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Finished · Copa América
Argentina
1 : 1
Ecuador
Match info
Status
Finished (pens)
Date
2024/07/05 · 01:00
Round
Quarter-final
Stadium
NRG Stadium — Houston, Texas
Referee
A. Matonte
AI predictionExpected goals 1.9 : 0.2
🧠 The model favours Argentina at 81%, with expected goals 2-0, and the likeliest scorer is L. Messi (89%).
Argentina 81% Draw 17% Ecuador 2%
Argentina 0% Draw 0% Ecuador 0%
0 votes
Confidence 73% High confidence
📈 In great form Argentina
Most likely score 1 - 0 23%
Both teams to score 15% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 65%
Over 2.5 35%Under 2.5 65%
Win Probability
100%
Argentina 0% Draw 100% Ecuador 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
L. Messi
🏠 Argentina
89%
Lautaro Martínez
🏠 Argentina
85%
J. Álvarez
🏠 Argentina
53%
Team comparison API-Football
Argentina Ecuador
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
69%
Team strength
93%
H2H
69%Strength31%
56%Attacking strength44%
100%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
93%Head-to-head7%
88%Expected goals13%
31%
Team strength
7%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Argentina or draw and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 8
6Argentina win
1Draw
1Ecuador win
2024/06/09 Argentina 1 : 0 Ecuador
2023/09/08 Argentina 1 : 0 Ecuador
2022/03/30 Ecuador 1 : 1 Argentina
2021/07/04 Argentina 3 : 0 Ecuador
2020/10/09 Argentina 1 : 0 Ecuador
2019/10/13 Ecuador 1 : 6 Argentina
2017/10/10 Ecuador 1 : 3 Argentina
2015/10/09 Argentina 0 : 2 Ecuador
Key events
🟨Enner Valencia
Yellow Card
30'
⚽Lisandro MartínezAssists A. Mac Allister
goals
35'
🔄J. Álvarez⟵Lautaro Martínez
Substitution
65'
🟨Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
75'
🔄A. Minda⟵K. Páez
Substitution
76'
🔄K. Rodríguez⟵J. Sarmiento
Substitution
76'
🟨Nicolás González
Yellow Card
77'
🔄G. Lo Celso⟵Lisandro Martínez
Substitution
78'
🔄N. Otamendi⟵E. Fernández
Substitution
78'
🔄J. Yeboah⟵C. Gruezo
Substitution
79'
🔄Á. Mena⟵E. Valencia
Substitution
80'
🟨Nicolás Tagliafico
Yellow Card
81'
🔄J. Caicedo⟵A. Franco
Substitution
87'
🔄G. Montiel⟵N. Molina
Substitution
90+5'
⚽K. RodríguezAssists J. Yeboah
goals
90+1'
❌L. Messi
goals
120+1'
❌Á. Mena
goals
120+2'
⚽J. Álvarez
Goal (Penalty)
120+3'
❌A. Minda
goals
120+4'
⚽A. Mac Allister
Goal (Penalty)
120+5'
⚽J. Yeboah
Goal (Penalty)
120+6'
⚽G. Montiel
Goal (Penalty)
120+7'
⚽J. Caicedo
Goal (Penalty)
120+8'
⚽N. Otamendi
Goal (Penalty)
120+9'
Lineup
23
E. Martínez 7.3
3
N. Tagliafico 6.7
25
⚽ ▾
Lisandro Martínez 7.9
13
C. Romero 7.2
26
▾
N. Molina 6.9
15
N. González 6.5
24
▾
E. Fernández 6.9
20
⚽
A. Mac Allister 7.5
7
R. De Paul 6.5
22
▾
Lautaro Martínez 6.6
10
L. Messi 6.7
22
A. Domínguez 6.3
3
P. Hincapié 6.3
6
W. Pacho 6.7
2
F. Torres 6.9
17
Á. Preciado 7.2
21
▾
A. Franco 6.9
8
▾
C. Gruezo 6.5
16
▾
J. Sarmiento 6.3
23
M. Caicedo 7
10
▾
K. Páez 7
13
▾
E. Valencia 5.6
Argentina 4-4-2
Substitutes
65′ ▲9 6.7 J. Álvarez ▾ Lautaro Martínez 78′ ▲16 6.2 G. Lo Celso ▾ Lisandro Martínez 78′ ▲19 6.7 N. Otamendi ▾ E. Fernández 90′ ▲4 G. Montiel ▾ N. Molina
Coaching staff
L. Scaloni Manager
Bench
11 Á. Di María MID 12 G. Rulli GK 5 L. Paredes MID 8 M. Acuña DEF 14 E. Palacios MID 1 F. Armani GK 2 L. Martínez Quarta DEF 18 G. Rodríguez MID 21 V. Carboni MID 17 A. Garnacho FWD 6 G. Pezzella DEF
Ecuador 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
76′ ▲14 6.9 A. Minda ▾ K. Páez 76′ ▲11 7.5 K. Rodríguez ▾ J. Sarmiento 79′ ▲9 7.5 J. Yeboah ▾ C. Gruezo 80′ ▲15 6.2 Á. Mena ▾ E. Valencia 87′ ▲19 6.7 J. Caicedo ▾ A. Franco
Coaching staff
Félix Sánchez Manager
Bench
7 L. Loor DEF 12 M. Ramírez GK 26 A. Micolta DEF 24 A. Hurtado DEF 25 J. Porozo DEF 5 J. Cifuentes MID 1 H. Galíndez GK 18 J. Ortiz MID 20 J. Corozo MID 4 J. Ordoñez DEF
Player rating API-Football
Argentina
25
Lisandro Martínez
DEF · 78′ · ⚽1
7.9
20
