Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/17 · 14:00
Round
Final
Stadium
Loftus Versfeld Stadium — Pretoria
Referee
J. Ndala
AI predictionExpected goals 0.5 : 0.2
🧠 The model favours a draw at 53%, with expected goals 1-0, and the likeliest scorer is B. León (24%).
Mamelodi Sundowns 36%
Draw 53%
FAR Rabat 11%
Mamelodi Sundowns 0%
Draw 0%
FAR Rabat 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
57%
Medium confidence
🏠 Strong at home Mamelodi Sundowns
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score
0 - 0
50%
Both teams to score
7%
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under
97%
Over 2.5 3%Under 2.5 97%
Win Probability
Mamelodi Sundowns 100%
Draw 0%
FAR Rabat 0%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI

B. León
🏠 Mamelodi Sundowns
24%

A. Hammoudan
✈️ FAR Rabat
12%

T. Mokoena
🏠 Mamelodi Sundowns
11%

Nuno Santos
🏠 Mamelodi Sundowns
11%

I. Rayners
🏠 Mamelodi Sundowns
11%

Arthur Sales
🏠 Mamelodi Sundowns
11%

A. Zouhzouh
✈️ FAR Rabat
6%
Team comparison API-Football
Mamelodi Sundowns
FAR Rabat
60%
Team strength
50%
H2H
40%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 2
0Mamelodi Sundowns win2Draw
0FAR Rabat win
2025/01/19
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
FAR Rabat
2024/12/07
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Key events
⚽A. Modiba
goals
🔄N. Mbemba⟵R. Slim
Substitution
🔄M. Saleng⟵K. Lethlaku
Substitution
🔄D. Lunga⟵A. Modiba
Substitution
🔄M. Bouriga⟵A. Hadraf
Substitution
🔄M. Allende⟵N. Santos
Substitution
🟨Nolan Mbemba
Yellow Card
🔄Arthur Sales⟵T. Matthews
Substitution
🔄L. Mothiba⟵B. Leon
Substitution
Lineup
30
R. Williams
6
A. Modiba
⚽ ▾
3
K. Ndamane
24
K. Cupido
25
K. Mudau
4
T. Mokoena
8
J. Adams
16
K. Lethlaku
▾
10
N. Santos
▾
12
B. Leon
▾
17
T. Matthews
▾
16
A. Tagnaouti
2
To Carneiro
5
Y. Abdelhamid
15
M. Louadni
3
A. Bach
11
A. Hammoudan
34
M. Hrimat
8
K. Ouarkhane Alt
10
R. Slim
▾
40
A. Hadraf
▾
7
Y. El Fahli
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-3-1-2 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Miguel Cardoso
Manager
FAR Rabat
4-4-2 Coaching staff
Alexandre Santos
Manager
Player rating API-Football
Mamelodi Sundowns
6
8
Aubrey Modiba
4
7.7
Teboho Mokoena
25
7.3
Khuliso Mudau
24
7.3
Keanu Cupido
3
7.2
Khulumani Ndamane
16
6.9
Kutlwano Letlhaku
8
6.9
Jayden Adams
29
6.9
Divine Lunga
11
6.9
Marcelo Allende
30
6.6
Ronwen Williams C
10
6.6
Nuno Santos
14
6.5
Monnapule Saleng
17
6.3
Tashreeq Matthews
12
5.3
Brayan Léon Muñiz
9
—
Arthur Sales
35
—
Lebo Mothiba
1
—
Denis Onyango
37
—
Kegan Johannes
28
—
Zuko Mdunyelwa
18
—
Themba Zwane
FAR Rabat
15
7.5
Marouane Louadni
11
6.7
Ahmed Hammoudan
40
6.7
Abdelfettah Hadraf
10
6.6
Reda Slim
7
6.6
Youssef El Fahli
5
6.5
Yunis Abdelhamid
2
6.3
Tó Carneiro
8
6.3
Khalid Ait Ouarkhane
34
6.3
Mohamed Rabie Hrimat C
9
6.3
Mohssine Bourika
3
6.2
Anas Bach
26
6.2
Nolan Mbemba
16
6
Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
1
—
Ayoub El Khayati
24
—
Nouh Mohamed El Abd
23
—
Jamal Ech-Chammakh
27
—
Ayoub Ait Khassou
14
—
Taoufik Razko
19
—
Jalal-Eddine El Khfiyef
17
—
Hamza Khabba
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
18%
Shot Accuracy
85%
Pass Accuracy
71%
Possession
Mamelodi Sundowns
FAR Rabat
0.84Expected Goals (xG)0.20
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
11Shots6
2Shots on Target0
6Shots off Target6
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
595Passes234
507Accurate Passes145
4Corners1
0Offsides4
0Goalkeeper saves1
10Tackles10
9Interceptions10
0Blocks (defensive)3
34Duels Won35
13Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0%
Shot Accuracy
62%
Pass Accuracy
29%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Mamelodi Sundowns
Aubrey Modiba
3
Nuno Santos
2
Kutlwano Letlhaku
1
Tashreeq Matthews
1
Monnapule Saleng
1
FAR Rabat
Anas Bach
1
Khalid Ait Ouarkhane
1
Ahmed Hammoudan
1
Youssef El Fahli
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
CAF Champions League , Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 | Young Africans |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | JS Kabylie |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −7 | 3 |
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