# Incheon United 1-1 Bucheon FC 1995

The match between Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 ended in a draw that partially defied pre-match expectations, which favored the hosts with a forty-five percent win probability. Bucheon took the lead through Ibiza's goal in the forty-fifth minute, but Incheon equalized through M. Ferrier's strike in the eighty-fourth minute to secure a point. The result proved more favorable to the visitors than the statistical model predicted, as the draw carried a lower likelihood of just thirty-one percent before kickoff.

The match's decisive moments came in its closing stages, with Ferrier's late leveler preventing Incheon from defeat after they trailed at halftime. Bucheon's discipline issues were evident when Han Ji-Ho received a red card in the final minute, further complicating their evening after dominating possession for large stretches. While the hosts ultimately failed to convert their expected advantage, the draw represented a respectable outcome given how the match unfolded, particularly after falling behind early in the second half.