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Finished · Copa Sudamericana
Boston River
2 : 4
Millonarios
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/07 · 22:00
Round
Group stage · Round 4
Stadium
Estadio Centenario — Montevideo
Referee
Carlos Andres Gariano
AI predictionExpected goals 1.3 : 2.5
🧠 The model favours Millonarios at 63%, with expected goals 1-3, and the likeliest scorer is R. Contreras (83%).
🤖 AI won
Boston River 19% Draw 18% Millonarios 63%
Boston River 0% Draw 0% Millonarios 0%
0 votes
Confidence 83% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Boston River ✈️ Dangerous away Millonarios 📉 Poor form Boston River ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 1 - 2 9%
Both teams to score 67% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 73%
Over 2.5 73%Under 2.5 27%
Win Probability
100%
Boston River 0% Draw 0% Millonarios 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
R. Contreras
✈️ Millonarios
83%
Team comparison API-Football
Boston River Millonarios
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
30%
Team strength
0%
H2H
30%Strength70%
20%Attacking strength80%
43%Defensive strength57%
41%Poisson distribution59%
0%Head-to-head100%
0%Expected goals100%
70%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Millonarios and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 1
0Boston River win
0Draw
1Millonarios win
2026/04/16 Millonarios 1 : 0 Boston River
Key events
📺Andrés Llinás
Penalty cancelled
11'
⚽M. HornosAssists G. Reyna
goals
18'
🟨Agustín Aguirre
Yellow Card
45+3'
🟨Alexander González
Yellow Card
45+1'
🔄F. Bonfiglio⟵A. Gonzalez
Substitution
46'
⚽R. Contreras
Goal (Penalty)
50'
🔄A. Amado⟵G. Ramirez
Substitution
56'
🔄F. Munoa⟵M. Hornos
Substitution
56'
🔄Y. Gonzalez⟵A. Romero
Substitution
63'
🔄F. Dafonte⟵F. Barrios
Substitution
63'
🔄B. D. Castro Espinosa⟵M. Garcia
Substitution
69'
⚽Y. GonzalezAssists F. Bonfiglio
goals
75'
🔄J. Angulo⟵S. Viveros
Substitution
76'
🔄S. Vega⟵D. Silva
Substitution
76'
🟨Marco Mancebo
Yellow Card
77'
📺Rodrigo Contreras
Penalty confirmed
78'
📺Leonardo Castro
Penalty cancelled
80'
⚽L. Castro
Goal (Penalty)
81'
⚽R. Contreras
goals
85'
🟨Agustín Amado
Yellow Card
87'
🔄D. Banguero⟵R. Contreras
Substitution
88'
⚽B. D. Castro EspinosaAssists J. Angulo
goals
90'
Lineup
1
B. Antunez 6.5
13
I. Fernandez 5.9
25
A. Aguirre 5.5
3
M. Mancebo 5.6
17
R. Haller 6.2
5
▾
F. Barrios 6.6
20
⚽ ▾
M. Hornos 7.3
11
▾
G. Ramirez 5.9
6
▾
A. Romero 6.7
99
G. Reyna 6.9
9
▾
A. Gonzalez 6.7
12
D. Novoa 6.7
22
S. Valencia 6.6
17
J. Arias 6.6
26
A. Llinas 6.7
2
C. Sarabia 6.2
14
▾
D. Silva 6.9
18
R. Urena 7
19
▾
M. Garcia 6.9
30
▾
S. Viveros
27
⚽2 ▾
R. Contreras 8.5
23
⚽
L. Castro 7.3
Boston River 4-1-4-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲8 6.9 F. Bonfiglio ▾ A. Gonzalez 56′ ▲10 6.7 A. Amado ▾ G. Ramirez 56′ ▲26 6.7 F. Munoa ▾ M. Hornos 63′ ▲32 7.7 Y. Gonzalez ▾ A. Romero 63′ ▲14 6.5 F. Dafonte ▾ F. Barrios
Coaching staff
Ignacio Ithurralde Saez Manager
Bench
12 J. Gonzalez GK 28 F. Martinicorena FWD 23 M. Rivero DEF 31 J. Acosta DEF 2 K. Sotto DEF 19 A. Granja DEF 29 A. Lima MID
Millonarios 4-4-2
Substitutes
69′ ▲11 7 B. D. Castro Espinosa ▾ M. Garcia 76′ ▲24 7.2 J. Angulo ▾ S. Viveros 76′ ▲28 6.6 S. Vega ▾ D. Silva 88′ ▲20 6.6 D. Banguero ▾ R. Contreras
Coaching staff
Fabian Bustos Manager
Bench
1 G. De Amores GK 33 A. Castro FWD 4 E. Elizalde DEF 99 J. Hurtado FWD 29 A. F. Moreno Paz DEF 35 S. Mosquera 3 M. Samuel DEF
Player rating API-Football
Boston River
32
Yair González
FWD · 27′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.7
