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Finished · CONCACAF Champions Cup
Toluca
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Match info
Status
Finished (pens)
Date
2026/05/31 · 00:00
Round
Final
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez — Toluca
Referee
Ismail Elfath
AI predictionExpected goals 3.9 : 1.1
🧠 The model favours Toluca at 85%, with expected goals 4-1, and the likeliest scorer is Paulinho (89%).
Toluca 85% Draw 9% Tigres UANL 6%
Toluca 0% Draw 0% Tigres UANL 0%
0 votes
Confidence 71% High confidence
📉 Poor form Tigres UANL ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 3 - 1 7%
Both teams to score 65% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 87%
Over 2.5 87%Under 2.5 13%
Win Probability
100%
Toluca 0% Draw 100% Tigres UANL 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Paulinho
🏠 Toluca
89%
J. Angulo
🏠 Toluca
89%
J. Gallardo
🏠 Toluca
89%
R. Aguirre
✈️ Tigres UANL
77%
O. Herrera
✈️ Tigres UANL
67%
Joaquim
✈️ Tigres UANL
67%
D. Sánchez
✈️ Tigres UANL
31%
Team comparison API-Football
Toluca Tigres UANL
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
50%
H2H
50%Strength50%
62%Attacking strength38%
50%Defensive strength50%
92%Poisson distribution8%
50%Head-to-head50%
60%Expected goals40%
50%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Winner : Toluca
Head-to-head Last 9
4Toluca win
2Draw
3Tigres UANL win
2026/01/18 Tigres UANL 0 : 0 Toluca
2025/12/15 Toluca 2 : 1 Tigres UANL
2025/12/12 Tigres UANL 1 : 0 Toluca
2025/07/27 Toluca 3 : 4 Tigres UANL
2025/05/18 Toluca 3 : 0 Tigres UANL
2025/05/15 Tigres UANL 1 : 1 Toluca
2025/02/02 Toluca 1 : 0 Tigres UANL
2024/11/07 Tigres UANL 2 : 1 Toluca
2024/03/02 Toluca 2 : 1 Tigres UANL
Key events
🔄F. Arce⟵M. Ruiz
Substitution
52'
🔄M. Flores⟵O. Herrera
Substitution
63'
🔄J. Brunetta⟵R. Aguirre
Substitution
68'
🔄M. Farfan⟵V. Lorona
Substitution
68'
🔄P. Perez⟵J. Angulo
Substitution
70'
🔄A. Gignac⟵
Substitution
78'
🔄D. A. Sanchez Guevara⟵C. Araujo
Substitution
78'
🟨Everardo López
Yellow Card
87'
🔄D. Barbosa⟵N. Castro
Substitution
89'
🔄J. Diaz⟵Helinho
Substitution
89'
🟨Diego Lainez
Yellow Card
90+3'
🔄M. Isais⟵E. del Villar
Substitution
91'
🟨Mauricio Isais
Yellow Card
96'
🔄S. Cordova⟵Paulinho
Substitution
101'
⚽J. DiazAssists F. Arce
goals
104'
🔄J. Sanchez⟵J. Garza
Substitution
109'
⚽JoaquimAssists J. Brunetta
goals
114'
Lineup
22
Luis García 8.9
25
▾
Everardo López 6.7
6
Federico Pereira 7.7
4
Bruno Méndez 6.6
19
Santiago Simón 6.3
5
Franco Romero 6.9
8
▾
Nicolás Castro 6.3
14
▾
Marcel Ruíz 6.9
10
▾
Jesús Ricardo Angulo 6.2
11
▾
Helinho 6.9
26
▾
Paulinho 7
1
Nahuel Guzmán 6.3
14
Jesus Garza 7.9
28
⚽
Joaquim 7.7
23
Rômulo Zwarg 6.5
32
▾
Vladimir Loroña 6.6
8
Fernando Gorriarán 7
5
▾
César Araújo 6.9
77
▾
Ozziel Herrera 6.3
7
Ángel Correa 6.7
16
Diego Lainez 6.6
17
▾
Rodrigo Aguirre 6.2
Toluca 4-1-4-1
Substitutes
52′ ▲24 7.2 F. Arce ▾ M. Ruiz 70′ ▲15 6.2 P. Perez ▾ J. Angulo 89′ ▲2 6.5 D. Barbosa ▾ N. Castro 89′ ▲29 7.5 J. Diaz ▾ Helinho 91′ ▲17 5.9 M. Isais ▾ E. del Villar 101′ ▲7 6 S. Cordova ▾ Paulinho
Coaching staff
Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio Manager
Bench
1 Hugo Gonzalez GK 13 Luan DEF 3 Antonio Briseño DEF 16 Erick Orta DEF 33 Victor Arteaga MID 35 Alek Álvarez DEF
Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
