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Finished · Copa Sudamericana
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# Santa Fe Advances in Copa Sudamericana with Dominant Display

Santa Fe secured a commanding two-nil victory over Caracas FC in Copa Sudamericana, with goals from Héctor Rodallega in the thirtieth minute and Fredy Fagundez in the eighty-fourth minute sealing progression in the competition. The result proved a mild surprise given the pre-match model had favored the Venezuelan side with a forty percent win probability compared to Santa Fe's thirty-six percent, suggesting the Colombian outfit exceeded expectations with a convincing performance. The home side controlled proceedings throughout, and their superior execution ultimately made the difference in a one-sided affair.

Santa Fe's defensive stability proved crucial to their success, with centre-back Emanuel Olivera and midfielder Daniel Torres both earning seven-point-seven ratings for their commanding displays. Helibelton Palacios also impressed for the winners with a seven-point-six rating, demonstrating a well-organized defensive unit that frustrated Caracas FC's attacking threats. The comprehensive victory puts Santa Fe in a strong position as the competition progresses, while Caracas FC faces an uphill battle to recover from this setback.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/24 · 00:30
Round
Round of 32
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin — Bogota
Referee
Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar
AI predictionExpected goals 1.5 : 1.6
🧠 The model favours Caracas FC at 40%, with expected goals 2-2, and the likeliest scorer is W. Correa (41%).
Santa Fe 36% Draw 24% Caracas FC 40%
Santa Fe 0% Draw 0% Caracas FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 39% Low confidence
✈️ Dangerous away Caracas FC 📉 Poor form Santa Fe
Most likely score 1 - 1 11%
Both teams to score 62% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 60%
Over 2.5 60%Under 2.5 40%
Win Probability
100%
Santa Fe 100% Draw 0% Caracas FC 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
W. Correa
✈️ Caracas FC
41%
Team comparison API-Football
Santa Fe Caracas FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
0%
H2H
0%Strength100%
0%Attacking strength100%
100%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
100%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: No predictions available
Key events
H. RodallegaAssists N. Bustos
goals
30'
🔄J. TorresK. D. Toscano Bassa
Substitution
62'
🔄M. LoveraO. Fernandez
Substitution
62'
🔄A. VillarrealW. Correa
Substitution
66'
🔄J. De SantisS. Gonzalez
Substitution
67'
🔄A. ZapataJ. Obrian
Substitution
78'
🔄C. MaflaJ. Angulo
Substitution
78'
🔄C. VegasRobert Hernandez
Substitution
82'
🔄A. FigueroaM. Covea
Substitution
82'
🔄F. FagundezN. Bustos
Substitution
84'
F. FagundezAssists C. Mafla
goals
84'
Lineup
1
Andrés Mosquera 6.9
24
Jeison Angulo 6.9
3
Victor Moreno 6.7
18
Emanuel Olivera 7.7
13
Helibelton Palacios 7.6
16
Daniel Torres 7.7
6
Kilian Toscano 7
8
Omar Fernández 6.7
19
Nahuel Bustos 7.3
77
Jader Obrian 6.3
11
Hugo Rodallega 7.3
1
Frankarlos Benítez 6.3
13
Jesus Yendis 6.3
14
Francisco La Mantía 6.5
4
Jesús Quintero 6.5
2
Eduardo Fereira 6
8
Irving Gudiño 6.3
15
Christian Larotonda 6.3
7
Robert Hernández 6.2
10
Michael Covea 6.6
33
Wilfred Correa Sanmartín 6.2
27
Sebastián González 6.5
Player rating API-Football
Santa Fe
18
Emanuel Olivera
DEF · 96′
7.7
16
Daniel Torres
MID · 96′
7.7
13
Helibelton Palacios
DEF · 96′
7.6
9
Franco Fagúndez
FWD · 12′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.6
19
Nahuel Bustos
MID · 84′ · 🅰️1
7.3
11
Hugo Rodallega C
FWD · 96′ · ⚽1
7.3
6
Kilian Toscano
MID · 62′
7
1
Andrés Mosquera
GK · 96′
6.9
24
Jeison Angulo
DEF · 78′
6.9
7
Jhojan Torres
FWD · 34′ · Substitute
6.9
17
Maximiliano Lovera
FWD · 34′ · Substitute
6.9
32
Christian Mafla
DEF · 18′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
6.9
3
Victor Moreno
DEF · 96′
6.7
8
Omar Fernández
MID · 62′
6.7
10
Alexis Zapata
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.7
77
Jader Obrian
MID · 78′
6.3
12
Weibmar Asprilla
GK · 0′ · Substitute
4
Mateo Puerta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
15
Ivan Scarpeta
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
43
Jean Caicedo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
20
Yilmar Velázquez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
40
Martin Palacios
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
14
Luis Angel Palacios
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Caracas FC
39
Alejandro Villareal
FWD · 30′ · Substitute
6.7
9
Jeriel De Santis
FWD · 29′ · Substitute
6.7
10
Michael Covea
MID · 82′
6.6
37
Charly Vegas
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.6
4
Jesús Quintero
DEF · 96′
6.5
14
Francisco La Mantía C
DEF · 96′
6.5
27
Sebastián González
FWD · 67′
6.5
22
Angel Figueroa
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.5
1
Frankarlos Benítez
GK · 96′
6.3
13
Jesus Yendis
DEF · 96′
6.3
15
Christian Larotonda
MID · 96′
6.3
8
Irving Gudiño
MID · 96′
6.3
33
Wilfred Correa Sanmartín
MID · 66′
6.2
7
Robert Hernández
MID · 82′
6.2
2
Eduardo Fereira
DEF · 96′
6
12
Juan Vegas
GK · 0′ · Substitute
30
Aytor Herrera
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
41
Ángel López
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
3
Luigi Pagano
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
20
Luis Maestre
MID · 0′ · Substitute
5
Miguel Vegas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
17
Lucciano Reinoso
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
11
Mauricio Márquez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
15% Shot Accuracy
84% Pass Accuracy
57% Possession
Santa Fe Caracas FC
0.82Expected Goals (xG)0.52
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
13Shots10
2Shots on Target1
9Shots off Target7
4Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
480Passes368
403Accurate Passes303
5Corners2
0Offsides3
Goalkeeper saves
17Tackles8
7Interceptions12
3Blocks (defensive)2
40Duels Won33
10Fouls6
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
10% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
43% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Santa Fe
Daniel Torres
3
Nahuel Bustos
2
Helibelton Palacios
1
Omar Fernández
1
Hugo Rodallega
1
Maximiliano Lovera
1
Caracas FC
Jesus Yendis
1
Christian Larotonda
1
Irving Gudiño
1
Michael Covea
1
Robert Hernández
1
Sebastián González
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group E
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Botafogo 6510 +1016
2 Caracas FC 6231 +09
3 Racing Club 6222 +28
4 Independiente 6006 −120
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