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.5
23
Emiliano Martínez
GK · 90′
7.3
13
Cristian Romero
DEF · 90′
7.2
26
Nahuel Molina
DEF · 89′
6.9
24
Enzo Fernández
MID · 78′
6.9
3
Nicolás Tagliafico
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
10
Lionel Messi C
FWD · 90′
6.7
9
Julián Álvarez
FWD · 25′ · Substitute
6.7
19
Nicolás Otamendi
DEF · 12′ · Substitute
6.7
22
Lautaro Martínez
FWD · 65′
6.6
7
Rodrigo de Paul
MID · 90′
6.5
15
Nicolás González
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.5
16
Giovani Lo Celso
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.2
4
Gonzalo Montiel
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Franco Armani
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Gerónimo Rulli
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
2
Lucas Martínez Quarta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
8
Marcos Acuña
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Germán Pezzella
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
11
Ángel Di María
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
17
Alejandro Garnacho
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Valentín Carboni
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
18
Guido Rodríguez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Leandro Paredes
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Exequiel Palacios
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Ecuador
11
Kevin Rodriguez
FWD · 14′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.5
9
John Yeboah
MID · 11′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.5
17
Ángelo Preciado
DEF · 90′
7.2
10
Kendry Páez
MID · 76′
7
23
Moisés Caicedo
MID · 90′ · 🟨
7
2
Félix Torres
DEF · 90′
6.9
21
Alan Franco
MID · 87′
6.9
14
Alan Minda
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.9
6
Willian Pacho
DEF · 90′
6.7
19
Jordy Caicedo
FWD · 11′ · Substitute
6.7
8
Carlos Gruezo
MID · 79′
6.5
22
Alexander Domínguez
GK · 90′
6.3
3
Piero Hincapié
DEF · 90′
6.3
16
Jeremy Sarmiento
MID · 76′
6.3
15
Ángel Mena
MID · 10′ · Substitute
6.2
13
Enner Valencia C
FWD · 80′ · 🟨
5.6
1
Hernán Galíndez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
12
Moisés Ramírez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Joel Ordóñez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Layan Loor
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
25
Jackson Porozo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
24
Andrés Hurtado
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Andres Micolta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Janner Corozo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
José Cifuentes
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
18
Joao Ortíz
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Argentina × Ecuador
25% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
51% Possession
Argentina Ecuador
0.87Expected Goals (xG)1.73
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
8Shots9
2Shots on Target2
4Shots off Target5
8Shots Inside Box8
0Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots2
374Passes355
310Accurate Passes289
2Corners5
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves1
22Tackles20
10Interceptions7
1Blocks (defensive)2
42Duels Won51
13Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
22% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
49% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Argentina
Lionel Messi
2
Emiliano Martínez
1
Nahuel Molina
1
Rodrigo de Paul
1
Alexis Mac Allister
1
Ecuador
Moisés Caicedo
3
Enner Valencia
1
Alan Minda
1
Kevin Rodriguez
1
John Yeboah
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group A
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Argentina 3300 +59
2 Canada 3111 −14
3 Chile 3021 −12
4 Peru 3012 −31
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