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Finished · Argentine Primera División
📝 Match Recap AI

# River Plate Stunned by Barracas Central in Upset Loss

River Plate's dominance in Argentine football was interrupted on matchday as they suffered a surprising defeat to Barracas Central, who claimed a hard-fought one-nil victory. The decisive moment came early in the second half when Gonzalo Morales broke the deadlock in the twenty-second minute, capitalizing on an opportunity that the hosts failed to clear. Despite dominating possession and creating chances, River could not find an equalizer against a Barracas Central side that defended resolutely throughout the encounter.

The result proved to be a genuine upset, as the pregame model had heavily favored River Plate with a fifty-six percent win probability against just fifteen percent for Barracas Central. Lucas Silva emerged as River's standout performer with a rating of seven point seven, while defenders Nicolás Otamendi and midfielder Fausto Vera both earned solid marks of seven point three, yet their efforts proved insufficient to prevent the loss. The defeat will serve as a sobering reminder to River that even strong favorites can be undone by disciplined opponents who capitalize on clinical finishing.

Estadio Mâs Monumental
🏟️ Estadio Mâs Monumental Buenos Aires
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 22:15
Round
Clausura - 1
Stadium
Estadio Mâs Monumental — Buenos Aires
Referee
Nazareno Arasa
AI predictionExpected goals 1.0 : 0.6
🧠 The model favours River Plate at 44%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is S. Driussi (81%).
River Plate 44% Draw 34% Barracas Central 22%
River Plate 0% Draw 0% Barracas Central 0%
0 votes
Confidence 39% Low confidence
🤝 H2H advantage River Plate 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 20%
Both teams to score 29% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 78%
Over 2.5 22%Under 2.5 78%
Win Probability
100%
River Plate 0% Draw 0% Barracas Central 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
S. Driussi
🏠 River Plate
81%
Team comparison API-Football
River Plate Barracas Central
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
64%
Team strength
100%
H2H
64%Strength36%
62%Attacking strength38%
50%Defensive strength50%
60%Poisson distribution40%
100%Head-to-head0%
93%Expected goals7%
36%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : River Plate or draw
Head-to-head Last 8
7River Plate win
0Draw
1Barracas Central win
2026/01/24 Barracas Central 0 : 1 River Plate
2025/05/12 River Plate 3 : 0 Barracas Central
2024/11/10 River Plate 3 : 0 Barracas Central
2024/02/01 Barracas Central 0 : 2 River Plate
2023/08/28 River Plate 5 : 1 Barracas Central
2023/07/01 Barracas Central 2 : 1 River Plate
2022/09/04 River Plate 2 : 0 Barracas Central
2022/07/14 Barracas Central 0 : 3 River Plate
Key events
G. Morales
goals
22'
📺L. Martinez Quarta
Goal Disallowed - video review
41'
🟨K. Jappert
Yellow Card
44'
🟨E. Centurion
Yellow Card
45+3'
🔄J. FreitasFausto Vera
Substitution
46'
🔄L. BeltranL. Pereyra
Substitution
46'
🟨N. Briasco
Yellow Card
52'
🔄G. MaroniG. Morales
Substitution
58'
🔄J. CandiaN. Briasco
Substitution
58'
🔄A. CorreaF. Colidio
Substitution
67'
🔄F. TobioT. Porra
Substitution
67'
🔄I. A. GuarazY. Rak
Substitution
67'
🔄M. ArambarriT. Galvan
Substitution
68'
🟨M. Arambarri
Yellow Card
72'
🟨J. Candia
Yellow Card
78'
🟨D. Miloc
Yellow Card
81'
🟨I. A. Guaraz
Yellow Card
88'
🔄E. PereyraI. Tapia
Substitution
90'
Lineup
41
Santiago Beltrán 6.9
21
Marcos Acuña 7.2
30
Nicolás Otamendi 7.3
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta 6.9
29
Gonzalo Montiel 6.9
44
Lucas Silva 7.7
15
Fausto Vera 7.3
11
Facundo Colidio 6.9
25
Lautaro Pereyra 6.3
26
Tomás Galván 6.9
19
