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# Shenyang Urban 0-1 Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island upset the odds to secure a narrow victory against Shenyang Urban in a Chinese Super League encounter decided by Yang Zhanpeng's 73rd-minute goal. The hosts had been heavily favored with a 53 percent win prediction, but the away side's clinical finishing proved decisive. Shenyang's task became considerably more difficult after G. Mbenza received a red card in the 31st minute, leaving them to battle with ten men for the majority of the match.

Despite the numerical disadvantage, Shenyang showed resilience through Binbin Chen's commanding display, earning the match's highest rating of 8.0. Qingdao's defense was equally impressive, with Samir Memisevic and Peng Wang delivering ratings of 7.9 and 7.7 respectively to shepherd their team to an unexpected win. The result represented a significant upset given the pre-match projections, with Qingdao's superior discipline in defense ultimately compensating for their status as outsiders going into the fixture.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 11:35
Round
Round 20
Stadium
Tiexi Stadium — Shenyang
Referee
Xin He
AI predictionExpected goals 2.2 : 1.5
🧠 The model favours Shenyang Urban at 53%, with expected goals 2-2, and the likeliest scorer is G. Mbenza (55%).
Shenyang Urban 53% Draw 21% Qingdao Youth Island 26%
Shenyang Urban 0% Draw 0% Qingdao Youth Island 0%
0 votes
Confidence 84% High confidence
🛡️ Leaky visitors away Shenyang Urban 🤝 H2H advantage Qingdao Youth Island ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 1 9%
Both teams to score 69% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 71%
Over 2.5 71%Under 2.5 29%
Win Probability
100%
Shenyang Urban 0% Draw 0% Qingdao Youth Island 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
G. Mbenza
🏠 Shenyang Urban
55%
Nélson Luz
✈️ Qingdao Youth Island
39%
Team comparison API-Football
Shenyang Urban Qingdao Youth Island
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
56%
Team strength
29%
H2H
56%Strength44%
62%Attacking strength38%
47%Defensive strength53%
61%Poisson distribution39%
29%Head-to-head71%
38%Expected goals62%
44%
Team strength
71%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Shenyang Urban or draw
Head-to-head Last 5
1Shenyang Urban win
1Draw
3Qingdao Youth Island win
2026/04/11 Qingdao Youth Island 1 : 1 Shenyang Urban
2023/09/17 Shenyang Urban 0 : 2 Qingdao Youth Island
2023/06/11 Qingdao Youth Island 3 : 1 Shenyang Urban
2022/12/08 Shenyang Urban 1 : 2 Qingdao Youth Island
2022/11/13 Qingdao Youth Island 0 : 2 Shenyang Urban
Key events
🔄Chen BinbinLi Haoran
Substitution
23'
🟨A. Yakubu
Yellow Card
29'
🟥G. Mbenza
Red Card
31'
🟨Davidson
Yellow Card
37'
🟨Lohman Elnizar
Yellow Card
45+4'
🔄He LonghaiLohman Elnizar
Substitution
46'
🟨Zheng Zhi
Yellow Card
49'
🟨S. Memisevic
Yellow Card
54'
🟨Yang Zhanpeng
Yellow Card
58'
🟨Jeffinho
Yellow Card
59'
🔄Meng JingchaoX. Zhang
Substitution
62'
🔄Yan DinghaoZang Yifeng
Substitution
66'
🔄Gao JiarunPan Ximing
Substitution
66'
Yang Zhanpeng
goals
73'
🔄S. JinZhang Chengdong
Substitution
79'
🔄H. ZhangFelipe
Substitution
83'
🟨He Longhai
Yellow Card
84'
🔄Nan SongYang Zhanpeng
Substitution
87'
Lineup
29
Yan Zhang 7.2
35
Li Haoran 6.9
15
Felipe 7.6
26
Yuan Mincheng 6.3
3
Ximing Pan 7
18
Tixiang Li 6.6
47
Jeffinho 6.9
14
Zang Yifeng 6.3
10
Takahiro Kunimoto 7.2
7
Ange Kouamé 6.3
9
Guy Mbenza 5.3
16
Hao Li 6.9
22
Gengrui Wang 6.6
15
Peng Wang 7.7
5
Samir Memisevic 7.9
4
Elnizar Lohman 6.3
