Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/04/28 · 22:00
Round
Group stage · Round 3
Stadium
Pedro Bidegain — Buenos Aires
Referee
Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono
AI predictionExpected goals 1.8 : 1.2
🧠 The model favours San Lorenzo at 51%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Gabriel Barbosa (25%).
San Lorenzo 51%
Draw 23%
Santos 26%
San Lorenzo 0%
Draw 0%
Santos 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
70%
High confidence
🛡️ Leaky visitors away San Lorenzo
📉 Poor form Santos
Most likely score
1 - 1
11%
Both teams to score
58%
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over
58%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%
Win Probability
San Lorenzo 0%
Draw 100%
Santos 0%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI

Gabriel Barbosa
✈️ Santos
25%

Neymar
✈️ Santos
22%

Gabriel Bontempo
✈️ Santos
12%
Key events
⚽A. CuelloAssists F. Gulli
goals
⚽Gabriel BarbosaAssists B. Rollheiser
goals
🟨Luan Peres
Yellow Card
🔄Joao Schmidt⟵Willian Arao
Substitution
🔄N. Barrios⟵M. Reali
Substitution
🔄F. Lopez⟵F. Gulli
Substitution
🔄A. Barreal⟵B. Rollheiser
Substitution
🟨Gonzalo Escobar
Yellow Card
🔄Igor Vinicius⟵Mayke
Substitution
🔄Mateus Xavier⟵Gabriel Barbosa
Substitution
🟨Lucas Veríssimo
Yellow Card
🔄D. Herazo⟵R. Auzmendi
Substitution
🔄G. Rodriguez⟵A. Cuello
Substitution
🔄Thaciano⟵Gabriel Bontempo
Substitution
Lineup
12
O. Gill
55
L. Montenegro
4
J. Romana
32
E. Herrera
6
M. De Ritis
8
M. Insaurralde
10
F. Gulli
▾
24
N. Tripichio
11
M. Reali
▾
9
A. Cuello
⚽ ▾
29
R. Auzmendi
▾
77
Gabriel Brazao
31
G. Escobar
14
Luan Peres
4
Lucas Verissimo
12
Mayke
▾
28
C. Oliva
15
Willian Arao
▾
10
Neymar
32
B. Rollheiser
▾
49
Gabriel Bontempo
▾
9
Gabriel Barbosa
⚽ ▾
San Lorenzo
3-4-2-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Gustavo Alvarez
Manager
Santos
4-2-3-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Cuca
Manager
Player rating API-Football
San Lorenzo
24
7.7
Nicolas Tripichio C
9
7.2
Alexis Cuello
10
7
Facundo Gulli
6
7
Mathias de Ritis
12
6.9
Orlando Gill
4
6.9
Jhohan Romaña
8
6.9
Manuel Insaurralde
11
6.9
Matias Reali
32
6.7
Ezequiel Herrera
29
6.6
Rodrigo Auzmendi
28
6.6
Nahuel Barrios
55
6.5
Lautaro Montenegro
34
6.3
Fabricio López
17
—
Gregorio Rodriguez
18
—
Diego Herazo
25
—
José Devecchi
14
—
Agustin Ladstatter
16
—
Guzmán Corujo
3
—
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
26
—
Gonzalo Abrego
13
—
Juan Rattalino
5
—
Ignacio Perruzzi
44
—
Matías Hernández
Santos
28
7.7
Christian Oliva
14
7.3
Luan Peres
32
7.3
Benjamín Rollheiser
77
7.2
Gabriel Brazão
9
7.2
Gabriel Barbosa
49
7
Gabriel Bontempo
22
7
Álvaro Barreal
12
6.9
Mayke
10
6.9
Neymar C
18
6.7
Igor Vinícius
4
6.6
Lucas Veríssimo
15
6.6
Willian Arao
5
6.6
Joao Schmidt
47
6.5
Mateus Xavier
31
6.3
Gonzalo Escobar
16
—
Thaciano
1
—
Diogenes
26
—
João Paulo Ananias
98
—
Adonis Frías
30
—
Miguelito
7
—
Robinho Júnior
21
—
Moisés
11
—
Rony
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
33%
Shot Accuracy
76%
Pass Accuracy
48%
Possession
San Lorenzo
Santos
1.08Expected Goals (xG)0.40
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
15Shots9
5Shots on Target3
5Shots off Target3
8Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
366Passes422
279Accurate Passes338
4Corners4
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper saves4
18Tackles22
8Interceptions15
3Blocks (defensive)5
48Duels Won48
15Fouls9
0Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
33%
Shot Accuracy
80%
Pass Accuracy
52%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
San Lorenzo
Facundo Gulli
2
Alexis Cuello
2
Jhohan Romaña
1
Nicolas Tripichio
1
Manuel Insaurralde
1
Mathias de Ritis
1
Santos
Neymar
3
Christian Oliva
2
Gabriel Bontempo
2
Benjamín Rollheiser
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta |
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +1 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | −4 | 6 |
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