Match info
Status
After extra time
Date
2026/01/18 · 19:00
Round
Final
Stadium
Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah — Rabat
Referee
Ndala Ngambo
AI predictionExpected goals 0.8 : 0.6
🧠 The model favours Senegal at 39%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is Brahim Díaz (39%).
Senegal 39%
Draw 38%
Morocco 23%
Senegal 0%
Draw 0%
Morocco 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
20%
Low confidence
📈 In great form Senegal
📈 In great form Morocco
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score
0 - 0
25%
Both teams to score
25%
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under
83%
Over 2.5 17%Under 2.5 83%
Win Probability
Senegal 0%
Draw 0%
Morocco 100%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI

Brahim Díaz
✈️ Morocco
39%

S. Rahimi
✈️ Morocco
39%

I. Sarr
🏠 Senegal
37%

P. Gueye
🏠 Senegal
29%

A. El Kaabi
✈️ Morocco
26%

S. Mané
🏠 Senegal
20%

N. Jackson
🏠 Senegal
20%
Team comparison API-Football
Senegal
Morocco
54%
Team strength
20%
H2H
46%
Team strength
80%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Morocco and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 2
0Senegal win1Draw
1Morocco win
2025/08/26
Morocco
1 : 1
Senegal
1 : 1
Senegal
2020/10/09
Morocco
3 : 1
Senegal
3 : 1
Senegal
Key events
🟨Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
🔄A. Seck⟵A. Mendy
Substitution
🔄I. Sarr⟵L. Camara
Substitution
🔄I. Mbaye⟵I. Ndiaye
Substitution
🔄O. Targhalline⟵B. El Khannouss
Substitution
🔄Y. En Nesyri⟵A. El Kaabi
Substitution
🔄J. El Yamiq⟵A. Masina
Substitution
🟨Edouard Mendy
Yellow Card
🟨El Hadji Malick Diouf
Yellow Card
🟨Ismaïla Sarr
Yellow Card
🟨Anass Salah-Eddine
Yellow Card
📺Brahim Díaz
Penalty confirmed
🔄C. Ndiaye⟵N. Jackson
Substitution
🔄A. Salah-Eddine⟵I. Saibari
Substitution
⚽P. GueyeAssists I. Gueye
goals
🔄H. Igamane⟵N. Mazraoui
Substitution
🔄I. Akhomach⟵B. Diaz
Substitution
🔄I. Jakobs⟵M. Diouf
Substitution
🟨Youssef En-Nesyri
Yellow Card
🟨Mamadou Sarr
Yellow Card
Lineup
16
E. Mendy
25
M. Diouf
▾
19
M. Niakhate
2
M. Sarr
24
A. Mendy
▾
26
P. Gueye
⚽
5
I. Gueye
8
L. Camara
▾
10
S. Mane
11
N. Jackson
▾
13
I. Ndiaye
▾
1
Bono
3
N. Mazraoui
▾
25
A. Masina
▾
5
N. Aguerd
2
A. Hakimi
24
N. El Aynaoui
17
A. Ezzalzouli
11
I. Saibari
▾
23
B. El Khannouss
▾
10
B. Diaz
▾
20
A. El Kaabi
▾
Senegal
4-3-3 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Souleymane Diallo
Manager
Morocco
4-1-4-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Tarik Sektioui
Manager
Player rating API-Football
Senegal
16
8.6
Edouard Mendy
26
8.5
Pape Gueye
2
7.7
Mamadou Sarr
5
7.6
Idrissa Gueye C
19
7.3
Moussa Niakhaté
25
7.2
El Hadji Malick Diouf
4
7.2
Abdoulaye Seck
10
7
Sadio Mané
13
6.9
Iliman Ndiaye
27
6.9
Ibrahim Mbaye
8
6.6
Lamine Camara
18
6.6
Ismaïla Sarr
14
6.6
Ismail Jakobs
11
6.5
Nicolas Jackson
24
6.3
Antoine Mendy
12
6
Cherif Ndiaye
23
—
Mory Diaw
1
—
Yehvann Diouf
6
—
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
28
—
Mamadou Lamine Camara
17
—
Pape Matar Sarr
22
—
Ousseynou Niang
9
—
Boulaye Dia
21
—
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
20
—
Habib Diallo
Morocco
1
8.6
Bono
3
7.7
Noussair Mazraoui
2
7.3
Achraf Hakimi C
26
7
Anass Salah-Eddine
25
6.9
Adam Masina
23
6.9
Bilal El Khannouss
18
6.9
Jawad El Yamiq
10
6.6
Brahim Díaz
14
6.6
Oussama Targhalline
16
6.6
Ilias Akhomach
7
6.5
Hamza Igamane
5
6.3
Nayef Aguerd
11
6.3
Ismael Saibari
17
6.3
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
24
6.2
Neil El Aynaoui
20
6.2
Ayoub El Kaabi
19
6
Youssef En-Nesyri
22
—
Mehdi Al Harrar
12
—
Munir El Kajoui
6
—
Romain Saïss
15
—
Mohamed Chibi
27
—
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
28
—
Youssef Belammari
21
—
Chemsdine Talbi
4
—
Sofyan Amrabat
9
—
Soufiane Rahimi
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
50%
Shot Accuracy
80%
Pass Accuracy
50%
Possession
Senegal
Morocco
14Shots20
7Shots on Target3
4Shots off Target6
11Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots11
478Passes461
384Accurate Passes374
8Corners10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper saves6
22Tackles30
5Interceptions9
10Blocks (defensive)3
76Duels Won78
25Fouls17
5Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
15%
Shot Accuracy
81%
Pass Accuracy
50%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Senegal
Nicolas Jackson
2
Ismaïla Sarr
2
El Hadji Malick Diouf
1
Lamine Camara
1
Idrissa Gueye
1
Iliman Ndiaye
1
Morocco
Achraf Hakimi
3
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
2
Noussair Mazraoui
1
Neil El Aynaoui
1
Brahim Díaz
1
Bilal El Khannouss
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
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