Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/05/28 · 22:00
Round
Group stage · Round 6
Stadium
Allianz Parque — Sao Paulo
Referee
C. Garay
AI predictionExpected goals 3.3 : 0.4
🧠 The model favours Palmeiras at 91%, with expected goals 3-0, and the likeliest scorer is J. López (86%).
🤖 AI won
Palmeiras 91%
Draw 7%
Junior 2%
Palmeiras 0%
Draw 0%
Junior 0%
0 votes · You voted ✓
Confidence
88%
High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Palmeiras
🛡️ Leaky visitors away Palmeiras
📉 Poor form Junior
⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score
3 - 0
15%
Both teams to score
32%
No
Over / Under 2.5
Over
71%
Over 2.5 71%Under 2.5 29%
Win Probability
Palmeiras 100%
Draw 0%
Junior 0%
75%
50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum
Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI

J. López
🏠 Palmeiras
86%

J. Arias
🏠 Palmeiras
63%

L. Muriel
✈️ Junior
21%
Team comparison API-Football
Palmeiras
Junior
67%
Team strength
88%
H2H
33%
Team strength
13%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Palmeiras or draw and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 3
2Palmeiras win1Draw
0Junior win
2026/04/09
Junior
1 : 1
Palmeiras
1 : 1
Palmeiras
2019/04/11
Palmeiras
3 : 0
Junior
3 : 0
Junior
2019/03/07
Junior
0 : 2
Palmeiras
0 : 2
Palmeiras
Key events
⚽J. AriasAssists J. Lopez
goals
🟨Yimmi Chará
Yellow Card
🟨Jean Carlos Pestaña
Yellow Card
⚽L. MurielAssists J. Pena
goals
⚽Allan EliasAssists J. Lopez
goals
⚽J. AriasAssists J. Lopez
goals
🔄J. Canchimbo⟵J. Pestana
Substitution
📺Luis Muriel
Penalty cancelled
⚽Andreas PereiraAssists Murilo
goals
🔄J. Rios⟵Y. Chara
Substitution
🔄B. Castrillon⟵J. Rivas
Substitution
🔄J. Sarmiento⟵G. Paiva
Substitution
🔄Mauricio⟵Allan Elias
Substitution
🔄Luis Pacheco⟵Marlon Freitas
Substitution
🔄D. Rivera⟵L. Monzon
Substitution
📺Emiliano Martínez
Penalty cancelled
🔄Lucas Evangelista⟵Andreas Pereira
Substitution
🔄Paulinho⟵J. Lopez
Substitution
🟨Juan David Ríos
Yellow Card
🔄Felipe Anderson⟵J. Arias
Substitution
Lineup
1
Carlos Miguel
56
Arthur Gabriel
26
Murilo
15
G. Gomez
4
A. Giay
17
Marlon Freitas
▾
32
E. Martinez
11
J. Arias
⚽2 ▾
8
Andreas Pereira
⚽ ▾
40
Allan Elias
⚽ ▾
42
J. Lopez
▾
1
M. Silveira
3
E. Herrera
33
L. Monzon
▾
24
J. Pestana
▾
98
J. Pena
34
J. Guerrero
8
Y. Chara
▾
80
F. S. Angel Bernal
22
J. Rivas
▾
9
G. Paiva
▾
10
L. Muriel
⚽
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Ferreira Abel
Manager
Junior
5-3-2 Substitutes
Coaching staff
Alfredo Arias
Manager
Player rating API-Football
Palmeiras
42
8.9
José López
11
8.7
Jhon Arias
40
8.3
Allan
26
8
Murilo
8
7.9
Andreas Pereira
4
7.5
Agustín Giay
32
7.5
Emiliano Martínez
56
7
Arthur Gabriel
17
7
Marlon Freitas
15
6.9
Gustavo Gómez C
50
6.9
Luis Pacheco
18
6.7
Mauricio
30
6.6
Lucas Evangelista
7
6.6
Felipe Anderson
10
6.2
Paulinho
1
5.9
Carlos Miguel
14
—
Marcelo Lomba
12
—
Khellven
6
—
Jefté
48
—
Larson
19
—
Ramón Sosa
31
—
Luighi Hanri
45
—
Erick Belé
Junior
10
7.2
Luis Muriel
80
6.9
Fabián Ángel
20
6.7
Jannenson Sarmiento
14
6.6
Juan David Ríos
5
6.6
Daniel Rivera
9
6.5
Guillermo Paiva
98
6.3
Jermein Peña
21
6.3
Joel Canchimbo
88
6.3
Bryan Castrillón
22
6.2
Jesús Rivas
8
6.2
Yimmi Chará C
1
5.9
Mauro Silveira
24
5.7
Jean Carlos Pestaña
3
5.6
Edwin Herrera
34
5.5
Jhonier Guerrero
33
5.3
Lucas Monzón
30
—
Jefersson Martínez
26
—
Yeison Suárez
7
—
Harold Rivera
18
—
Kevin Pérez
77
—
Cristian Barrios
29
—
Teófilo Gutiérrez
70
—
Carlos Bacca
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
47%
Shot Accuracy
85%
Pass Accuracy
49%
Possession
Palmeiras
Junior
2.12Expected Goals (xG)1.21
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
17Shots17
8Shots on Target1
8Shots off Target11
11Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots5
425Passes442
361Accurate Passes371
0Corners7
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper saves4
27Tackles16
9Interceptions8
4Blocks (defensive)1
61Duels Won36
4Fouls12
0Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
6%
Shot Accuracy
84%
Pass Accuracy
51%
Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Palmeiras
Agustín Giay
4
Allan
3
José López
3
Murilo
1
Emiliano Martínez
1
Marlon Freitas
1
Junior
Jermein Peña
4
Yimmi Chará
2
Luis Muriel
2
Juan David Ríos
2
Jhonier Guerrero
1
Edwin Herrera
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | −3 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | −6 | 4 |
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