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📝 Match Recap AI

# Wuhan Three Towns Edge Out Chongqing in Tight Contest

Wuhan Three Towns claimed a narrow one-nil victory over Chongqing Tongliang Long in a Chinese Super League encounter decided by a single goal from Gustavo Sauer in the fortieth minute. The result aligned closely with the pre-match predictions, which favored Wuhan with a forty-five percent win probability, suggesting the outcome was broadly expected by the model. The home side's defense proved solid throughout, with three Wuhan players earning particularly strong performance ratings to secure the points.

Sauer's clinical finishing proved decisive as the standout performer on the night, recording an eight-point-two rating and demonstrating why he remains central to Wuhan's attacking play. Teammates Xu Haofeng and Li Ang also impressed with ratings of seven-point-eight-two and seven-point-seven-four respectively, forming a core of consistent performers that controlled the match. Despite Chongqing's efforts to find an equalizer, Wuhan's collective defensive organization prevented any clear-cut chances from materializing in the second half.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 12:00
Round
Round 20
Stadium
Wuhan Sports Centre — Wuhan
Referee
Y. Cui
AI predictionExpected goals 1.4 : 1.0
🧠 The model favours Wuhan Three Towns at 45%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is J. Cádiz (49%).
🤖 AI won
Wuhan Three Towns 45% Draw 27% Chongqing Tongliang Long 28%
Wuhan Three Towns 0% Draw 0% Chongqing Tongliang Long 0%
0 votes
Confidence 63% Medium confidence
Most likely score 1 - 0 13%
Both teams to score 48% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 57%
Over 2.5 43%Under 2.5 57%
Win Probability
100%
Wuhan Three Towns 100% Draw 0% Chongqing Tongliang Long 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
J. Cádiz
🏠 Wuhan Three Towns
49%
Team comparison API-Football
Wuhan Three Towns Chongqing Tongliang Long
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
0%
H2H
50%Strength50%
57%Attacking strength43%
50%Defensive strength50%
51%Poisson distribution49%
0%Head-to-head100%
33%Expected goals67%
50%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Chongqing Tongliang Long
Head-to-head Last 1
0Wuhan Three Towns win
0Draw
1Chongqing Tongliang Long win
2026/04/11 Chongqing Tongliang Long 2 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns
Key events
🟨Zhang Zhixiong
Yellow Card
24'
🔄Zhang YingkaiLucao
Substitution
39'
Gustavo SauerAssists Xu Haofeng
goals
40'
🔄Ng Yu-HeiZhang Yingkai
Substitution
46'
🔄A. LeauteyWang Jinxian
Substitution
46'
🔄Ruan QilongZhang Zhixiong
Substitution
46'
🔄Du YuezhengLi Zhenquan
Substitution
66'
🔄J. XiongAdriano Firmino
Substitution
74'
🔄Zhang XiaobinLiao Chengjian
Substitution
74'
🔄Wang KangMing Tian
Substitution
74'
🔄Liu YimingHe Guan
Substitution
77'
🔄Wu YongqiangG. Cimpanu
Substitution
85'
Lineup
22
Fang Jingqi 7.11
4
Xu Haofeng 7.82
11
Li Ang 7.74
2
He Guan 7.33
23
Ming Tian 6.96
20
Adriano 6.59
12
