Home ‹ CONCACAF Gold Cup ‹ Match details
Finished · CONCACAF Gold Cup
USA
1 : 2
Mexico
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2025/07/06 · 23:00
Round
Final
Stadium
NRG Stadium — Houston, Texas
Referee
Mario Alberto Escobar Toca
AI predictionExpected goals 0.3 : 0.3
🧠 The model favours a draw at 60%, with expected goals 0-0, and the likeliest scorer is J. Quiñones (70%).
USA 23% Draw 60% Mexico 17%
USA 0% Draw 0% Mexico 0%
0 votes
Confidence 71% High confidence
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 55%
Both teams to score 7% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 98%
Over 2.5 2%Under 2.5 98%
Win Probability
100%
USA 0% Draw 0% Mexico 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
J. Quiñones
✈️ Mexico
70%
C. Montes
✈️ Mexico
59%
B. Gutiérrez
✈️ Mexico
45%
É. Sánchez
✈️ Mexico
45%
J. Vásquez
✈️ Mexico
45%
E. Álvarez
✈️ Mexico
45%
M. Tillman
🏠 USA
26%
P. Agyemang
🏠 USA
18%
Team comparison API-Football
USA Mexico
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
62%
H2H
50%Strength50%
60%Attacking strength40%
33%Defensive strength67%
0%Poisson distribution100%
62%Head-to-head38%
67%Expected goals33%
50%
Team strength
38%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : USA or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
5USA win
2Draw
2Mexico win
2024/10/16 Mexico 2 : 0 USA
2024/03/25 Mexico 0 : 2 USA
2023/06/16 USA 3 : 0 Mexico
2023/04/20 USA 1 : 1 Mexico
2022/03/25 Mexico 0 : 0 USA
2021/11/13 USA 2 : 0 Mexico
2021/08/02 USA 1 : 0 Mexico
2021/06/07 USA 3 : 2 Mexico
2019/09/07 USA 0 : 3 Mexico
Key events
⚽C. RichardsAssists S. Berhalter
goals
4'
⚽R. JiménezAssists M. Ruíz
goals
27'
🟨César Montes
Yellow Card
44'
🟨Tyler Adams
Yellow Card
63'
🔄D. Downs⟵L. de la Torre
Substitution
69'
🔄O. Pineda⟵G. Mora
Substitution
75'
⚽Edson ÁlvarezAssists J. Vásquez
goals
77'
📺Edson Álvarez
Goal confirmed
78'
🔄J. McGlynn⟵T. Adams
Substitution
82'
🟨Raúl Jiménez
Yellow Card
85'
🔄J. Tolkin⟵M. Arfsten
Substitution
86'
🔄B. Aaronson⟵D. Luna
Substitution
86'
🔄I. Reyes⟵J. Sánchez
Substitution
86'
🔄S. Giménez⟵R. Jiménez
Substitution
86'
🔄C. Huerta⟵R. Alvarado
Substitution
87'
Lineup
25
M. Freese 7.2
18
▾
M. Arfsten 6.9
13
T. Ream 6.9
3
⚽
C. Richards 7.3
16
A. Freeman 6.3
14
▾
L. de la Torre 7
4
▾
T. Adams 6.9
10
▾
D. Luna 6.3
17
M. Tillman 6.5
8
S. Berhalter 7.3
24
P. Agyemang 6.9
1
L. Malagón 6.3
23
J. Gallardo 7.3
5
J. Vásquez 7.2
3
C. Montes 6.9
2
▾
J. Sánchez 6.9
14
M. Ruíz 7.9
4
⚽
Edson Álvarez 8
7
▾
G. Mora 7.3
10
A. Vega 7.9
9
⚽ ▾
R. Jiménez 7.3
25
▾
R. Alvarado 7.5
USA 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
69′ ▲9 6.3 D. Downs ▾ L. de la Torre 82′ ▲6 6.7 J. McGlynn ▾ T. Adams 86′ ▲2 6.5 J. Tolkin ▾ M. Arfsten 86′ ▲11 6.9 B. Aaronson ▾ D. Luna
Coaching staff
Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero Manager
Bench
7 Q. Sullivan MID 22 M. McKenzie DEF 26 C. Brady GK 20 N. Harriel DEF 12 M. Robinson DEF 5 W. Zimmerman DEF 23 B. White FWD 1 M. Turner GK
Mexico 4-3-3
Substitutes
75′ ▲17 6.7 O. Pineda ▾ G. Mora 86′ ▲15 6.3 I. Reyes ▾ J. Sánchez 86′ ▲11 6.2 S. Giménez ▾ R. Jiménez 87′ ▲21 6.6 C. Huerta ▾ R. Alvarado
Coaching staff
Javier Aguirre Onaindía Manager
Bench
