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📝 Match Recap AI

# FC Seoul 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Ulsan Hyundai FC produced a stunning upset victory over FC Seoul in the Korean League, decisively winning 3-1 despite entering the match as heavy underdogs with only a ten percent chance of success according to pre-match predictions. The visitors dominated the opening exchanges, with Erick Farias breaking the deadlock in the fifth minute before Lee Dong-Gyeong doubled their advantage just eight minutes later. FC Seoul pulled one back through Jeong Seung-Won's sixty-first minute goal, briefly offering hope of a comeback, but Yago Cariello's ninety-minute finish sealed a comprehensive away victory for Ulsan.

The result represented a remarkable departure from the model's forecast, which had heavily favored a Seoul triumph. Ulsan's clinical finishing in the first half proved decisive, as they capitalized on early opportunities to establish complete control of the encounter. Seoul's inability to impose themselves early cost them dearly, and despite their late goal providing some respectability to the scoreline, the damage had already been done by that point.

Seoul World Cup Stadium
🏟️ Seoul World Cup Stadium Seoul
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 10:30
Round
Round 20
Stadium
Seoul World Cup Stadium — Seoul
Referee
Tae-Hwan Seol
AI predictionExpected goals 3.6 : 0.4
🧠 The model favours FC Seoul at 92%, with expected goals 4-0, and the likeliest scorer is Yago Cariello (55%).
FC Seoul 92% Draw 6% Ulsan Hyundai FC 2%
FC Seoul 0% Draw 0% Ulsan Hyundai FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 79% High confidence
📈 In great form FC Seoul 📉 Poor form Ulsan Hyundai FC ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 3 - 0 14%
Both teams to score 32% No
Over / Under 2.5 Over 76%
Over 2.5 76%Under 2.5 24%
Win Probability
100%
FC Seoul 0% Draw 0% Ulsan Hyundai FC 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Yago Cariello
✈️ Ulsan Hyundai FC
55%
Lee Dong-Gyeong
✈️ Ulsan Hyundai FC
45%
Lee Seung-Mo
🏠 FC Seoul
27%
Team comparison API-Football
FC Seoul Ulsan Hyundai FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
87%
Team strength
85%
H2H
87%Strength13%
64%Attacking strength36%
77%Defensive strength23%
76%Poisson distribution24%
85%Head-to-head15%
69%Expected goals31%
13%
Team strength
15%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : FC Seoul or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
3FC Seoul win
4Draw
2Ulsan Hyundai FC win
2026/04/15 Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 : 4 FC Seoul
2025/08/24 FC Seoul 3 : 2 Ulsan Hyundai FC
2025/07/20 FC Seoul 1 : 0 Ulsan Hyundai FC
2025/04/05 Ulsan Hyundai FC 0 : 0 FC Seoul
2024/11/10 FC Seoul 1 : 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC
2024/07/13 Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 : 0 FC Seoul
2024/06/16 Ulsan Hyundai FC 2 : 2 FC Seoul
2024/05/04 FC Seoul 0 : 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC
2023/08/27 FC Seoul 2 : 2 Ulsan Hyundai FC
Key events
Erick FariasAssists Lee Dong-Gyeong
goals
5'
Lee Dong-GyeongAssists Erick Farias
goals
13'
🔄Moon Seon-MinLee Seung-Mo
Substitution
33'
🔄Park Seong-hunY. Al Arab
Substitution
46'
🟨T. Oude Kotte
Yellow Card
57'
🔄Cho Young-WookAnderson Oliveira
Substitution
57'
🔄Lee Jae-IkKim Young-Gwon
Substitution
58'
🔄Kang Sang-WooErick Farias
Substitution
58'
Jeong Seung-WonAssists Moon Seon-Min
goals
61'
🔄Sim Sang-MinJang Si-Young
Substitution
68'
🔄Yago CarielloLee Dong-Gyeong
Substitution
68'
🔄J. SonH. Babec
Substitution
73'
🟨P. Klimala
Yellow Card
82'
🔄D. BojanicLee Gyu-Seong
Substitution
84'
Yago CarielloAssists Jo Hyeon-Woo
goals
90+8'
🟨Yago Cariello
Yellow Card
90+9'
Lineup
25
Gu Sung-yun
22
Kim Jin-su
37
Juan Antonio Ros
5
Yazan Al-Arab
16
Choi Jun
34
Min-kyu Song
6
Hrvoje Babec
8
Lee Seung-mo
7
Seung-Won Jeong
9
Patryk Klimala
10
Anderson Oliveira
21
Hyeon-woo Jo
19
Kim Young-gwon
15
Jung Seung-hyeon
4
Myeong-kwan Seo
26
Hyun-taek Cho
55
Thomas Oude Kotte
24
Kyu-seong Lee
33
Jang Si-young
11
Erick Farias
10
Dong-gyeong Lee
14
Lee Jin-hyun
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 FC Seoul 201334 +1842
2 Jeonbuk Motors 20965 +1133
3 Gangwon FC 19883 +1232
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 20947 +131
5 Incheon United 20848 +428
6 Pohang Steelers 20848 −128
7 FC Anyang 19694 +427
8 Jeju United FC 20767 −127
9 Daejeon Citizen 20488 +020
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 203116 −720
11 Bucheon FC 1995 20488 −720
12 Gwangju FC 201712 −3410
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