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# Bolívar Holds Off Gremio in Thrilling Copa Sudamericana Clash

Bolívar secured a 3-2 victory over Gremio in an entertaining Copa Sudamericana encounter that matched the pre-match prediction favoring the home side. The match was decided by a five-goal thriller, with Bolívar striking first through Cauteruccio in the second minute before Gremio equalized through Villasanti just fourteen minutes later. The intensity continued as Robson Matheus restored Bolívar's lead shortly after, only for Tetê to level the score once more, setting up a compelling second half in which Diego Asprilla's fifty-eighth minute goal proved decisive.

Despite the closely contested nature of the contest, Bolívar's attacking efficiency ultimately made the difference. Gremio goalkeeper Weverton posted an impressive eight point three rating in a losing effort, while Tetê earned seven point nine for his attacking contributions, but the visitors could not find the equalizer they needed. Bolívar's Patricio Rodríguez delivered a commanding defensive performance with an eight point two rating, anchoring his side's backline as they held on to secure three crucial points.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/23 · 22:00
Round
Round of 32
Stadium
Estadio Hernando Siles — La Paz
Referee
Roberto Perez Gutierrez
AI predictionExpected goals 1.3 : 0.8
🧠 The model favours Bolívar at 50%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is Carlos Vinícius (30%).
🤖 AI won
Bolívar 50% Draw 28% Gremio 22%
Bolívar 0% Draw 0% Gremio 0%
0 votes
Confidence 65% Medium confidence
Most likely score 1 - 0 16%
Both teams to score 40% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 65%
Over 2.5 35%Under 2.5 65%
Win Probability
100%
Bolívar 100% Draw 0% Gremio 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Carlos Vinícius
✈️ Gremio
30%
Team comparison API-Football
Bolívar Gremio
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
0%
H2H
0%Strength100%
0%Attacking strength100%
100%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
100%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: No predictions available
Head-to-head Last 1
1Bolívar win
0Draw
0Gremio win
2026/07/23 Bolívar 3 : 2 Gremio
Key events
M. CauteruccioAssists Pato Rodriguez
goals
2'
M. Villasanti
goals
16'
Robson Matheus
goals
18'
Tete
goals
23'
🟨L. Perez
Yellow Card
54'
D. AsprillaAssists J. Sagredo
goals
58'
🔄Gustavo MartinsLuis Eduardo
Substitution
60'
🔄Gabriel MecJ. Enamorado
Substitution
60'
🔄M. MonsalveTete
Substitution
60'
🔄L. JustinianoE. Vaca Moreno
Substitution
64'
🔄L. PazJ. Sagredo
Substitution
64'
🔄J. NardoniM. Villasanti
Substitution
67'
🟨Gabriel Mec
Yellow Card
72'
🔄J. VelasquezPato Rodriguez
Substitution
81'
🔄L. L. Chavez CruzM. Cauteruccio
Substitution
82'
🔄D. RomeroRobson Matheus
Substitution
84'
🔄Matheus NascimentoM. Braithwaite
Substitution
90+2'
Lineup
1
Carlos Lampe 6.2
4
José Sagredo 7
3
Xavier Arreaga 6.2
5
Santiago Echeverria 6.5
2
Jesús Sagredo 6.7
17
Patricio Rodríguez 8.2
80
Carlos Melgar 7
6
Ervin Vaca 6
14
Robson Matheus 7.2
9
Martín Cauteruccio 7.3
27
Dairon Asprilla 7.3
1
Weverton 8.3
54
Pedro Gabriel 5.9
3
Wagner Leonardo 6.9
43
Luis Guedes 6.3
7
Cristian Pavón 6.5
17
Dodi 7.2
33
Leonel Pérez 6.3
20
Mathias Villasanti 7
99
José Enamorado 6.7
22
Martin Braithwaite 6.9
21
Tetê 7.9
Player rating API-Football
Bolívar
17
Patricio Rodríguez
MID · 81′ · 🅰️1
8.2
27
Dairon Asprilla
FWD · 95′ · ⚽1
7.3
9
Martín Cauteruccio
FWD · 81′ · ⚽1
7.3
14
Robson Matheus
MID · 84′ · ⚽1
7.2
23
Leonel Justiniano
MID · 31′ · Substitute
7.2
4
José Sagredo C
DEF · 95′
7
80
Carlos Melgar
MID · 95′
7
77
Dorny Romero
FWD · 11′ · Substitute
6.9
2
Jesús Sagredo
DEF · 64′ · 🅰️1
6.7
8
Luis Paz
DEF · 31′ · Substitute
6.7
7
Jhon Velásquez
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.7
5
Santiago Echeverria
DEF · 95′
6.5
18
Lucas Chávez
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.5
1
Carlos Lampe
GK · 95′
6.2
3
Xavier Arreaga
DEF · 95′
6.2
6
Ervin Vaca
MID · 64′
6
13
Diego Méndez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
16
Leonardo Zabala
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
35
Escleizon Freita
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
33
Fernando Mena
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
26
Erwin Saavedra
MID · 0′ · Substitute
10
Billy Arce
MID · 0′ · Substitute
19
John García
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Gremio
1
Weverton
GK · 95′
8.3
21
Tetê
FWD · 60′ · ⚽1
7.9
17
Dodi
MID · 95′
7.2
20
Mathias Villasanti C
MID · 67′ · ⚽1
7
3
Wagner Leonardo
DEF · 95′
6.9
22
Martin Braithwaite
FWD · 92′
6.9
99
José Enamorado
FWD · 60′
6.7
5
Juan Nardoni
MID · 28′ · Substitute
6.6
7
Cristian Pavón
DEF · 95′
6.5
6
Gustavo Martins
DEF · 35′ · Substitute
6.5
43
Luis Guedes
DEF · 60′
6.3
33
Leonel Pérez
MID · 95′ · 🟨
6.3
11
Miguel Monsalve
MID · 35′ · Substitute
6.3
37
Gabriel Mec
FWD · 35′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.3
54
Pedro Gabriel
DEF · 95′
5.9
30
Matheus Nascimento
FWD · 3′ · Substitute
12
Gabriel Grando
GK · 0′ · Substitute
4
Walter Kannemann
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
38
Caio Paulista
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
14
Marcos Rocha
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
10
Willian
MID · 0′ · Substitute
50
Zortéa
MID · 0′ · Substitute
65
Riquelme Freitas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
28% Shot Accuracy
92% Pass Accuracy
57% Possession
Bolívar Gremio
4.01Expected Goals (xG)1.19
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
29Shots13
8Shots on Target5
14Shots off Target8
14Shots Inside Box9
15Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots0
400Passes312
368Accurate Passes253
6Corners6
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper saves5
9Tackles14
9Interceptions9
1Blocks (defensive)6
34Duels Won43
12Fouls4
0Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
38% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
43% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Bolívar
Patricio Rodríguez
6
Robson Matheus
5
Jesús Sagredo
3
Carlos Melgar
3
Leonel Justiniano
2
José Sagredo
1
Gremio
Tetê
2
Martin Braithwaite
2
Cristian Pavón
1
José Enamorado
1
Gabriel Mec
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group F
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Atletico Torque 6411 +613
2 Gremio 6321 +511
3 Deportivo Riestra 6123 −65
4 Palestino 6033 −53
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