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Finished · Copa Sudamericana
Universidad de Chile
1 : 2
Palestino
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/03/05 · 00:30
Round
Qualifiers · Round 1
Stadium
Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos — Santiago
Referee
Raphael Claus
AI predictionExpected goals 2.3 : 0.6
🧠 The model favours Universidad de Chile at 76%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is E. Vargas (45%).
Universidad de Chile 76% Draw 16% Palestino 8%
Universidad de Chile 0% Draw 0% Palestino 0%
0 votes
Confidence 89% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Universidad de Chile 🛡️ Leaky visitors away Universidad de Chile 📈 In great form Palestino
Most likely score 2 - 0 15%
Both teams to score 41% No
Over / Under 2.5 Over 55%
Over 2.5 55%Under 2.5 45%
Win Probability
100%
Universidad de Chile 0% Draw 0% Palestino 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
E. Vargas
🏠 Universidad de Chile
45%
N. Da Silva
✈️ Palestino
14%
Team comparison API-Football
Universidad de Chile Palestino
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
71%
H2H
0%Strength0%
0%Attacking strength0%
0%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
71%Head-to-head29%
60%Expected goals40%
0%
Team strength
29%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Universidad de Chile or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
4Universidad de Chile win
2Draw
3Palestino win
2026/02/13 Palestino 0 : 0 Universidad de Chile
2025/10/13 Universidad de Chile 2 : 1 Palestino
2025/04/27 Palestino 2 : 3 Universidad de Chile
2024/09/15 Universidad de Chile 1 : 0 Palestino
2024/09/09 Universidad de Chile 0 : 1 Palestino
2024/09/05 Palestino 0 : 5 Universidad de Chile
2024/04/21 Palestino 2 : 2 Universidad de Chile
2023/07/23 Universidad de Chile 0 : 1 Palestino
2023/02/05 Palestino 2 : 0 Universidad de Chile
Key events
🔄M. G. Guerrero Pena⟵J. Lucero
Substitution
17'
🔄C. Munder⟵J. Benitez
Substitution
56'
🔄N. Fernandez⟵F. Hormazabal
Substitution
62'
🔄F. Salomoni⟵M. Morales
Substitution
62'
🔄B. Carrasco⟵M. Araya
Substitution
70'
🔄N. Meza⟵F. T. Montes Romero
Substitution
70'
🔄M. Diaz⟵B. Tamayo
Substitution
83'
⚽N. Da SilvaAssists C. Munder
goals
85'
🟨Dilan Zúñiga
Yellow Card
88'
🟨Bryan Carrasco
Yellow Card
90+2'
🔄A. A. Ceza Gavilan⟵S. Gallegos
Substitution
90+2'
⚽M. G. Guerrero PenaAssists M. Diaz
goals
90'
⚽I. A. Garguez GomezAssists C. Munder
goals
90'
Lineup
25
G. Castellon 6.3
31
▾
B. Tamayo
2
F. Calderon 6.6
5
N. Ramirez 6.7
14
▾
M. Morales 6.3
20
C. Aranguiz 6.3
8
I. E. Poblete Zuniga 6.7
17
▾
F. Hormazabal 6.7
11
Eduardo Vargas 6.2
19
J. Altamirano 6.9
18
▾
J. Lucero 6.6
25
S. A. Perez Kirby 6.9
28
D. Zuniga 6.7
6
F. Meza 7
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
29
⚽
I. A. Garguez Gomez 7.2
5
J. Fernandez 6.7
11
▾
J. Benitez 6.9
18
▾
S. Gallegos 6.6
15
▾
F. T. Montes Romero
21
▾
M. Araya 6.6
19
⚽
N. Da Silva 7.5
Universidad de Chile 3-4-2-1
Substitutes
17′ ▲7 7.5 M. G. Guerrero Pena ▾ J. Lucero 62′ ▲6 6 N. Fernandez ▾ F. Hormazabal 62′ ▲15 F. Salomoni ▾ M. Morales 83′ ▲21 7.3 M. Diaz ▾ B. Tamayo
Coaching staff
Fernando Gago Manager
Bench
1 C. Toselli GK 4 D. Vargas DEF 16 E. Rojas MID 23 I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez FWD 24 L. Romero MID 26 M. Riquelme MID 28 A. Arce MID 32 M. Espinoza FWD
Palestino 4-1-4-1
Substitutes
56′ ▲27 7.7 C. Munder ▾ J. Benitez 70′ ▲7 6.7 B. Carrasco ▾ M. Araya 70′ ▲8 6.7 N. Meza ▾ F. T. Montes Romero 90′ ▲4 A. A. Ceza Gavilan ▾ S. Gallegos
Coaching staff
Cristian Munoz Manager
Bench
