HomeCopa SudamericanaMatch details
Finished · Copa Sudamericana
📝 Match Recap AI

# Boca Juniors Edges Past O'Higgins in Copa Sudamericana Thriller

Boca Juniors secured a narrow one-nil victory over O'Higgins in Copa Sudamericana play, with Miguel Merentiel's goal in the forty-fourth minute proving decisive. The result aligned with pre-match expectations, as the model had favored Boca with a fifty-six percent win probability, though the Chilean side's resilient performance suggested a more competitive contest than the final score indicated. O'Higgins pressed for an equalizer throughout but couldn't find a breakthrough against Boca's organized defense.

Despite the narrow scoreline, Boca's attacking players made the difference when it mattered. Merentiel and Lautaro Blanco both earned ratings of around seven point nine, reflecting their influential displays in the final third, while O'Higgins' Alan Robledo stood out with a team-leading eight rating, showcasing why the visitors remained competitive. The win keeps Boca's Copa Sudamericana campaign on track, though their ability to convert chances will be crucial as they progress deeper into the competition.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/24 · 00:30
Round
Round of 32
Stadium
Alberto Jose Armando — Buenos Aires
Referee
Andres Matonte
AI predictionExpected goals 1.6 : 0.7
🧠 The model favours Boca Juniors at 60%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is M. Merentiel (74%).
🤖 AI won
Boca Juniors 60% Draw 24% O'Higgins 16%
Boca Juniors 0% Draw 0% O'Higgins 0%
0 votes
Confidence 85% High confidence
🛡️ Leaky visitors away Boca Juniors 📉 Poor form O'Higgins
Most likely score 1 - 0 16%
Both teams to score 40% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 60%
Over 2.5 40%Under 2.5 60%
Win Probability
100%
Boca Juniors 100% Draw 0% O'Higgins 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
M. Merentiel
🏠 Boca Juniors
74%
F. González
✈️ O'Higgins
17%
Team comparison API-Football
Boca Juniors O'Higgins
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
0%
H2H
0%Strength100%
0%Attacking strength100%
100%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
100%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: No predictions available
Head-to-head Last 1
1Boca Juniors win
0Draw
0O'Higgins win
2026/07/24 Boca Juniors 1 : 0 O'Higgins
Key events
Miguel MerentielAssists L. Paredes
goals
44'
🔄S. AscacibarT. Aranda
Substitution
60'
🟨F. Faundez
Yellow Card
61'
🔄B. YanezB. Rabello
Substitution
70'
🔄T. AvilesJ. Leiva
Substitution
70'
🔄M. BraidaD. Gorosito
Substitution
78'
🔄A. VelascoL. Flores
Substitution
78'
🔄M. MaturanaMartin Sarrafiore
Substitution
79'
🔄N. GarridoA. Robledo
Substitution
79'
🔄T. VecinoA. Castillo
Substitution
82'
🔄K. ZenonS. Villa
Substitution
90'
Lineup
1
Álvaro Montero 7.3
3
Lautaro Blanco 7.9
32
Ayrton Costa 7.2
4
Nicolás Figal 7
24
Dylan Gorosito 6.6
10
Tomás Aranda 6.3
5
Leandro Paredes 7.3
18
Milton Delgado 6.6
22
Sebastián Villa 6.9
16
Miguel Merentiel 7.9
19
Leonel Flores 6.6
31
Omar Carabalí 6.9
6
Luis Pavez Muñoz 6.5
33
Miguel Brizuela 7.2
22
Alan Robledo 8
3
Felipe Faúndez 6.3
11
Juan Leiva 6.6
8
Felipe Ogaz 7.9
7
Martín Sarrafiore 6.5
10
Bryan Rabello 6.5
24
Francisco González 6.7
9
Arnaldo Castillo 6.9
Player rating API-Football
Boca Juniors
3
Lautaro Blanco
DEF · 96′
7.9
16
Miguel Merentiel
FWD · 96′ · ⚽1
7.9
1
Álvaro Montero
GK · 96′
7.3
5
Leandro Paredes C
MID · 96′ · 🅰️1
7.3
32
Ayrton Costa
DEF · 96′
7.2
4
Nicolás Figal
DEF · 96′
7
22
Sebastián Villa
FWD · 90′
6.9
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
MID · 36′ · Substitute
6.9
24
Dylan Gorosito
DEF · 78′
6.6
18
Milton Delgado
MID · 96′
6.6
19
Leonel Flores
FWD · 78′
6.6
20
Alan Velasco
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.5
10
Tomás Aranda
MID · 60′
6.3
27
Malcom Braida
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.3
21
Kevin Zenón
MID · 6′ · Substitute
13
Javier García
GK · 0′ · Substitute
12
Leandro Brey
GK · 0′ · Substitute
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
26
Marco Pellegrino
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
23
Camilo Rey Domenech
MID · 0′ · Substitute
15
Williams Alarcón
MID · 0′ · Substitute
11
Ángel Romero
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
37
Gonzalo Gelini
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
O'Higgins
22
Alan Robledo C
DEF · 79′
8
8
Felipe Ogaz
MID · 96′
7.9
21
Nicolás Garrido
DEF · 17′ · Substitute
7.3
33
Miguel Brizuela
DEF · 96′
7.2
31
Omar Carabalí
GK · 96′
6.9
9
Arnaldo Castillo
FWD · 82′
6.9
17
Tomás Avilés
DEF · 26′ · Substitute
6.9
29
Bastián Yáñez
FWD · 26′ · Substitute
6.9
24
Francisco González
MID · 96′
6.7
14
Martín Maturana
MID · 17′ · Substitute
6.7
11
Juan Leiva
MID · 70′
6.6
6
Luis Pavez Muñoz
DEF · 96′
6.5
10
Bryan Rabello
MID · 70′
6.5
7
Martín Sarrafiore
MID · 79′
6.5
32
Thiago Vecino
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.5
3
Felipe Faúndez
DEF · 96′ · 🟨
6.3
23
Diego Carreño
GK · 0′ · Substitute
1
Jorge Peña
GK · 0′ · Substitute
27
José Movillo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
20
Leandro Díaz
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
2
Cristian Morales
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
18
Esteban Moreira
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
26
Rodrigo Godoy
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
13% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
59% Possession
Boca Juniors O'Higgins
1.39Expected Goals (xG)0.55
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
15Shots10
2Shots on Target3
6Shots off Target6
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots1
536Passes378
465Accurate Passes293
7Corners3
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper saves1
11Tackles23
14Interceptions9
1Blocks (defensive)7
39Duels Won53
11Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
30% Shot Accuracy
78% Pass Accuracy
41% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Boca Juniors
Miguel Merentiel
4
Tomás Aranda
3
Nicolás Figal
1
Lautaro Blanco
1
Milton Delgado
1
Leandro Paredes
1
O'Higgins
Francisco González
4
Arnaldo Castillo
2
Alan Robledo
1
Luis Pavez Muñoz
1
Bryan Rabello
1
Bastián Yáñez
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group C
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6330 +512
2 O'Higgins 6312 +210
3 Millonarios 6222 +08
4 Boston River 6105 −73
Discussion 0 comments
No comments yet. Be the first!