Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/21 · 00:00
Round
Group stage · Round 5
Stadium
Arena do Grêmio — Porto Alegre
Referee
Carlos P. Benitez
AI predictionExpected goals 2.1 : 1.2
🧠 The model favours Gremio at 60%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Carlos Vinícius (62%).
🤖 AI won
Gremio 60%
Draw 20%
Palestino 20%
Gremio 0%
Draw 0%
Palestino 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
89%
High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Gremio
🛡️ Leaky visitors away Gremio
📈 In great form Palestino
⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score
2 - 1
10%
Both teams to score
61%
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over
64%
Over 2.5 64%Under 2.5 36%
Win Probability
Gremio 100%
Draw 0%
Palestino 0%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI

Carlos Vinícius
🏠 Gremio
62%

N. Da Silva
✈️ Palestino
27%
Key events
🟨Ronnie Fernández
Yellow Card
⚽M. Braithwaite
goals
🟨Julián Fernández
Yellow Card
🟨Leonel Pérez
Yellow Card
🔄Riquelme⟵L. Perez
Substitution
🔄I. A. Garguez Gomez⟵D. Salgado
Substitution
🔄C. Munder⟵I. Alegria
Substitution
🟨Ian Garguez
Yellow Card
🟨Bryan Carrasco
Yellow Card
🟨Viery
Yellow Card
🔄Walter Kannemann⟵Luis Eduardo
Substitution
🔄Carlos Vinicius⟵Gabriel Mec
Substitution
⚽C. Pavon
goals
🔄G. Tapia Paez⟵F. T. Montes Romero
Substitution
🔄Tete⟵J. Enamorado
Substitution
🔄Wagner Leonardo⟵Viery
Substitution
🔄N. Da Silva⟵R. Fernandez
Substitution
🔄M. Araya⟵B. Carrasco
Substitution
🟨Riquelme Freitas
Yellow Card
Lineup
1
Weverton
54
Pedro Gabriel
44
Viery
▾
43
Luis Eduardo
▾
7
C. Pavon
⚽
19
E. Noriega
33
L. Perez
▾
9
F. Amuzu
37
Gabriel Mec
▾
99
J. Enamorado
▾
22
M. Braithwaite
⚽
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
23
J. Leon
3
E. Roco
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
24
D. Salgado
▾
5
J. Fernandez
18
S. Gallegos
30
I. Alegria
▾
15
F. T. Montes Romero
▾
7
B. Carrasco
▾
9
R. Fernandez
▾
Gremio
4-2-3-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Luis Castro
Manager
Palestino
4-2-3-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Guillermo Farre
Manager
Player rating API-Football
Gremio
7
9.2
Cristian Pavón
1
7.6
Weverton C
54
7.5
Pedro Gabriel
22
7.5
Martin Braithwaite
44
7.3
Viery
37
7.3
Gabriel Mec
4
7.3
Walter Kannemann
43
7.2
Luis Guedes
19
7.2
Erick Noriega
33
6.9
Leonel Pérez
9
6.9
Francis Amuzu
21
6.9
Tetê
65
6.7
Riquelme Freitas
99
6.6
José Enamorado
95
6.6
Carlos Vinícius
3
6.6
Wagner Leonardo
24
—
Thiago Beltrame
38
—
Caio Paulista
14
—
Marcos Rocha
39
—
Tiaguinho
11
—
Miguel Monsalve
17
—
Dodi
77
—
André Henrique
Palestino
29
7.5
Ian Garguez
18
6.9
Sebastián Gallegos
15
6.9
Francisco Montes
27
6.9
César Munder
25
6.7
Sebastián Pérez
24
6.5
Dilan Salgado
3
6.5
Enzo Roco
9
6.5
Ronnie Fernández
2
6.3
Vicente Espinoza
20
6.3
Gonzalo Tapia
19
6.3
Nelson Da Silva
23
6.2
Jason León
5
6.2
Julián Fernández
7
6.2
Bryan Carrasco C
30
6.2
Ian Alegría
21
6.2
Martín Araya
1
—
Sebastián Salas
4
—
Antonio Ceza
6
—
Fernando Meza
16
—
José Bizama
8
—
Nicolás Meza
13
—
Albert Gomez
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
36%
Shot Accuracy
84%
Pass Accuracy
56%
Possession
Gremio
Palestino
1.74Expected Goals (xG)1.40
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
11Shots18
4Shots on Target4
3Shots off Target7
6Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots7
413Passes322
348Accurate Passes242
3Corners10
—Offsides—
3Goalkeeper saves2
16Tackles21
10Interceptions11
8Blocks (defensive)4
64Duels Won58
15Fouls16
3Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
22%
Shot Accuracy
75%
Pass Accuracy
44%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Gremio
Cristian Pavón
1
Pedro Gabriel
1
Erick Noriega
1
José Enamorado
1
Martin Braithwaite
1
Palestino
César Munder
3
Enzo Roco
2
Sebastián Gallegos
2
Bryan Carrasco
2
Jason León
1
Julián Fernández
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo Riestra |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −6 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −5 | 3 |
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