Rafael Borré 6.3
30
Marcelo Agustín Miño 7
6
Rodrigo Insúa 6.5
31
Nicolás Demartini 6.9
15
Yonatthan Rak 6.9
14
Kevin Jappert 6.7
13
Rafael Barrios 6.2
10
Iván Tapia 6.3
5
Dardo Miloc 6.5
8
Tomás Porra 6.2
11
Norberto Briasco 5.9
9
Gonzalo Morales 7.2
Player rating API-Football
River Plate
44
Lucas Silva
MID · 90′
7.7
30
Nicolás Otamendi C
DEF · 90′
7.3
15
Fausto Vera
MID · 45′
7.3
21
Marcos Acuña
DEF · 90′
7.2
18
Lucas Beltrán
FWD · 45′ · Substitute
7
41
Santiago Beltrán
GK · 90′
6.9
29
Gonzalo Montiel
DEF · 90′
6.9
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
DEF · 90′
6.9
26
Tomás Galván
MID · 67′
6.9
11
Facundo Colidio
MID · 67′
6.9
8
Mauro Arambarri
MID · 23′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
25
Lautaro Pereyra
MID · 45′
6.3
19
Rafael Borré
FWD · 90′
6.3
35
Joaquín Freitas
FWD · 45′ · Substitute
6.3
10
Ángel Correa
FWD · 23′ · Substitute
6.3
33
Ezequiel Centurión
GK · 0′ · 🟨 · Substitute
13
Lautaro Rivero
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
20
Giovanni González
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
36
Ulises Giménez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
31
Facundo González
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
24
Juan Cruz Meza
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Barracas Central
9
Gonzalo Morales
FWD · 58′ · ⚽1
7.2
30
Marcelo Agustín Miño
GK · 90′
7
15
Yonatthan Rak
DEF · 67′
6.9
31
Nicolás Demartini
DEF · 90′
6.9
33
Gonzalo Maroni
MID · 32′ · Substitute
6.9
14
Kevin Jappert
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.7
20
Jhonatan Candia
FWD · 32′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
32
Fernando Tobio
DEF · 23′ · Substitute
6.7
6
Rodrigo Insúa
DEF · 90′
6.5
5
Dardo Miloc
MID · 90′ · 🟨
6.5
16
Ivan Guaraz
FWD · 23′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.5
10
Iván Tapia C
MID · 90′
6.3
13
Rafael Barrios
DEF · 90′
6.2
8
Tomás Porra
MID · 67′
6.2
11
Norberto Briasco
FWD · 58′ · 🟨
5.9
17
Elías Pereyra
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
1
Juan Espínola
GK · 0′ · Substitute
2
Nicolas Capraro
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
37
Gastón Campi
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
25
Yeison Gordillo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
MID · 0′ · Substitute
24
Enzo Taborda
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
7
Juan Ignacio Barbieri
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
33% Shot Accuracy
86% Pass Accuracy
76% Possession
River Plate Barracas Central
0.43Expected Goals (xG)0.44
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
12Shots4
4Shots on Target2
7Shots off Target2
6Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots0
573Passes184
491Accurate Passes95
3Corners1
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves4
9Tackles12
14Interceptions17
0Blocks (defensive)1
50Duels Won32
8Fouls20
2Yellow Cards5
Red Cards
50% Shot Accuracy
52% Pass Accuracy
24% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
River Plate
Marcos Acuña
3
Gonzalo Montiel
1
Joaquín Freitas
1
Barracas Central
Tomás Porra
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Apertura - Group B
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Independ. Rivadavia 161042 +1434
2 River Plate 16925 +1029
3 Argentinos JRS 16853 +429
4 Rosario Central 16844 +428
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16754 +426
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16826 +026
7 Huracan 16574 +422
8 Racing Club 16565 +221
9 Barracas Central 16565 +021
10 Tigre 16484 +320
11 Sarmiento Junin 16619 −719
12 Banfield 16538 −218
13 Atletico Tucuman 16358 −514
14 Aldosivi 16088 −138
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 161213 −195
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