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Finished · CONCACAF Champions Cup
Toluca
4 : 0
Los Angeles FC
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/07 · 01:30
Round
Semi-final
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez — Toluca
Referee
Walter Lopez
AI predictionExpected goals 2.1 : 0.2
🧠 The model favours Toluca at 82%, with expected goals 2-0, and the likeliest scorer is Paulinho (89%).
🤖 AI won
Toluca 82% Draw 15% Los Angeles FC 3%
Toluca 0% Draw 0% Los Angeles FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 71% High confidence
📉 Poor form Los Angeles FC
Most likely score 2 - 0 22%
Both teams to score 16% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 60%
Over 2.5 40%Under 2.5 60%
Win Probability
100%
Toluca 100% Draw 0% Los Angeles FC 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Paulinho
🏠 Toluca
89%
J. Angulo
🏠 Toluca
88%
J. Gallardo
🏠 Toluca
88%
D. Bouanga
✈️ Los Angeles FC
86%
D. Martínez
✈️ Los Angeles FC
55%
Team comparison API-Football
Toluca Los Angeles FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
45%
Team strength
0%
H2H
45%Strength55%
61%Attacking strength39%
36%Defensive strength64%
46%Poisson distribution54%
0%Head-to-head100%
33%Expected goals67%
55%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Los Angeles FC and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 1
0Toluca win
0Draw
1Los Angeles FC win
2026/04/30 Los Angeles FC 2 : 1 Toluca
Key events
🟨Ryan Porteous
Yellow Card
38'
🔄R. Hollingshead⟵J. Shaffelburg
Substitution
46'
⚽Helinho
Goal (Penalty)
49'
⚽E. del Villar
goals
58'
🟨Nicolás Castro
Yellow Card
59'
🔄S. Eustaquio⟵M. Choiniere
Substitution
59'
🔄D. Martinez⟵T. Tillman
Substitution
59'
🔄D. Barbosa⟵M. Isais
Substitution
74'
🔄A. Smolyakov⟵S. Palencia
Substitution
76'
🔄J. Ebobisse⟵A. Long
Substitution
77'
🔄F. Arce⟵Helinho
Substitution
82'
🔄P. Perez⟵J. Angulo
Substitution
82'
🟥Ryan Porteous
Red Card
86'
🔄A. Briseno⟵N. Castro
Substitution
90+2'
⚽PaulinhoAssists P. Perez
goals
90'
⚽PaulinhoAssists P. Perez
goals
90'
Lineup
22
L. Garcia 7.2
17
▾
M. Isais 6.6
25
⚽
E. del Villar 8.3
4
Bruno Mendez 7.2
19
S. Simon 7.6
14
M. Ruiz 7.9
5
F. Romero 7.3
8
▾
N. Castro 7.2
10
▾
J. Angulo 6.9
11
⚽ ▾
Helinho 7.9
26
⚽2
Paulinho 8.5
1
H. Lloris 8.2
33
▾
A. Long 6.2
91
Nkosi Tafari 5.6
5
R. Porteous 6.3
18
▾
J. Shaffelburg 6.7
8
M. Delgado 6.3
66
▾
M. Choiniere 6.3
14
▾
S. Palencia 7.3
11
▾
T. Tillman 7
99
D. Bouanga 6.2
7
Son Heung-Min 6
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
74′ ▲2 6.6 D. Barbosa ▾ M. Isais 82′ ▲24 6.7 F. Arce ▾ Helinho 82′ ▲15 7.6 P. Perez ▾ J. Angulo 90′ ▲3 A. Briseno ▾ N. Castro
Coaching staff
Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio Manager
Bench
1 H. Gonzalez GK 6 F. Pereira DEF 35 A. Alvarez DEF 29 J. Diaz MID 7 S. Cordova MID 27 F. Rossi FWD
Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲24 4.9 R. Hollingshead ▾ J. Shaffelburg 59′ ▲46 6.5 S. Eustaquio ▾ M. Choiniere 59′ ▲30 6.3 D. Martinez ▾ T. Tillman 76′ ▲29 6.2 A. Smolyakov ▾ S. Palencia 77′ ▲17 6.3 J. Ebobisse ▾ A. Long
Coaching staff
Marc Dos Santos Manager
Bench
12 T. Hasal GK 31 C. Carter GK 19 T. Boyd FWD 21 R. Raposo MID 27 N. Ordaz FWD 45 K. Nielsen DEF 4 E. Segura DEF
Player rating API-Football
Toluca
26
Paulinho
FWD · 90′ · ⚽2
8.5
25
Everardo López
DEF · 90′ · ⚽1
8.3
14
Marcel Ruíz C
MID · 90′
7.9
11
Helinho
MID · 82′ · ⚽1
7.9
19
Santiago Simón
DEF · 90′
7.6
15
Pavel Pérez
MID · 8′ · 🅰️2 · Substitute
7.6
5
Franco Romero
MID · 90′
7.3
22
Luis García
GK · 90′
7.2
4
Bruno Méndez
DEF · 90′
7.2
8
Nicolás Castro
MID · 89′ · 🟨
7.2
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
MID · 82′
6.9
24
Fernando Arce Juárez
MID · 8′ · Substitute
6.7
17
Mauricio Isais
DEF · 74′
6.6
2
Diego Barbosa
DEF · 16′ · Substitute
6.6
3
Antonio Briseño
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Hugo Gonzalez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Federico Pereira
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
29
Jorge Díaz
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Sebastián Córdova
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Alek Álvarez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
27
Franco Rossi
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Los Angeles FC
1
Hugo Lloris
GK · 90′
8.2
14
Sergi Palencia
MID · 76′
7.3
11
Timothy Tillman
FWD · 59′
7
18
Jacob Shaffelburg
MID · 45′
6.7
46
Stephen Eustaquio
MID · 31′ · Substitute
6.5
5
Ryan Porteous
DEF · 86′ · 🟨 🟥
6.3
66
Mathieu Choinière
MID · 59′
6.3
8
Mark Delgado
MID · 90′
6.3
30
David Martínez Morales
FWD · 31′ · Substitute
6.3
17
Jeremy Ebobisse
FWD · 13′ · Substitute
6.3
33
Aaron Long C
DEF · 77′
6.2
99
Denis Bouanga
FWD · 90′
6.2
29
Artem Smoliakov
DEF · 14′ · Substitute
6.2
7
Son Heung-min
FWD · 90′
6
91
Nkosi Tafari
DEF · 90′
5.6
24
Ryan Hollingshead
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
4.9
12
Thomas Hasal
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
31
Cabral Carter
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Eddie Segura
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
45
Kenny Nielsen
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Ryan Raposo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Tyler Boyd
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
27
Nathan Ordaz
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Toluca × Los Angeles FC
48% Shot Accuracy
90% Pass Accuracy
64% Possession
Toluca Los Angeles FC
5.04Expected Goals (xG)0.92
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
31Shots5
15Shots on Target1
13Shots off Target4
13Shots Inside Box5
18Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots1
507Passes279
458Accurate Passes204
3Corners2
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves11
15Tackles20
9Interceptions6
0Blocks (defensive)3
35Duels Won42
9Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
20% Shot Accuracy
73% Pass Accuracy
36% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Toluca
Nicolás Castro
5
Paulinho
4
Santiago Simón
3
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
3
Helinho
2
Pavel Pérez
2
Los Angeles FC
Son Heung-min
2
Sergi Palencia
1
Mark Delgado
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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