20
Marcelo Hornos
MID · 56′ · ⚽1
7.3
99
Gonzalo Reyna
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
6.9
8
Francisco Bonfiglio
FWD · 45′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
6.9
6
Andrés Romero
MID · 63′
6.7
9
Alexander González
FWD · 45′ · 🟨
6.7
26
Facundo Muñoa
MID · 34′ · Substitute
6.7
10
Agustín Amado
MID · 34′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
5
Francisco Barrios
MID · 63′
6.6
1
Bruno Antúnez C
GK · 90′
6.5
14
Federico Dafonte
MID · 27′ · Substitute
6.5
17
Rafael Haller
DEF · 90′
6.2
13
Ignacio Fernandez
DEF · 90′
5.9
11
Gastón Ramírez
MID · 56′
5.9
3
Marco Mancebo
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
5.6
25
Agustín Aguirre
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
5.5
12
Juan Ignacio González
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
2
Kevin Sotto
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
31
Juan Acosta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
19
Agustín Granja
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Mateo Rivero
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
29
Andy López
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
28
Francisco Martinicorena
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Millonarios
27
Rodrigo Contreras
FWD · 88′ · ⚽2
8.5
23
Leonardo Castro
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.3
24
Julian Angulo
FWD · 14′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
7.2
18
Rodrigo Ureña
MID · 90′
7
11
Beckham Castro
FWD · 21′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7
19
Mateo García
MID · 69′
6.9
14
David Macalister Silva C
MID · 76′
6.9
12
Diego Novoa
GK · 90′
6.7
26
Andrés Llinás
DEF · 90′
6.7
17
Jorge Arias
DEF · 90′
6.6
22
Sebastián Valencia
DEF · 90′
6.6
28
Stiven Vega
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.6
20
Danovis Banguero
DEF · 9′ · Substitute
6.6
30
Sebastián del Castillo
MID · 76′
6.5
2
Carlos Sarabia
DEF · 90′
6.2
1
Guillermo De Amores
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Edgar Elizalde
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
29
Alex Moreno
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
3
Samuel Martín
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
33
Alex Castro
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Sebastián Mosquera
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
99
Jorge Hurtado
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Boston River × Millonarios
50% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
52% Possession
Boston River Millonarios
0.61Expected Goals (xG)4.02
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
8Shots29
4Shots on Target10
4Shots off Target13
7Shots Inside Box15
1Shots Outside Box14
0Blocked Shots6
401Passes369
324Accurate Passes281
2Corners9
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper saves2
10Tackles17
11Interceptions9
6Blocks (defensive)0
43Duels Won53
11Fouls12
4Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
34% Shot Accuracy
76% Pass Accuracy
48% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Boston River
Facundo Muñoa
2
Rafael Haller
1
Gonzalo Reyna
1
Gastón Ramírez
1
Francisco Bonfiglio
1
Yair González
1
Millonarios
Mateo García
3
David Macalister Silva
3
Leonardo Castro
3
Sebastián Valencia
2
Rodrigo Ureña
2
Carlos Sarabia
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group C
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6330 +512
2 O'Higgins 6312 +210
3 Millonarios 6222 +08
4 Boston River 6105 −73
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