HomeCopa SudamericanaMatch details
Finished · Copa Sudamericana
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/04/16 · 00:30
Round
Group stage · Round 2
Stadium
Estadio Mâs Monumental — Buenos Aires
Referee
Kevin Ortega
AI predictionExpected goals 1.0 : 0.6
🧠 The model favours River Plate at 41%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is S. Driussi (81%).
🤖 AI won
River Plate 41% Draw 35% Carabobo FC 24%
River Plate 0% Draw 0% Carabobo FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 22% Low confidence
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 20%
Both teams to score 29% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 78%
Over 2.5 22%Under 2.5 78%
Win Probability
100%
River Plate 100% Draw 0% Carabobo FC 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
S. Driussi
🏠 River Plate
81%
Team comparison API-Football
River Plate Carabobo FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
25%
Team strength
0%
H2H
25%Strength75%
50%Attacking strength50%
0%Defensive strength100%
0%Poisson distribution0%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
75%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Carabobo FC and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 2
2River Plate win
0Draw
0Carabobo FC win
2026/05/08 Carabobo FC 1 : 2 River Plate
2026/04/16 River Plate 1 : 0 Carabobo FC
Key events
🟨German Pezzella
Yellow Card
5'
🔄A. MorenoFausto Vera
Substitution
18'
🟨Matías Núñez
Yellow Card
34'
🟨Matías Viña
Yellow Card
40'
🔄S. DriussiK. Castano
Substitution
46'
🔄T. GalvanI. Subiabre
Substitution
46'
🔄K. PaezJ. Quintero
Substitution
51'
S. DriussiAssists K. Paez
goals
66'
🔄E. TortoleroJ. Berios
Substitution
71'
🔄Y. OrozcoM. Cova
Substitution
72'
🔄L. MartinezE. Ramirez
Substitution
72'
🔄M. AcunaM. Vina
Substitution
76'
🔄D. MezaE. Castillo
Substitution
88'
🟨Jonathan Bilbao
Yellow Card
90+5'
Lineup
41
S. Beltran 6.7
18
M. Vina 6.9
13
L. Rivero 7.5
20
G. Pezzella 7.2
16
F. Bustos 7
15
Fausto Vera 7
22
K. Castano 7.3
38
I. Subiabre 6.3
10
J. Quintero 7.7
24
J. Meza 7
35
J. Freitas 6.9
22
L. Bruera 6.9
8
J. Perez 6.3
3
J. Fuentes 6.9
32
E. Neira 6.6
28
J. Bilbao 6.9
21
A. Gonzalez 6.9
15
M. Cova 6.5
26
M. Nunez 7
5
E. Castillo 5.9
24
E. Ramirez 5.9
14
J. Berios
Player rating API-Football
River Plate
10
Juan Fernando Quintero
MID · 51′
7.7
19
Kendry Páez
MID · 39′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.6
13
Lautaro Rivero
DEF · 90′
7.5
6
Aníbal Moreno
MID · 72′ · Substitute
7.5
22
Kevin Castaño
MID · 45′
7.3
20
German Pezzella C
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
7.2
9
Sebastian Driussi
FWD · 45′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.2
16
Fabricio Bustos
DEF · 90′
7
15
Fausto Vera
MID · 18′
7
24
Juan Cruz Meza
MID · 90′
7
26
Tomás Galván
MID · 45′ · Substitute
7
18
Matías Viña
DEF · 76′ · 🟨
6.9
35
Joaquin Freitas
FWD · 90′
6.9
21
Marcos Acuña
DEF · 14′ · Substitute
6.9
41
Santiago Beltrán
GK · 90′
6.7
38
Ian Subiabre
MID · 45′
6.3
33
Ezequiel Centurión
GK · 0′ · Substitute
2
Tobías Ramirez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
17
Paulo Díaz
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
31
Facundo González
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
29
Gonzalo Montiel
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
25
Lautaro Pereyra
MID · 0′ · Substitute
11
Facundo Colidio
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Carabobo FC
26
Matías Núñez
MID · 90′ · 🟨
7
22
Lucas Bruera C
GK · 90′
6.9
21
Alexander Gonzalez
DEF · 90′
6.9
28
Jonathan Bilbao
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
3
Jean Fuentes
DEF · 90′
6.9
14
Joshuan Berríos
FWD · 71′
6.7
10
Yohandry Orozco
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.7
23
Dimas Rafael Meza Daniz
MID · 8′ · Substitute
6.7
32
Ezequiel Neira
DEF · 90′
6.6
15
Maurice Cova
MID · 72′
6.5
7
Edson Tortolero
MID · 19′ · Substitute
6.5
19
Loureins Martínez
FWD · 18′ · Substitute
6.5
8
Juan Camilo Pérez
DEF · 90′
6.3
5
Edson Castillo
MID · 88′
5.9
24
Eric Ramírez
FWD · 72′
5.9
12
Keiber Roa
GK · 0′ · Substitute
4
Leonardo Aponte
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
2
Marcel Guaramato
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
17
Franyer Oliveros
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
16
Franner López
MID · 0′ · Substitute
30
Sebastián Mendoza
MID · 0′ · Substitute
6
Abraham Bahachille
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
29% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
64% Possession
River Plate Carabobo FC
1.85Expected Goals (xG)0.12
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
14Shots4
4Shots on Target1
5Shots off Target1
9Shots Inside Box0
5Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
560Passes311
466Accurate Passes215
3Corners3
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves3
32Tackles18
13Interceptions15
2Blocks (defensive)5
69Duels Won53
10Fouls16
2Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
25% Shot Accuracy
69% Pass Accuracy
36% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
River Plate
Tomás Galván
3
Joaquin Freitas
2
Aníbal Moreno
2
Kendry Páez
2
Lautaro Rivero
1
Juan Fernando Quintero
1
Carabobo FC
Jean Fuentes
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group H
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 River Plate 6420 +614
2 RB Bragantino 6312 +710
3 Carabobo FC 6303 +19
4 Blooming 6015 −141
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