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Finished · Copa Libertadores
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Rosario Central
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/27 · 22:00
Round
Group stage · Round 6
Stadium
Estadio Banco Guayaquil — Quito
Referee
R. Claus
AI predictionExpected goals 0.5 : 1.0
🧠 The model favours Rosario Central at 47%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is E. Copetti (43%).
Independiente del Valle 18% Draw 35% Rosario Central 47%
Independiente del Valle 0% Draw 0% Rosario Central 0%
0 votes
Confidence 50% Medium confidence
🏠 Strong at home Independiente del Valle 📈 In great form Independiente del Valle 📈 In great form Rosario Central 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 22%
Both teams to score 25% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 81%
Over 2.5 19%Under 2.5 81%
Win Probability
100%
Independiente del Valle 100% Draw 0% Rosario Central 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
E. Copetti
✈️ Rosario Central
43%
C. González
🏠 Independiente del Valle
24%
Team comparison API-Football
Independiente del Valle Rosario Central
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
43%
Team strength
50%
H2H
43%Strength57%
53%Attacking strength47%
0%Defensive strength100%
0%Poisson distribution100%
50%Head-to-head50%
0%Expected goals0%
57%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Rosario Central
Head-to-head Last 1
0Independiente del Valle win
1Draw
0Rosario Central win
2026/04/09 Rosario Central 0 : 0 Independiente del Valle
Key events
🟨Enzo Copetti
Yellow Card
13'
🟨Junior Sornoza
Yellow Card
45+5'
🟨Ángel Di María
Yellow Card
45+5'
🔄E. Gimenez⟵J. Fernandez
Substitution
46'
🔄P. Fernandez⟵A. Di Maria
Substitution
58'
⚽J. Sornoza
Goal (Penalty)
64'
🟨Pol Fernández
Yellow Card
66'
🔄M. Ruben⟵V. Pizarro
Substitution
79'
🔄R. Briones⟵J. Lerma
Substitution
80'
🔄M. Perello⟵E. Pata
Substitution
80'
🔄G. Cantizano⟵J. Campaz
Substitution
80'
🔄A. Velasco⟵M. Carabajal
Substitution
82'
🔄L. Duarte⟵E. Coronel
Substitution
89'
🟨Ignacio Ovando
Yellow Card
90+3'
🔄Y. Ochoa⟵J. Sornoza
Substitution
90+3'
🔄S. Gongora⟵A. Rodriguez
Substitution
90+2'
Lineup
1
A. Quintana 7.9
19
L. Loor 7.2
23
J. Viacava 7.7
14
▾
M. Carabajal 7.2
13
D. A. Romero Padilla 7.7
6
J. Alcivar 6.9
31
▾
E. Pata 6.6
10
⚽ ▾
J. Sornoza 7.3
53
▾
J. Lerma
17
▾
A. Rodriguez 7.7
9
C. Gonzalez 6.5
23
C. Ledesma 7.2
33
A. Soto 6.6
46
I. Ovando 6.9
15
F. Mallo Blanco 6.6
32
▾
E. Coronel 6.3
20
▾
V. Pizarro 6.7
5
F. Ibarra 6.3
8
▾
J. Campaz 6.6
11
▾
A. Di Maria 6.3
18
▾
J. Fernandez 6.3
22
E. Copetti 6.6
Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
Substitutes
80′ ▲16 6.6 R. Briones ▾ J. Lerma 80′ ▲11 6.7 M. Perello ▾ E. Pata 82′ ▲33 6.3 A. Velasco ▾ M. Carabajal 90′ ▲8 Y. Ochoa ▾ J. Sornoza 90′ ▲18 S. Gongora ▾ A. Rodriguez
Coaching staff
Joaquin Papa Manager
Bench
12 E. Bores GK 15 G. Cortez DEF 99 D. Reasco FWD 4 J. Espinoza DEF 20 A. Gomez MID 32 J. Mendez MID 50 J. Angulo FWD
Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲16 6.6 E. Gimenez ▾ J. Fernandez 58′ ▲28 5.9 P. Fernandez ▾ A. Di Maria 79′ ▲29 6.3 M. Ruben ▾ V. Pizarro 80′ ▲26 6.5 G. Cantizano ▾ J. Campaz 89′ ▲37 6.2 L. Duarte ▾ E. Coronel
Coaching staff
Jorge Almiron Manager
Bench
1 J. Broun GK 31 F. Navarro MID 39 F. Oviedo FWD 47 L. Raffin DEF 42 E. Veron DEF 7 M. Cabrera FWD 14 A. Oviedo DEF
