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Finished · Copa Libertadores
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/28 · 00:30
Round
Group stage · Round 6
Stadium
Estadio Campeón del Siglo — Montevideo
Referee
K. Ortega
AI predictionExpected goals 0.6 : 0.8
🧠 The model favours Santa Fe at 37%, with expected goals 1-1.
🤖 AI won
Penarol 26% Draw 37% Santa Fe 37%
Penarol 0% Draw 0% Santa Fe 0%
0 votes
Confidence 33% Low confidence
📉 Poor form Penarol 📉 Poor form Santa Fe 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 25%
Both teams to score 25% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 83%
Over 2.5 17%Under 2.5 83%
Win Probability
100%
Penarol 0% Draw 0% Santa Fe 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
Penarol Santa Fe
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
38%
Team strength
50%
H2H
38%Strength63%
44%Attacking strength56%
50%Defensive strength50%
63%Poisson distribution37%
50%Head-to-head50%
50%Expected goals50%
63%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Penarol or draw
Head-to-head Last 1
0Penarol win
1Draw
0Santa Fe win
2026/04/10 Santa Fe 1 : 1 Penarol
Key events
⚽A. ZapataAssists N. Bustos
goals
13'
🔄E. Darias⟵L. Angulo
Substitution
24'
🔄A. Hernandez⟵D. Laxalt
Substitution
46'
🔄Lucas Hernandez⟵F. Escobar
Substitution
46'
🔄E. Gularte⟵B. Barboza
Substitution
46'
🔄J. Obrian⟵Y. A. Perlaza Perea
Substitution
46'
🟨E. Gularte
Yellow Card
53'
🔄Y. Velasquez⟵N. Bustos
Substitution
60'
🔄L. Palacios⟵A. Zapata
Substitution
65'
🔄J. Cabrera⟵M. Lemos
Substitution
69'
🟨M. Puerta
Yellow Card
72'
🔄I. R. Scarpeta Silgado⟵M. Puerta
Substitution
74'
🟨J. Cabrera
Yellow Card
82'
🟨J. Angulo
Yellow Card
83'
Lineup
29
W. Aguerre 6.3
2
▾
F. Escobar 6.3
6
L. Ferreira 7.3
3
▾
M. Lemos 7.6
36
▾
B. Barboza 6.2
21
Jesus Trindade 6.9
32
L. Umpierrez 6.7
93
▾
D. Laxalt 6.7
8
N. Fernandez 7.2
77
▾
L. Angulo 6.3
19
M. Arezo 7.2
1
A. Mosquera 7.2
24
J. Angulo 6.3
3
V. Moreno 7
18
E. Olivera 6.9
4
▾
M. Puerta 7.2
16
D. Torres 6.9
7
J. Torres 6.7
10
⚽ ▾
A. Zapata 8.3
19
▾
N. Bustos 6.2
27
▾
Y. A. Perlaza Perea 6.5
11
H. Rodallega 6.7
Penarol 4-1-4-1
Substitutes
24′ ▲13 7 E. Darias ▾ L. Angulo 46′ ▲11 6.6 A. Hernandez ▾ D. Laxalt 46′ ▲27 6.6 Lucas Hernandez ▾ F. Escobar 46′ ▲4 6.7 E. Gularte ▾ B. Barboza 69′ ▲7 6.7 J. Cabrera ▾ M. Lemos
Coaching staff
Diego Aguirre Manager
Bench
1 S. Britos GK 5 E. Remedi MID 23 G. Togni FWD 9 F. Batista FWD 16 T. Olase MID 30 S. Muhlethaler MID 14 K. Rodriguez DEF
Santa Fe 4-2-3-1
Substitutes
46′ ▲77 6.3 J. Obrian ▾ Y. A. Perlaza Perea 60′ ▲20 7 Y. Velasquez ▾ N. Bustos 65′ ▲14 6.5 L. Palacios ▾ A. Zapata 74′ ▲15 6.6 I. R. Scarpeta Silgado ▾ M. Puerta
Coaching staff
Jose Lopez Fierro Manager
Bench
12 W. Asprilla GK 22 E. Mosquera MID 9 F. Fagundez FWD 17 M. Lovera FWD 21 E. Murillo MID
Player rating API-Football
Penarol
3
Mauricio Lemos
DEF · 69′
7.6
6
Lucas Ferreira
DEF · 90′
7.3
8
Nicolás Fernández
MID · 90′
7.2
19
Matías Arezo
FWD · 90′
7.2
13
Eduardo Darias
MID · 66′ · Substitute
7
21
Jesús Trindade C
MID · 90′
6.9
93
Diego Laxalt
MID · 45′
6.7
32
Leandro Umpierrez
MID · 90′
6.7
4
Emanuel Gularte
DEF · 45′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
7
Javier Cabrera
FWD · 21′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
27
Lucas Hernández
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
6.6
11
Abel Hernández
FWD · 45′ · Substitute
6.6
29
Washington Aguerre
GK · 90′
6.3
2
Franco Escobar
DEF · 45′
6.3
77
Luis Miguel Angulo
MID · 24′
6.3
36
Brian Barboza
DEF · 45′
6.2
1
Sebastián Britos
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
14
Kevin Rodríguez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
—
23
Gastón Togni
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
16
Tomas Olase
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
30
Stiven Muhlethaler
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
5
Eric Remedi
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
9
Facundo Batista
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Santa Fe
10
Alexis Zapata
MID · 65′ · ⚽1
8.3
1
Andrés Mosquera
GK · 90′
7.2
4
Mateo Puerta
DEF · 74′ · 🟨
7.2
3
Victor Moreno
DEF · 90′
7
20
Yilmar Velázquez
DEF · 30′ · Substitute
7
18
Emanuel Olivera
DEF · 90′
6.9
16
Daniel Torres
MID · 90′
6.9
7
Jhojan Torres
MID · 90′
6.7
11
Hugo Rodallega C
FWD · 90′
6.7
15
Ivan Scarpeta
DEF · 16′ · Substitute
6.6
27
Yeicar Perlaza
MID · 45′
6.5
14
Luis Angel Palacios
FWD · 25′ · Substitute
6.5
24
Jeison Angulo
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.3
77
Jader Obrian
FWD · 45′ · Substitute
6.3
19
Nahuel Bustos
MID · 60′ · 🅰️1
6.2
12
Weibmar Asprilla
GK · 0′ · Substitute
—
22
Edwin Mosquera
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
21
Ewil Murillo Renteria
MID · 0′ · Substitute
—
17
Maximiliano Lovera
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
9
Franco Fagúndez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
—
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
Penarol × Santa Fe
18% Shot Accuracy
77% Pass Accuracy
62% Possession
Penarol Santa Fe
0.99Expected Goals (xG)0.30
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
22Shots5
4Shots on Target3
14Shots off Target1
9Shots Inside Box4
13Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
444Passes288
343Accurate Passes189
9Corners2
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves4
27Tackles19
9Interceptions11
2Blocks (defensive)4
74Duels Won54
9Fouls21
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
60% Shot Accuracy
66% Pass Accuracy
38% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Penarol
Leandro Umpierrez
3
Lucas Hernández
3
Javier Cabrera
3
Lucas Ferreira
1
Matías Arezo
1
Eduardo Darias
1
Santa Fe
Hugo Rodallega
3
Nahuel Bustos
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group E
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Corinthians 6321 +411
2 Platense 6312 +110
3 Santa Fe 6222 −18
4 Penarol 6033 −43
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