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Finished · Chilean Primera División
📝 Match Recap AI

# Huachipato 3-3 Cobresal: Dramatic Draw Defies Pre-Match Expectations

Huachipato's commanding pre-match advantage proved meaningless as Cobresal stormed back from a goal down to turn this Chilean league encounter into a thrilling nine-goal thriller. After Rafael Caroca gave the home side an early lead in the fourteenth minute, Cobresal scored three times in quick succession through Sergio Pino, Julián Brea, and Nicolás Vargas to take control of the match by the seventieth minute. Huachipato refused to surrender, however, with Martín Rodríguez pulling one back in the eighty-first minute before Luis Altamirano forced a dramatic equalizer in the ninety-fourth minute to salvage a draw despite being reduced to ten men following Kévin Altez's red card five minutes earlier.

The result proved a shock upset of the model's strong prediction of a Huachipato victory, with both teams ultimately sharing the points in an entertaining display that was far more competitive than expected. Cobresal's Julián Brea was the standout performer with an eight-point-two rating, orchestrating much of his team's successful comeback, while Huachipato's Rafael Caroca and Ezequiel Cañete each earned seven-point-seven ratings despite their side's inability to hold onto their advantage until the closing drama.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 21:30
Round
Round 16
Stadium
Estadio Huachipato — Talcahuano
Referee
Hector Jona
AI predictionExpected goals 4.1 : 1.7
🧠 The model favours Huachipato at 77%, with expected goals 4-2, and the likeliest scorer is L. Altamirano (61%).
Huachipato 77% Draw 12% Cobresal 11%
Huachipato 0% Draw 0% Cobresal 0%
0 votes
Confidence 95% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Huachipato 🛡️ Leaky visitors away Huachipato ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 4 - 1 6%
Both teams to score 80% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 93%
Over 2.5 93%Under 2.5 7%
Win Probability
100%
Huachipato 0% Draw 100% Cobresal 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Huachipato
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
L. Altamirano
🏠 Huachipato
61%
S. Pino
✈️ Cobresal
45%
Team comparison API-Football
Huachipato Cobresal
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
63%
Team strength
29%
H2H
63%Strength38%
63%Attacking strength38%
53%Defensive strength47%
70%Poisson distribution30%
29%Head-to-head71%
40%Expected goals60%
38%
Team strength
71%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Huachipato or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
3Huachipato win
1Draw
5Cobresal win
2026/01/31 Cobresal 1 : 0 Huachipato
2025/09/13 Cobresal 3 : 2 Huachipato
2025/04/19 Huachipato 0 : 1 Cobresal
2024/08/09 Huachipato 0 : 0 Cobresal
2024/03/09 Cobresal 1 : 2 Huachipato
2023/07/14 Cobresal 2 : 0 Huachipato
2023/01/29 Huachipato 2 : 1 Cobresal
2022/08/28 Cobresal 2 : 0 Huachipato
2022/04/03 Huachipato 1 : 0 Cobresal
Key events
R. CarocaAssists E. Canete
goals
14'
🔄S. PinoM. Espinoza
Substitution
46'
🔄A. NadruzB. Valenzuela
Substitution
46'
S. Pino
goals
49'
J. BreaAssists A. Castillo
goals
56'
🔄M. RodriguezE. Canete
Substitution
60'
🟨S. Pino
Yellow Card
61'
🔄C. YanisJ. Morales
Substitution
69'
🥅N. Vargas
Own Goal
70'
🔄A. AbarzuaG. Guaiquil
Substitution
72'
📺M. Briceno
Goal Disallowed - video review
77'
🔄R. MalancaL. Velasquez
Substitution
79'
🔄F. BechtholdtC. Moreno
Substitution
81'
M. Rodriguez
goals
81'
🔄B. A. Carvallo U.J. Brea
Substitution
83'
🟥K. Altez
Red Card
85'
L. Altamirano
goals
90+6'
Lineup
12
Christian Bravo 5.9
27
Lucas Velásquez 6.6
8
