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Finished · Copa Libertadores
Bolívar
1 : 3
Independ. Rivadavia
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/28 · 00:30
Round
Group stage · Round 6
Stadium
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas — Santa Cruz
Referee
G. Guerrero
AI predictionExpected goals 1.1 : 3.1
🧠 The model favours Independ. Rivadavia at 75%, with expected goals 1-3, and the likeliest scorer is A. Arce (81%).
🤖 AI won
Bolívar 11% Draw 14% Independ. Rivadavia 75%
Bolívar 0% Draw 0% Independ. Rivadavia 0%
0 votes
Confidence 88% High confidence
✈️ Dangerous away Independ. Rivadavia 📈 In great form Independ. Rivadavia ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 1 - 3 8%
Both teams to score 64% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 79%
Over 2.5 79%Under 2.5 21%
Win Probability
100%
Bolívar 0% Draw 0% Independ. Rivadavia 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
A. Arce
✈️ Independ. Rivadavia
81%
F. Sartori
✈️ Independ. Rivadavia
76%
S. Villa
✈️ Independ. Rivadavia
46%
Team comparison API-Football
Bolívar Independ. Rivadavia
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
28%
Team strength
0%
H2H
28%Strength72%
29%Attacking strength71%
50%Defensive strength50%
49%Poisson distribution51%
0%Head-to-head100%
0%Expected goals100%
72%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Independ. Rivadavia
Head-to-head Last 1
0Bolívar win
0Draw
1Independ. Rivadavia win
2026/04/07 Independ. Rivadavia 1 : 0 Bolívar
Key events
🟨S. Studer
Yellow Card
25'
🟨Pato Rodriguez
Yellow Card
41'
🟨J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
Yellow Card
45'
🟨J. M. Elordi
Yellow Card
45+6'
⚽L. BuccaAssists M. Fernandez
goals
45'
⚽M. CauteruccioAssists Robson Matheus
goals
55'
🔄S. Villa⟵J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
Substitution
58'
🔄L. Costa⟵S. Studer
Substitution
67'
🔄R. Atencio⟵M. Fernandez
Substitution
67'
🔄D. Crego⟵F. Sartori
Substitution
72'
🔄A. Riep⟵L. Bucca
Substitution
72'
🔄L. Paz⟵J. Sagredo
Substitution
76'
🔄L. L. Chavez Cruz⟵C. A. Melgar
Substitution
76'
🟨X. Arreaga
Yellow Card
79'
🔄J. Garcia⟵Pato Rodriguez
Substitution
81'
🔄S. Echeverria⟵I. Gariglio
Substitution
81'
🔄E. Saavedra⟵Robson Matheus
Substitution
84'
🟨L. Gomez
Yellow Card
86'
⚽S. VillaAssists J. M. Elordi
goals
90'
⚽D. Crego
goals
90'
Lineup
1
C. Lampe 7.2
14
▾
Robson Matheus 7.3
4
▾
J. Sagredo 6.5
27
▾
I. Gariglio 6.3
3
X. Arreaga 6.2
77
D. Romero 6.9
80
▾
C. A. Melgar 6.9
23
L. Justiniano 7.2
17
▾
Pato Rodriguez 7.5
9
⚽
M. Cauteruccio 7.2
1
N. Bolcato 7.7
3
J. M. Elordi 7
42
▾
S. Studer 6.7
40
I. Villalba 7.2
14
L. Gomez 7
25
▾
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla 6.2
5
T. Bottari 6.7
11
G. Rios 6.2
8
⚽ ▾
L. Bucca 7.3
43
▾
F. Sartori 6.3
10
▾
M. Fernandez 6.6
Bolívar 4-3-3
Substitutes
76′ ▲8 6.3 L. Paz ▾ J. Sagredo 76′ ▲18 7.2 L. L. Chavez Cruz ▾ C. A. Melgar 81′ ▲19 6.5 J. Garcia ▾ Pato Rodriguez 81′ ▲5 6.2 S. Echeverria ▾ I. Gariglio 84′ ▲26 6.2 E. Saavedra ▾ Robson Matheus
Coaching staff
Soria Camacho Vladimir Manager
Bench
13 D. Mendez GK 11 B. Oyola FWD 7 J. Velasquez FWD 6 E. Vaca Moreno MID 20 C. Sejas 15 C. Vedia MID 35 E. Freita DEF
Independ. Rivadavia 4-3-1-2
Substitutes
58′ ▲22 7.9 S. Villa ▾ J. I. Florentin Bobadilla 67′ ▲2 6.9 L. Costa ▾ S. Studer 67′ ▲19 5.9 R. Atencio ▾ M. Fernandez 72′ ▲27 7.2 D. Crego ▾ F. Sartori 72′ ▲20 6.3 A. Riep ▾ L. Bucca
Coaching staff
Alfredo Berti Manager
Bench
21 E. F. Gomez Riga GK 7 V. Ramis FWD 34 S. Moreyra MID 13 A. Osella DEF 36 E. Bonifacio DEF 77 L. Sequeira MID 32 K. A. Vazquez MID
