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Finished · Copa Sudamericana
A. Italiano
1 : 2
Vasco DA Gama
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/06 · 22:00
Round
Group stage · Round 4
Stadium
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida — Santiago
Referee
Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono
AI predictionExpected goals 2.3 : 1.0
🧠 The model favours A. Italiano at 65%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Adson (12%).
A. Italiano 65% Draw 19% Vasco DA Gama 16%
A. Italiano 0% Draw 0% Vasco DA Gama 0%
0 votes
Confidence 89% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home A. Italiano 🛡️ Leaky visitors away A. Italiano 📉 Poor form Vasco DA Gama ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 0 10%
Both teams to score 57% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 64%
Over 2.5 64%Under 2.5 36%
Win Probability
100%
A. Italiano 0% Draw 0% Vasco DA Gama 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Adson
✈️ Vasco DA Gama
12%
Team comparison API-Football
A. Italiano Vasco DA Gama
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
64%
Team strength
100%
H2H
64%Strength36%
56%Attacking strength44%
29%Defensive strength71%
0%Poisson distribution0%
100%Head-to-head0%
67%Expected goals33%
36%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : A. Italiano or draw
Head-to-head Last 1
1A. Italiano win
0Draw
0Vasco DA Gama win
2026/04/15 Vasco DA Gama 1 : 2 A. Italiano
Key events
🥅A. Saldivia
Own Goal
5'
📺Michael Vadulli
Penalty cancelled
42'
🔄Matheus Franca⟵JP
Substitution
46'
🔄Ramon Rique⟵Tche Tche
Substitution
46'
🟨Tomás Ahumada
Yellow Card
51'
🟨Marco Collao
Yellow Card
53'
🟨Matheus França
Yellow Card
57'
📺Marcelo Ortíz
Card upgrade
61'
🟥Marcelo Ortíz
Red Card
62'
🟨Michael Vadulli
Yellow Card
63'
⚽C. Spinelli
Goal (Penalty)
64'
⚽Matheus FrancaAssists N. Moreira
goals
71'
🔄O. J. Rojas Munoz⟵V. Zenteno
Substitution
72'
🟨Cauan Barros
Yellow Card
76'
🟨Lucas Piton
Yellow Card
77'
🔄F. Loyola⟵M. Sandoval
Substitution
83'
🔄R. Cabral⟵G. Chiaverano
Substitution
83'
🔄I. Fuenzalida⟵M. Fuentes
Substitution
83'
🔄Lukas Zuccarello⟵M. Hinestroza
Substitution
89'
🔄Riquelme Avellar⟵N. Moreira
Substitution
89'
🔄Walace Fernandes⟵Lucas Piton
Substitution
89'
🟨Alan Saldivia
Yellow Card
90+6'
🔄D. Coelho⟵M. Collao
Substitution
90'
Lineup
1
T. Ahumada 7.5
23
E. Matus 6.2
4
D. Pina 6.2
29
M. Ortiz 5.5
13
E. Ferrario 6.7
7
P. Guajardo 6.5
2
▾
V. Zenteno 6.3
8
▾
M. Collao 6.7
6
▾
M. Sandoval 6
27
▾
M. Fuentes 5.6
21
▾
G. Chiaverano 6.5
13
Daniel Fuzato 6.3
6
▾
Lucas Piton 6.3
43
Lucas Freitas 7.2
4
⚽
A. Saldivia 6.3
96
Paulo Henrique 7.5
3
▾
Tche Tche 6.3
88
Cauan Barros 6.9
17
▾
N. Moreira 6.9
98
▾
JP 6.9
18
▾
M. Hinestroza 6.9
77
⚽
C. Spinelli 7.9
A. Italiano 5-3-2
Substitutes
72′ ▲16 6.9 O. J. Rojas Munoz ▾ V. Zenteno 83′ ▲17 7 F. Loyola ▾ M. Sandoval 83′ ▲10 6.7 R. Cabral ▾ G. Chiaverano 83′ ▲33 6.3 I. Fuenzalida ▾ M. Fuentes 90′ ▲9 D. Coelho ▾ M. Collao
Coaching staff
Gustavo Lema Manager
Bench
25 P. Garrido 14 D. Monreal 20 M. Jimenez 22 M. Valdes MID 19 T. Leyton MID 30 J. Ahumada FWD 15 T. Cayuqueo DEF
Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲9 7.9 Matheus Franca ▾ JP 46′ ▲83 6.9 Ramon Rique ▾ Tche Tche 89′ ▲86 6.9 Lukas Zuccarello ▾ M. Hinestroza 89′ ▲82 7.2 Riquelme Avellar ▾ N. Moreira 89′ ▲64 6.9 Walace Fernandes ▾ Lucas Piton
Coaching staff
Gaucho Renato Manager
Bench
37 Pablo GK 87 Breninho DEF 67 Samuel MID 54 Alison DEF 74 Andrey Fernandes FWD 80 B. Andre DEF 50 Gustavo Guimaraes MID