Nicolás Vargas 6.6
5
Rafael Caroca 7.7
2
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil 6.2
10
Ezequiel Cañete 7.7
24
Maicol León 7.3
6
Claudio Sepúlveda 7.6
7
Mario Briceño 6.9
9
Lionel Altamirano 7.3
30
Kevin Altez 6
12
Alejandro Santander 6.3
15
Antonio Castillo 6.7
20
José Tiznado 6.5
18
Christian Moreno 6.3
22
Aaron Astudillo 6.2
38
Felipe Villagrán 6.2
17
Juan Fuentes 7.3
13
Benjamín Valenzuela 6.6
39
Janpol Morales 6.6
37
Martín Espinoza Pino 6.2
11
Julián Brea 8.2
Player rating API-Football
Huachipato
5
Rafael Caroca
DEF · 90′ · ⚽1
7.7
10
Ezequiel Cañete
MID · 60′ · 🅰️1
7.7
6
Claudio Sepúlveda C
MID · 90′
7.6
15
Maximiliano Rodríguez
FWD · 30′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.6
24
Maicol León
MID · 90′
7.3
9
Lionel Altamirano
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.3
13
Renzo Malanca
DEF · 11′ · Substitute
7.3
7
Mario Briceño
FWD · 90′
6.9
8
Nicolás Vargas
DEF · 90′
6.6
27
Lucas Velásquez
DEF · 79′
6.6
33
Alvaro Abarzua
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.5
2
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil
DEF · 72′
6.2
30
Kevin Altez
FWD · 85′ 🟥
6
12
Christian Bravo
GK · 90′
5.9
49
Ignacio Cruzat
GK · 0′ · Substitute
21
Carlos Herrera
MID · 0′ · Substitute
51
Martín Rodríguez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
11
Juan Figueroa
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
22
Javier Nicolás Cárcamo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
18
Benjamín Ampuero
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Cobresal
11
Julián Brea
FWD · 83′ · ⚽1
8.2
17
Juan Fuentes
MID · 90′
7.3
8
Steffan Pino
FWD · 45′ · ⚽1 · 🟨 · Substitute
7.2
5
Agustin Nadruz
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.9
15
Antonio Castillo
DEF · 90′ · 🅰️1
6.7
7
César Yanis
FWD · 21′ · Substitute
6.7
13
Benjamín Valenzuela
MID · 45′
6.6
39
Janpol Morales
FWD · 69′
6.6
20
José Tiznado C
DEF · 90′
6.5
10
Bryan Carvallo
MID · 15′ · Substitute
6.5
12
Alejandro Santander
GK · 90′
6.3
18
Christian Moreno
DEF · 81′
6.3
22
Aaron Astudillo
DEF · 90′
6.2
38
Felipe Villagrán
MID · 90′
6.2
37
Martín Espinoza Pino
FWD · 45′
6.2
16
Franco Bechtholdt
DEF · 9′ · Substitute
6.2
36
Matías Olguín
GK · 0′ · Substitute
23
Guillermo Pacheco
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
6
Esteban Valencia
MID · 0′ · Substitute
32
Franco Frías
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
33% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
65% Possession
Huachipato Cobresal
15Shots17
5Shots on Target6
6Shots off Target6
12Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
551Passes304
478Accurate Passes228
4Corners1
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper saves5
13Tackles12
7Interceptions10
7Blocks (defensive)4
40Duels Won32
6Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
35% Shot Accuracy
75% Pass Accuracy
35% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Huachipato
Maicol León
3
Ezequiel Cañete
2
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil
1
Kevin Altez
1
Mario Briceño
1
Cobresal
Juan Fuentes
3
Janpol Morales
2
Steffan Pino
2
Aaron Astudillo
1
José Tiznado
1
Antonio Castillo
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Colo Colo 161303 +1939
2 U. Catolica 16835 +1527
3 Universidad de Chile 16763 +827
4 Nublense 16673 +125
5 Coquimbo Unido 15735 +424
6 Huachipato 16736 +124
7 Palestino 16736 +024
8 Deportes Limache 16637 +521
9 Everton de Vina 16556 +020
10 O'Higgins 16628 −520
11 D. La Serena 16475 −419
12 Union La Calera 16547 −519
13 Universidad de Concepcion 15546 −1319
14 Concepción 16529 −717
15 A. Italiano 16448 −416
16 Cobresal 163211 −1511
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