11
Davidson 6.9
28
Chengdong Zhang 6.9
8
Xiuwei Zhang 7
10
Nelson Luz 6.3
30
Yang Zhanpeng 7.3
9
Aziz 5.6
Player rating API-Football
Shenyang Urban
11
Binbin Chen
FWD · 67′ · Substitute
8
15
Felipe
DEF · 83′
7.6
29
Yan Zhang
GK · 90′
7.2
10
Takahiro Kunimoto C
MID · 90′
7.2
3
Ximing Pan
DEF · 66′
7
35
Li Haoran
DEF · 23′
6.9
47
Jeffinho
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
34
Zhang Hongfu
DEF · 12′ · Substitute
6.9
27
Jiarun Gao
DEF · 24′ · Substitute
6.7
8
Dinghao Yan
MID · 24′ · Substitute
6.7
18
Tixiang Li
MID · 90′
6.6
26
Yuan Mincheng
DEF · 90′
6.3
7
Ange Kouamé
MID · 90′
6.3
14
Zang Yifeng
MID · 66′
6.3
9
Guy Mbenza
FWD · 31′ 🟥
5.3
16
Wang Tian'ai
GK · 0′ · Substitute
28
Dong Xu
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
5
Dilmurat Mawlanyaz
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
22
Liu Guobo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
6
Pavle Vagić
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
33
Yinong Tian
MID · 0′ · Substitute
36
De'ao Tian
MID · 0′ · Substitute
17
Yuda Tian
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Qingdao Youth Island
5
Samir Memisevic
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
7.9
15
Peng Wang
DEF · 90′
7.7
30
Yang Zhanpeng
FWD · 87′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.3
8
Xiuwei Zhang
MID · 62′
7
16
Hao Li
GK · 90′
6.9
28
Chengdong Zhang
MID · 79′
6.9
11
Davidson C
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
21
Jingchao Meng
MID · 28′ · Substitute
6.9
6
Shiming Jin
MID · 11′ · Substitute
6.7
22
Gengrui Wang
DEF · 90′
6.6
20
Longhai He
MID · 45′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.6
35
Song Nan
MID · 8′ · Substitute
6.5
4
Elnizar Lohman
DEF · 45′ · 🟨
6.3
10
Nelson Luz
MID · 90′
6.3
9
Aziz
FWD · 90′ · 🟨
5.6
37
Dong Hang
GK · 0′ · Substitute
26
Shibo Liu
GK · 0′ · Substitute
32
Haifeng Ding
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
36
Jie Sun
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
33
Zhicheng Liu
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
31
Xie Chujun
MID · 0′ · Substitute
29
Jia Weiwei
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
27
Aifeierding Aisikaer
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
13% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
42% Possession
Shenyang Urban Qingdao Youth Island
8Shots16
1Shots on Target5
6Shots off Target10
7Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots1
305Passes424
252Accurate Passes363
2Corners10
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper saves1
21Tackles23
7Interceptions6
1Blocks (defensive)1
61Duels Won48
10Fouls18
1Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
31% Shot Accuracy
86% Pass Accuracy
58% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Shenyang Urban
Takahiro Kunimoto
4
Jeffinho
2
Guy Mbenza
1
Binbin Chen
1
Qingdao Youth Island
Davidson
4
Chengdong Zhang
2
Samir Memisevic
1
Gengrui Wang
1
Nelson Luz
1
Xiuwei Zhang
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Chengdu Better City 201352 +2144
2 Chongqing Tongliang Long 20785 +129
3 Yunnan Yukun 20848 +228
4 Dalian Zhixing 19919 −528
5 Qingdao Youth Island 206104 −528
6 Shandong Luneng 20938 +024
7 Hangzhou Greentown 20857 −424
8 Beijing Guoan 19775 +623
9 Henan Jianye 19838 +121
10 Shenyang Urban 196310 −621
11 Sichuan Jiuniu 206212 −920
12 Shanghai Shenhua 19856 +519
13 SHANGHAI SIPG 19667 +419
14 Tianjin Teda 19667 +414
15 Wuhan Three Towns 19478 −714
16 Qingdao Jonoon 206311 −814
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