Liao Chengjian 7.41
8
Wang Jinxian 6.54
10
K. Bevis 6.33
29
J. Cádiz 6.42
7
Gustavo Sauer 8.2
1
Yao Haoyang 6.6
24
Liu Mingshi 6.94
4
Yue Ruijie 6.45
32
M. Ngadeu 6.81
33
Lucão 6.59
26
He Xiaoqiang 6.65
16
Zhang Zhixiong 6.85
8
Li Zhenquan 6.2
7
Xiang Yuwang 6.89
11
L. Dimata 6.45
9
G. Cîmpanu 6.41
Player rating API-Football
Wuhan Three Towns
7
Gustavo Sauer
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
8.2
4
Xu Haofeng
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.82
11
Li Ang
DEF · 90′
7.74
12
Liao Chengjian
DEF · 74′
7.41
2
He Guan
DEF · 77′
7.33
37
Wang Kang
DEF · 16′
7.24
22
Fang Jingqi
GK · 90′
7.11
19
Liu Yiming
DEF · 13′
7.07
23
Ming Tian
DEF · 74′
6.96
21
Xiong Jizheng
MID · 16′
6.91
50
A. Léautey
FWD · 45′
6.74
20
Adriano
MID · 74′
6.59
8
Wang Jinxian
FWD · 45′
6.54
29
J. Cádiz
FWD · 90′
6.42
10
K. Bevis
FWD · 90′
6.33
15
Chen Zhechao
MID · 0′
0
30
Zhong Jinbao
MID · 0′
0
13
Zheng Kaimu
MID · 0′
0
9
Zheng Haoqian
FWD · 0′
0
16
Min Zixi
MID · 0′
0
6
Long Wei
MID · 0′
0
31
Guo Jiayu
GK · 0′
0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
24
Liu Mingshi
DEF · 90′
6.94
7
Xiang Yuwang
FWD · 90′
6.89
16
Zhang Zhixiong
MID · 45′ · 🟨
6.85
32
M. Ngadeu
DEF · 90′
6.81
26
He Xiaoqiang
DEF · 90′
6.65
1
Yao Haoyang
GK · 90′
6.6
33
Lucão
DEF · 39′
6.59
4
Yue Ruijie
DEF · 90′
6.45
11
L. Dimata
FWD · 90′
6.45
38
Ruan Qilong
DEF · 45′
6.42
9
G. Cîmpanu
FWD · 85′
6.41
3
Zhang Yingkai
DEF · 6′
6.35
17
Ng Yu Hei
FWD · 45′
6.26
8
Li Zhenquan
MID · 66′
6.2
19
Du Yuezheng
FWD · 24′
6.03
27
Wu Yongqiang
MID · 5′
5.93
6
Jin Pengxiang
DEF · 0′
0
15
Chen Chunxin
MID · 0′
0
18
Liang Weipeng
MID · 0′
0
25
Yerjet Yerzat
GK · 0′
0
31
Wu Zitong
GK · 0′
0
37
Wei Suowei
DEF · 0′
0
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
33% Shot Accuracy
0% Pass Accuracy
38% Possession
Wuhan Three Towns Chongqing Tongliang Long
12Shots14
4Shots on Target3
2Shots off Target6
9Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots5
346Passes575
296Accurate Passes522
5Corners4
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper saves3
12Tackles18
10Interceptions4
6Blocks (defensive)5
44Duels Won40
10Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
21% Shot Accuracy
0% Pass Accuracy
62% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Wuhan Three Towns
Gustavo Sauer
5
Xu Haofeng
2
Xiong Jizheng
1
K. Bevis
1
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Liu Mingshi
3
Li Zhenquan
2
G. Cîmpanu
2
L. Dimata
2
Xiang Yuwang
2
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Chengdu Better City 201352 +2144
2 Chongqing Tongliang Long 20785 +129
3 Yunnan Yukun 20848 +228
4 Dalian Zhixing 19919 −528
5 Qingdao Youth Island 206104 −528
6 Shandong Luneng 20938 +024
7 Hangzhou Greentown 20857 −424
8 Beijing Guoan 19775 +623
9 Henan Jianye 19838 +121
10 Shenyang Urban 196310 −621
11 Sichuan Jiuniu 206212 −920
12 Shanghai Shenhua 19856 +519
13 SHANGHAI SIPG 19667 +419
14 Tianjin Teda 19667 +414
15 Wuhan Three Towns 19478 −714
16 Qingdao Jonoon 206311 −814
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