1 S. Salas GK 9 R. Fernandez FWD 13 A. Gomez FWD 20 G. Tapia Paez FWD 23 J. Leon DEF 24 D. Salgado 30 I. Alegria FWD
Player rating API-Football
Universidad de Chile
7
Maximiliano Guerrero
FWD · 73′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.5
21
Marcelo Díaz
MID · 15′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.3
31
Bianneider Tamayo
DEF · 83′
6.9
19
Javier Altamirano
FWD · 90′
6.9
5
Nicolás Ramírez
DEF · 90′
6.7
17
Fabián Hormazábal
MID · 62′
6.7
8
Israel Poblete
MID · 90′
6.7
2
Franco Calderón
DEF · 90′
6.6
18
Juan Martín Lucero
FWD · 17′
6.6
25
Gabriel Castellón
GK · 90′
6.3
20
Charles Aránguiz C
MID · 90′
6.3
14
Marcelo Morales
MID · 62′
6.3
11
Eduardo Vargas
FWD · 90′
6.2
15
Felipe Salomoni
DEF · 28′ · Substitute
6.2
6
Nicolás Fernández
DEF · 28′ · Substitute
6
1
Cristopher Toselli
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Diego Vargas
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
26
Matías Riquelme
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
24
Lucas Romero
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Ignacio Vásquez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Elias Rojas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
28
Agustín Arce
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
32
Martín Espinoza Pino
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Palestino
27
César Munder
FWD · 34′ · 🅰️2 · Substitute
7.7
19
Nelson Da Silva
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.5
29
Ian Garguez
DEF · 90′ · ⚽1
7.2
6
Fernando Meza
DEF · 90′
7
25
Sebastián Pérez C
GK · 90′
6.9
15
Francisco Montes
MID · 70′
6.9
11
Jonathan Benítez
MID · 56′
6.9
28
Dilan Zúñiga
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
5
Julián Fernández
MID · 90′
6.7
7
Bryan Carrasco
FWD · 20′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
8
Nicolás Meza
MID · 20′ · Substitute
6.7
2
Vicente Espinoza
DEF · 90′
6.6
21
Martín Araya
MID · 70′
6.6
18
Sebastián Gallegos
MID · 89′
6.6
4
Antonio Ceza
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
—
1
Sebastián Salas
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Jason León
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Gonzalo Tapia
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
30
Ian Alegría
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
9
Ronnie Fernández
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
24
Dilan Salgado
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
13
Albert Gomez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Universidad de Chile × Palestino
17% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
66% Possession
Universidad de Chile Palestino
0.99Expected Goals (xG)1.05
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
12Shots13
2Shots on Target2
3Shots off Target6
7Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots5
493Passes247
408Accurate Passes168
7Corners5
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper saves1
11Tackles18
11Interceptions11
5Blocks (defensive)7
45Duels Won52
7Fouls13
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
15% Shot Accuracy
68% Pass Accuracy
34% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Universidad de Chile
Maximiliano Guerrero
3
Felipe Salomoni
3
Eduardo Vargas
1
Marcelo Díaz
1
Palestino
Martín Araya
2
Sebastián Gallegos
2
Jonathan Benítez
2
César Munder
2
Francisco Montes
1
Nelson Da Silva
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group F
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Atletico Torque 6411 +613
2 Gremio 6321 +511
3 Deportivo Riestra 6123 −65
4 Palestino 6033 −53
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