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Finished · Argentine Primera División
📝 Match Recap AI

# Deportivo Riestra Stuns Boca Juniors with Dominant Display

Deportivo Riestra delivered a stunning upset victory over Boca Juniors with a commanding three-nil performance in Argentine league action. The hosts struck with remarkable efficiency, scoring three goals in the opening 38 minutes through B. Sanchez, A. Alonso, and A. Diaz to effectively decide the contest before halftime. Sanchez, who opened the scoring in the seventh minute, was the standout performer with a rating of 8.11, while Diaz added both a goal and a strong overall display rated 7.84.

The result represented a major surprise given the pre-match model predictions that heavily favored either a draw or a Boca victory, with the hosts given just a 19 percent chance of winning. Deportivo Riestra's efficiency in front of goal and a notably dominant defensive display from their entire unit, highlighted by defender C. Quintana's 7.71 rating, proved far too much for the visiting side. This emphatic victory demonstrated that the pre-match expectations significantly underestimated the home team's capability on the day.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 22:30
Round
Clausura - 1
Stadium
Estadio Guillermo Laza — Flores
Referee
Hernan Mastrangelo
AI predictionExpected goals 0.3 : 0.4
🧠 The model favours a draw at 56%, with expected goals 0-0, and the likeliest scorer is M. Merentiel (28%).
Deportivo Riestra 20% Draw 56% Boca Juniors 24%
Deportivo Riestra 0% Draw 0% Boca Juniors 0%
0 votes
Confidence 86% High confidence
🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 50%
Both teams to score 9% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 97%
Over 2.5 3%Under 2.5 97%
Win Probability
100%
Deportivo Riestra 100% Draw 0% Boca Juniors 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
M. Merentiel
✈️ Boca Juniors
28%
J. Randazzo
🏠 Deportivo Riestra
16%
Team comparison API-Football
Deportivo Riestra Boca Juniors
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
29%
Team strength
20%
H2H
29%Strength71%
17%Attacking strength83%
50%Defensive strength50%
24%Poisson distribution76%
20%Head-to-head80%
33%Expected goals67%
71%
Team strength
80%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors and -3.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 2
0Deportivo Riestra win
1Draw
1Boca Juniors win
2026/01/25 Boca Juniors 1 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
2024/10/27 Boca Juniors 1 : 1 Deportivo Riestra
Key events
B. SanchezAssists A. Alonso
goals
7'
A. AlonsoAssists C. Quintana
goals
23'
A. Diaz
goals
38'
🔄S. VillaA. Velasco
Substitution
46'
🔄Angel RomeroW. H. Alarcon Cepeda
Substitution
46'
🔄J. GoitiaA. Alonso
Substitution
61'
🔄N. BenegasA. Diaz
Substitution
61'
🔄T. ArandaK. Zenon
Substitution
66'
🔄Miguel MerentielL. Flores
Substitution
66'
🟨M. Celiz
Yellow Card
67'
🔄T. GonzalezB. Sanchez
Substitution
69'
🟨J. Goitia
Yellow Card
75'
🔄C. Rey DomenechM. Delgado
Substitution
75'
🔄I. GariglioP. Monje
Substitution
86'
🔄N. WatsonF. Mino
Substitution
86'
🟨N. Watson
Yellow Card
90+1'
Lineup
1
Ignacio Arce
2
Carlos Quintana 7.71
22
Cristian Paz 7.21
24
Facundo Miño 7.18
15
Nicolás Sansotre 6.66
14
Pablo Monje 6.33
8
Milton Celiz 6.24
36
Mariano Bracamonte 6.41
7
Antony Alonso
11
Alexander Díaz 7.84
10
Braian Sánchez 8.11
1
Álvaro Montero 5.6
3
Lautaro Blanco 5.91
26
Marco Pellegrino 6.48
2
Lautaro Di Lollo 6.26
27
Malcom Braida 6.03
15
Williams Alarcón 6.74
18
Milton Delgado 6.57
20
Alan Velasco 6.88
25
Santiago Ascacíbar 6.46
21
Kevin Zenón 6.4
19
Leonel Flores
Player rating API-Football
Deportivo Riestra
10
B. Sánchez
FWD · 69′ · ⚽1
8.11
11
A. Díaz
FWD · 61′ · ⚽1
7.84
2
C. Quintana
DEF · 89′ · 🅰️1
7.71
22
C. Paz
DEF · 89′
7.21
24
F. Miño
DEF · 86′
7.18
6
I. Gariglio
DEF · 3′
6.99
16
N. Watson
MID · 3′
6.8
15
N. Sansotre
MID · 89′
6.66
27
J. Goitía
DEF · 28′ · 🟨
6.54
9
N. Benegas
FWD · 28′
6.54
21
T. González
FWD · 20′
6.42
36
M. Bracamonte
MID · 89′
6.41
14
P. Monje
MID · 86′
6.33
8
M. Céliz
MID · 89′ · 🟨
6.24
23
M. Arzamendia
GK · 0′
0
T. Lauro
· 0′
0
29
M. Graneros
FWD · 0′
0
13
R. Gallo
DEF · 0′
0
32
G. Flores
FWD · 0′
0
Boca Juniors
20
A. Velasco
MID · 46′
6.88
15
W. Alarcón
MID · 46′
6.74
18
M. Delgado
MID · 75′
6.57
26
Marco Pellegrino
DEF · 89′
6.48
25
S. Ascacíbar
MID · 89′
6.46
21
K. Zenón
MID · 65′
6.4
22
S. Villa
FWD · 43′
6.39
2
L. Di Lollo
DEF · 89′
6.26
16
M. Merentiel
FWD · 23′
6.25
11
Á. Romero
FWD · 43′
6.18
27
M. Braida
DEF · 89′
6.03
3
L. Blanco
DEF · 89′
5.91
23
C. Rey
MID · 14′
5.79
1
Á. Montero
GK · 89′
5.6
12
L. Brey
GK · 0′
0
4
N. Figal
DEF · 0′
0
13
J. García
GK · 0′
0
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
67% Shot Accuracy
0% Pass Accuracy
19% Possession
Deportivo Riestra Boca Juniors
6Shots11
4Shots on Target3
1Shots off Target7
4Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots1
178Passes760
91Accurate Passes679
2Corners8
3Goalkeeper saves1
19Tackles9
7Interceptions9
1Blocks (defensive)1
49Duels Won37
19Fouls8
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
27% Shot Accuracy
0% Pass Accuracy
81% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Deportivo Riestra
C. Quintana
1
Boca Juniors
A. Velasco
3
M. Delgado
2
K. Zenón
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Apertura - Group A
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 +1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 +1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 +628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 +426
5 Independiente 16664 +424
6 Lanus 16664 +324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 +022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 +421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 +021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 −319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 −819
12 Platense 16376 −516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 −1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 −1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 −711
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