Player rating API-Football
A. Italiano
1
Tomás Ahumada
GK · 90′ · 🟨
7.5
17
Favian Loyola
MID · 14′ · Substitute
7
16
Oliver Rojas
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.9
13
Enzo Ferrario
DEF · 90′
6.7
8
Marco Collao C
MID · 89′ · 🟨
6.7
10
Rodrigo Cabral
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.7
7
Paolo Guajardo
DEF · 90′
6.5
21
Giovani Chiaverano
FWD · 83′
6.5
2
Vicente Zenteno
MID · 72′
6.3
33
Ignacio Fuenzalida
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.3
4
Daniel Piña
DEF · 90′
6.2
23
Esteban Matus
DEF · 90′
6.2
6
Mario Sandoval
MID · 83′
6
27
Michael Vadulli
FWD · 83′ · 🟨
5.6
29
Marcelo Ortíz
DEF · 62′ 🟥
5.5
9
Diego Coelho
FWD · 1′ · Substitute
—
25
Pedro Garrido
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Diego Monreal
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Martín Jiménez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
15
Tomás Cayuqueo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Tomás Leyton
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Martín Valdés
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
30
Joel Ahumada
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Vasco DA Gama
77
Claudio Spinelli
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.9
9
Matheus França
FWD · 45′ · ⚽1 · 🟨 · Substitute
7.9
96
Paulo Henrique
DEF · 90′
7.5
43
Lucas Freitas
DEF · 90′
7.2
82
Riquelme Avellar
DEF · 8′ · Substitute
7.2
88
Cauan Barros
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
18
Marino Hinestroza
MID · 89′
6.9
98
JP
MID · 45′
6.9
17
Nuno Moreira
MID · 89′ · 🅰️1
6.9
83
Ramon Rique
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.9
64
Walace
DEF · 8′ · Substitute
6.9
86
Lukas Zuccarello
MID · 8′ · Substitute
6.9
13
Daniel Fuzato
GK · 90′
6.3
4
Alan Saldivia C
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.3
6
Lucas Piton
DEF · 89′ · 🟨
6.3
3
Tchê Tchê
MID · 45′
6.3
37
Pablo
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
54
Alison
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
80
Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
87
Breno Vereza da Silva
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
67
Samuel
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
50
Gustavo Guimarães Soares
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
74
Andrey Fernandes
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
A. Italiano × Vasco DA Gama
30% Shot Accuracy
77% Pass Accuracy
46% Possession
A. Italiano Vasco DA Gama
0.40Expected Goals (xG)2.64
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
10Shots20
3Shots on Target9
5Shots off Target6
3Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots5
315Passes376
244Accurate Passes312
5Corners6
3Offsides0
7Goalkeeper saves3
19Tackles16
3Interceptions4
5Blocks (defensive)2
37Duels Won68
16Fouls9
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
45% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
54% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
A. Italiano
Paolo Guajardo
1
Enzo Ferrario
1
Esteban Matus
1
Mario Sandoval
1
Michael Vadulli
1
Ignacio Fuenzalida
1
Vasco DA Gama
Nuno Moreira
5
Paulo Henrique
3
Matheus França
3
Riquelme Avellar
2
Lucas Piton
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group G
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Olimpia 6411 +413
2 Vasco DA Gama 6312 +410
3 A. Italiano 6213 −27
4 Barracas Central 6033 −63
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