Player rating API-Football
Independiente del Valle
1
Aldair Quintana
GK · 90′
7.9
13
Daykol Romero
DEF · 90′
7.7
23
Juan Viacava
DEF · 90′
7.7
17
Arón Rodríguez
MID · 89′
7.7
10
Junior Sornoza C
MID · 89′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.3
14
Mateo Carabajal
DEF · 82′
7.2
19
Layan Loor
DEF · 90′
7.2
53
Justin Lerma
MID · 80′
7
6
Jordy Alcivar
MID · 90′
6.9
11
Matías Perello
FWD · 10′ · Substitute
6.7
31
Emerson Pata
MID · 80′
6.6
16
Ronald Briones
MID · 10′ · Substitute
6.6
9
Carlos González
FWD · 90′
6.5
33
Andy Velasco
DEF · 8′ · Substitute
6.3
8
Youri Ochoa
MID · 1′ · Substitute
—
18
Steven Gongora
FWD · 1′ · Substitute
—
12
Eduardo Bores
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
4
Jhon Espinoza
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Aníbal Gómez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
15
Gustavo Cortez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
32
Jhegson Méndez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
99
Djorkaeff Reasco
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
50
Juan Angulo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Rosario Central
23
Jeremías Ledesma
GK · 90′
7.2
46
Ignacio Ovando
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.9
20
Vicente Pizarro
MID · 79′
6.7
15
Facundo Mallo
DEF · 90′
6.6
33
Alexis Soto
DEF · 90′
6.6
8
Jaminton Campaz
MID · 80′
6.6
22
Enzo Copetti
FWD · 90′ · 🟨
6.6
16
Enzo Giménez
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.6
26
Giovanni Cantizano
FWD · 10′ · Substitute
6.5
32
Emanuel Coronel
DEF · 89′
6.3
5
Franco Ibarra
MID · 90′
6.3
18
Julián Fernández
MID · 45′
6.3
11
Ángel Di María C
MID · 58′ · 🟨
6.3
29
Marco Rubén
FWD · 11′ · Substitute
6.3
37
Lisandro Duarte
FWD · 8′ · Substitute
6.2
28
Pol Fernández
MID · 32′ · 🟨 · Substitute
5.9
1
Jorge Broun
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Asael Oviedo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
47
Luca Raffin
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
42
Elías Verón
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Marcelo Cabrera
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
31
Federico Navarro
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
39
Fabricio Oviedo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Independiente del Valle × Rosario Central
32% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
56% Possession
Independiente del Valle Rosario Central
1.95Expected Goals (xG)0.55
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
25Shots6
8Shots on Target4
10Shots off Target1
10Shots Inside Box3
15Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
382Passes316
313Accurate Passes236
9Corners2
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper saves7
14Tackles12
7Interceptions8
0Blocks (defensive)6
42Duels Won35
8Fouls9
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
67% Shot Accuracy
75% Pass Accuracy
44% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Independiente del Valle
Arón Rodríguez
7
Junior Sornoza
3
Layan Loor
2
Jordy Alcivar
2
Emerson Pata
2
Daykol Romero
1
Rosario Central
Enzo Copetti
2
Julián Fernández
1
Ángel Di María
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group H
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6411 +513
2 Rosario Central 6411 +813
3 UCV 6303 −49
4 Libertad Asuncion 6006 −90
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