13 G. Ochoa GK 6 É. Lira MID 19 J. Orozco DEF 16 J. Quiñones FWD 18 Á. Sepúlveda FWD 12 R. Rangel GK 8 C. Rodríguez MID 26 M. Chávez DEF
Player rating API-Football
USA
3
Chris Richards
DEF · 98′ · ⚽1
7.3
8
Sebastian Berhalter
MID · 98′ · 🅰️1
7.3
25
Matthew Freese
GK · 98′
7.2
14
Luca De La Torre
MID · 69′
7
13
Tim Ream C
DEF · 98′
6.9
18
Maximilian Arfsten
DEF · 86′
6.9
4
Tyler Adams
MID · 82′ · 🟨
6.9
24
Patrick Agyemang
FWD · 98′
6.9
11
Brenden Aaronson
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.9
6
Jack McGlynn
MID · 16′ · Substitute
6.7
17
Malik Tillman
MID · 98′
6.5
2
John Tolkin
DEF · 12′ · Substitute
6.5
16
Alexander Freeman
DEF · 98′
6.3
10
Diego Luna
MID · 86′
6.3
9
Damion Downs
FWD · 29′ · Substitute
6.3
26
Chris Brady
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
1
Matt Turner
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Walker Zimmerman
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Miles Robinson
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Nathan Harriel
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Mark McKenzie
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Quinn Sullivan
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Brian White
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Mexico
4
Edson Álvarez C
MID · 98′ · ⚽1
8
14
Marcel Ruíz
MID · 98′ · 🅰️1
7.9
10
Alexis Vega
FWD · 98′
7.9
25
Roberto Alvarado
FWD · 87′
7.5
23
Jesús Gallardo
DEF · 98′
7.3
7
Gilberto Mora
MID · 75′
7.3
9
Raúl Jiménez
FWD · 86′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.3
5
Johan Vásquez
DEF · 98′ · 🅰️1
7.2
2
Jorge Sánchez
DEF · 86′
6.9
3
César Montes
DEF · 98′ · 🟨
6.9
17
Orbelín Pineda
MID · 23′ · Substitute
6.7
21
César Huerta
FWD · 11′ · Substitute
6.6
1
Luis Malagón
GK · 98′
6.3
15
Israel Reyes
DEF · 12′ · Substitute
6.3
11
Santiago Giménez
FWD · 12′ · Substitute
6.2
13
Guillermo Ochoa
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Raúl Rangel
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Mateo Chávez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Erik Lira
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Jesús Orozco
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
8
Carlos Rodríguez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Julián Quiñones
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
18
Ángel Sepúlveda
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
USA × Mexico
50% Shot Accuracy
80% Pass Accuracy
40% Possession
USA Mexico
6Shots16
3Shots on Target8
2Shots off Target6
5Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots2
351Passes519
280Accurate Passes441
0Corners12
—Offsides—
6Goalkeeper saves2
19Tackles18
6Interceptions15
2Blocks (defensive)1
48Duels Won46
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
50% Shot Accuracy
85% Pass Accuracy
60% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
USA
Sebastian Berhalter
2
Patrick Agyemang
2
Tim Ream
1
Luca De La Torre
1
Mexico
Jorge Sánchez
2
Jesús Gallardo
2
Alexis Vega
2
César Montes
1
Johan Vásquez
1
Gilberto Mora
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group A
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Mexico 3210 +37
2 Costa Rica 3210 +27
3 Dominican Republic 3012 −21
4 Suriname 3012 −31
Discussion 0 comments
No comments yet. Be the first!