Player rating API-Football
Bolívar
17
Patricio Rodríguez
FWD · 81′ · 🟨
7.5
14
Robson Matheus
MID · 84′ · 🅰️1
7.3
1
Carlos Lampe
GK · 97′
7.2
23
Leonel Justiniano C
MID · 97′
7.2
9
Martín Cauteruccio
FWD · 97′ · ⚽1
7.2
18
Lucas Chávez
MID · 21′ · Substitute
7.2
2
Jesús Sagredo
DEF · 76′
7
80
Carlos Melgar
MID · 76′
6.9
77
Dorny Romero
FWD · 97′
6.9
4
José Sagredo
DEF · 97′
6.5
19
John García
MID · 16′ · Substitute
6.5
27
Ignacio Gariglio
DEF · 81′
6.3
8
Luis Paz
DEF · 21′ · Substitute
6.3
3
Xavier Arreaga
DEF · 97′ · 🟨
6.2
5
Santiago Echeverria
DEF · 16′ · Substitute
6.2
26
Erwin Saavedra
MID · 13′ · Substitute
6.2
13
Diego Méndez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
35
Escleizon Freita
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
15
Cristian Vedia
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
20
Carlos Sejas
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
11
Brian Oyola
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
6
Ervin Vaca
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Jhon Velásquez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Independ. Rivadavia
22
Sebastián Villa
FWD · 39′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.9
1
Nicolás Bolcato
GK · 97′
7.7
8
Leonel Bucca
MID · 72′ · ⚽1
7.3
40
Iván Villalba
DEF · 97′
7.2
27
Diego Crego
MID · 25′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.2
14
Luciano Gómez
DEF · 97′ · 🟨
7
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
DEF · 97′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
7
2
Leonard Costa
DEF · 30′ · Substitute
6.9
42
Sheyko Studer C
DEF · 67′ · 🟨
6.7
5
Tomas Bottari
MID · 97′
6.7
10
Matías Fernández
FWD · 67′ · 🅰️1
6.6
43
Fabrizio Sartori
FWD · 72′
6.3
20
Alessandro Riep
MID · 25′ · Substitute
6.3
11
Gonzalo Ríos
MID · 97′
6.2
25
José Florentín
MID · 58′ · 🟨
6.2
19
Rodrigo Atencio
FWD · 30′ · Substitute
5.9
21
Emmanuel Gómez Riga
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
13
Alejo Osella
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
36
Ezequiel Bonifacio
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
77
Luis Sequeira
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
34
Stefano Moreyra
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
32
Kevin Vázquez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
7
Victorio Ramis
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Bolívar × Independ. Rivadavia
38% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
66% Possession
Bolívar Independ. Rivadavia
0.79Expected Goals (xG)1.43
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
16Shots13
6Shots on Target7
4Shots off Target5
6Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots1
469Passes245
387Accurate Passes171
8Corners2
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper saves6
25Tackles16
9Interceptions12
1Blocks (defensive)5
68Duels Won42
7Fouls11
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
54% Shot Accuracy
70% Pass Accuracy
34% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Bolívar
Patricio Rodríguez
4
José Sagredo
3
Carlos Melgar
2
Dorny Romero
2
Robson Matheus
1
Leonel Justiniano
1
Independ. Rivadavia
Luciano Gómez
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
2
Sebastián Villa
2
Sheyko Studer
1
Gonzalo Ríos
1
Leonel Bucca
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group C
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6510 +916
2 Fluminense 6222 +08
3 Bolívar 6123 −25
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6033 −73
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