63′ ▲20 6.7 M. Flores ▾ O. Herrera 68′ ▲11 7.7 J. Brunetta ▾ R. Aguirre 68′ ▲3 6.3 M. Farfan ▾ V. Lorona 78′ ▲10 7.2 A. Gignac 78′ ▲30 6.7 D. A. Sanchez Guevara ▾ C. Araujo 109′ ▲4 6.6 J. Sanchez ▾ J. Garza
Coaching staff
Guido Pizarro Manager
Bench
13 Antonio Carrera GK 25 Carlos Rodríguez GK 2 Francisco Reyes DEF 27 Jesús Angulo DEF 22 Henrique Simeone Koifman MID 6 Juan Vigón MID
Player rating API-Football
Toluca
22
Luis García
GK · 120′
8.9
6
Federico Pereira
DEF · 120′
7.7
29
Jorge Díaz
MID · 31′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.5
24
Fernando Arce Juárez
MID · 68′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.2
26
Paulinho
FWD · 101′
7
5
Franco Romero
MID · 120′
6.9
11
Helinho
MID · 89′
6.9
14
Marcel Ruíz C
MID · 52′
6.9
25
Everardo López
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
4
Bruno Méndez
DEF · 120′
6.6
2
Diego Barbosa
DEF · 31′ · Substitute
6.5
19
Santiago Simón
DEF · 120′
6.3
8
Nicolás Castro
MID · 89′
6.3
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
MID · 70′
6.2
15
Pavel Pérez
MID · 50′ · Substitute
6.2
7
Sebastián Córdova
MID · 19′ · Substitute
6
17
Mauricio Isais
DEF · 30′ · 🟨 · Substitute
5.9
1
Hugo Gonzalez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
13
Luan
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
3
Antonio Briseño
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Erick Orta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
33
Victor Arteaga
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Alek Álvarez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
Tigres UANL
14
Jesus Garza
DEF · 109′
7.9
28
Joaquim
DEF · 120′ · ⚽1
7.7
11
Juan Brunetta
MID · 52′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.7
10
André-Pierre Gignac
FWD · 42′ · Substitute
7.2
8
Fernando Gorriarán C
MID · 120′
7
5
César Araújo
MID · 78′
6.9
7
Ángel Correa
MID · 120′
6.7
20
Marcelo Flores
MID · 15′ · Substitute
6.7
30
Diego Sánchez
FWD · 42′ · Substitute
6.7
32
Vladimir Loroña
DEF · 68′
6.6
16
Diego Lainez
MID · 120′ · 🟨
6.6
4
Juan José Purata
DEF · 11′ · Substitute
6.6
23
Rômulo Zwarg
DEF · 120′
6.5
1
Nahuel Guzmán
GK · 120′
6.3
77
Ozziel Herrera
MID · 63′
6.3
3
Marco Farfan
DEF · 52′ · Substitute
6.3
17
Rodrigo Aguirre
FWD · 68′
6.2
13
Antonio Carrera
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
25
Carlos Rodríguez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
2
Francisco Reyes
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
27
Jesús Angulo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Henrique Simeone Koifman
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Juan Vigón
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Toluca × Tigres UANL
31% Shot Accuracy
79% Pass Accuracy
45% Possession
Toluca Tigres UANL
13Shots15
4Shots on Target8
6Shots off Target7
7Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots1
418Passes509
329Accurate Passes420
4Corners7
2Offsides0
8Goalkeeper saves3
17Tackles28
10Interceptions10
0Blocks (defensive)3
52Duels Won66
24Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
53% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
55% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Toluca
Santiago Simón
3
Paulinho
2
Everardo López
1
Helinho
1
Marcel Ruíz
1
Nicolás Castro
1
Tigres UANL
Diego Lainez
2
Ángel Correa
2
Juan Brunetta
2
Jesus Garza
1
Fernando Gorriarán
1
Ozziel Herrera
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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