2.5 70%Under 2.5 30%

Win Probability

100%

Erbil 100% Draw 0% Baghdad 0%

75% 50%

0'Half-time 45'90'

Momentum Balanced

Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.

Team comparison API-Football

Erbil Baghdad

71%

Team strength

62%

H2H

71%Strength29%

59%Attacking strength41%

62%Defensive strength38%

75%Poisson distribution25%

62%Head-to-head38%

63%Expected goals38%

29%

Team strength

38%

H2H

💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Erbil or draw

Head-to-head Last 7

3Erbil win

3Draw

1Baghdad win

2026/01/31 Baghdad

1 : 1

Erbil

2024/05/26 Baghdad

1 : 3

Erbil

2024/02/29 Erbil

4 : 1

Baghdad

2022/02/15 Baghdad

1 : 1

Erbil

2021/09/26 Erbil

1 : 2

Baghdad

2021/02/24 Erbil

2 : 2

Baghdad

2020/10/26 Baghdad

0 : 2

Erbil

Key events

⚽J. Govand

goals

62'

⚽C. John

goals

66'

⚽C. John

goals

80'

⚽J. Kareem

goals

82'

Lineup

Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.

Live commentary AI

Preparing…

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	+/−	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	+34	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	+37	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	+27	79
4	Al Zawra'a	38	17	15	6	+18	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	+27	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	+15	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	+10	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	+1	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	+4	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	−1	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	−2	49
12	Naft	38	11	15	12	−1	48
13	Mosul	38	11	14	13	−3	47
14	Gharraf	38	11	11	16	−3	44
15	Naft Maysan	38	11	10	17	−9	43
16	Al Minaa Basra	38	9	13	16	−9	40
17	Al Kahrabaa	37	11	5	21	−12	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	−21	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	−37	23
20	Al-Qasim	38	0	6	32	−75	6

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