Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/01/09 · 16:00
Round
Quarter-final
Stadium
Stade Ibn-Batouta — Tanger
Referee
Abongile Tom
AI predictionExpected goals 0.2 : 1.3
🧠 The model favours Senegal at 65%, with expected goals 0-1, and the likeliest scorer is I. Sarr (52%).
🤖 AI won
Mali 6%
Draw 29%
Senegal 65%
Mali 0%
Draw 0%
Senegal 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
70%
High confidence
📈 In great form Senegal
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score
0 - 1
29%
Both teams to score
13%
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under
81%
Over 2.5 19%Under 2.5 81%
Win Probability
Mali 0%
Draw 0%
Senegal 100%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
I. Sarr
✈️ Senegal
52%
P. Gueye
✈️ Senegal
43%
S. Mané
✈️ Senegal
31%
N. Jackson
✈️ Senegal
31%
L. Sinayoko
🏠 Mali
26%
Team comparison API-Football
Mali
Senegal
29%
Team strength
20%
H2H
71%
Team strength
80%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Winner : Senegal
Head-to-head Last 2
0Mali win0Draw
1Senegal win
2023/10/14
Senegal
- : -
Mali
- : -
Mali
2019/03/26
Senegal
2 : 1
Mali
2 : 1
Mali
Key events
🟨Yves Bissouma
Yellow Card
⚽I. Ndiaye
goals
🟨Pape Gueye
Yellow Card
🟨Yves Bissouma
Yellow Card
🟥Yves Bissouma
Red Card
🔄D. Nene⟵A. Haidara
Substitution
🟨Habib Diarra
Yellow Card
🟨Habib Diallo
Yellow Card
🔄L. Camara⟵P. Gueye
Substitution
🔄P. Ciss⟵H. Diarra
Substitution
🔄G. Diakite⟵A. Dieng
Substitution
🔄I. Mbaye⟵I. Ndiaye
Substitution
🔄C. Ndiaye⟵H. Diallo
Substitution
🔄K. Doumbia⟵M. Sangare
Substitution
🔄M. Doumbia⟵L. Coulibaly
Substitution
🔄E. B. Toure⟵L. Sinayoko
Substitution
🟨Ibrahim Mbaye
Yellow Card
🟨Hamari Traoré
Yellow Card
🟨Kalidou Koulibaly
Yellow Card
Lineup
16
E. Mendy
25
M. Diouf
19
M. Niakhate
3
K. Koulibaly
15
K. Diatta
26
P. Gueye
▾
5
I. Gueye
7
H. Diarra
▾
10
S. Mane
20
H. Diallo
▾
13
I. Ndiaye
⚽ ▾
16
D. Diarra
2
H. Traore
5
A. Diaby
25
O. Camara
28
N. Gassama
10
Y. Bissouma
23
A. Dieng
▾
11
L. Coulibaly
▾
20
M. Sangare
▾
4
A. Haidara
▾
17
L. Sinayoko
▾
Senegal
4-3-3 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Souleymane Diallo
Manager
Mali
Substitutes
Player rating API-Football
Mali
16
8.3
Djigui Diarra
5
7.3
Abdoulaye Diaby
2
7.2
Hamari Traoré
7
6.9
Dorgeles Nene
8
6.9
Mahamadou Doumbia
25
6.6
Ousmane Camara
28
6.6
Nathan Gassama
27
6.6
Gaoussou Diakite
19
6.6
Kamory Doumbia
23
6.5
Aliou Dieng
11
6.5
Lassana Coulibaly
20
6.3
Mamadou Sangare
4
6.2
Amadou Haidara
17
6.2
Lassine Sinayoko
9
6.2
El Bilal Touré
10
5.3
Yves Bissouma C
22
—
Mamadou Samassa
1
—
Ismael Diawara
3
—
Amadou Dante
6
—
Sikou Niakaté
15
—
Mamadou Fofana
24
—
Ibrahima Sissoko
12
—
Mohamed Camara
14
—
Mamadou Camara
13
—
Fodé Doucouré
18
—
Mamadou Doumbia
Senegal
15
7.9
Krépin Diatta
16
7.6
Edouard Mendy
13
7.6
Iliman Ndiaye
3
7.5
Kalidou Koulibaly C
19
7.5
Moussa Niakhaté
8
7.5
Lamine Camara
5
7.2
Idrissa Gueye
6
7.2
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
10
6.9
Sadio Mané
26
6.6
Pape Gueye
12
6.5
Cherif Ndiaye
25
6.3
El Hadji Malick Diouf
27
6.3
Ibrahim Mbaye
7
6.2
Habib Diarra
20
6.2
Habib Diallo
23
—
Mory Diaw
1
—
Yehvann Diouf
14
—
Ismail Jakobs
24
—
Antoine Mendy
4
—
Abdoulaye Seck
2
—
Mamadou Sarr
17
—
Pape Matar Sarr
18
—
Ismaïla Sarr
11
—
Nicolas Jackson
21
—
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
9
—
Boulaye Dia
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
25%
Shot Accuracy
73%
Pass Accuracy
35%
Possession
Mali
Senegal
8Shots19
2Shots on Target8
3Shots off Target5
5Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots6
270Passes500
197Accurate Passes437
5Corners7
3Offsides1
7Goalkeeper saves2
10Tackles14
18Interceptions6
5Blocks (defensive)3
38Duels Won44
8Fouls14
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
42%
Shot Accuracy
87%
Pass Accuracy
65%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Mali
Nathan Gassama
2
Kamory Doumbia
2
Mamadou Sangare
1
Senegal Sadio Mané
4
Krépin Diatta
3
El Hadji Malick Diouf
1
Habib Diarra
1
Idrissa Gueye
1
Iliman Ndiaye
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Discussion 0 comments
Log in to join the discussion — Log in or Create an account.
No comments yet. Be the first!