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◷ 00:30 · 2026/07/31 · Brasileirão
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# Coritiba vs Cruzeiro: Brazilian League Clash

Coritiba and Cruzeiro meet in a significant Brazilian league encounter where the visitors come in as slight favourites despite the hosts' recent mixed form. Cruzeiro have demonstrated greater consistency over their last five outings, though both sides have collected wins and draws in roughly equal measure, suggesting an evenly matched contest. The head-to-head record adds further intrigue, with Coritiba holding a slight edge from their recent meetings, having won three of their last eight encounters compared to Cruzeiro's two victories. Both teams will be without key personnel, with Coritiba missing three players and Cruzeiro two, which could prove decisive in a tight affair.

The statistical models favour the visitors but only narrowly, with Cruzeiro given roughly one-in-two chances of victory, while the draw remains a genuine possibility at over one-in-three odds. With expected goal output pointing toward a low-scoring encounter, Matheus Pereira emerges as the standout attacking threat, while Breno Lopes offers secondary attacking hope. Given the narrow margin between the sides and the likelihood of a cagey encounter, backing either team to avoid defeat presents sensible value against a modest favourite.

Match info
Status
Not started
Date
2026/07/31 · 00:30
Round
Round 21
Stadium
— Curitiba
🎯 Predict the Score Contest & leaderboard →
AI predictionExpected goals 0.4 : 0.8
🧠 The model favours Cruzeiro at 44%, with expected goals 0-1, and the likeliest scorer is Matheus Pereira (33%).
Coritiba 16% Draw 40% Cruzeiro 44%
Coritiba 0% Draw 0% Cruzeiro 0%
Vote your prediction:
0 votes
Confidence 45% Medium confidence
🚑 Key absences Coritiba 🚑 Key absences Cruzeiro 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 30%
Both teams to score 18% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 88%
Over 2.5 12%Under 2.5 88%
Win Probability
17% 41% 42%
Coritiba 17% Draw 41% Cruzeiro 42%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Matheus Pereira
✈️ Cruzeiro
33%
Breno Lopes
🏠 Coritiba
12%
Team comparison API-Football
Coritiba Cruzeiro
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
47%
Team strength
62%
H2H
47%Strength53%
54%Attacking strength46%
38%Defensive strength62%
55%Poisson distribution45%
62%Head-to-head38%
43%Expected goals57%
53%
Team strength
38%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Coritiba or draw
Head-to-head Last 10
4Coritiba win
3Draw
3Cruzeiro win
2026/02/06 Cruzeiro 1 : 2 Coritiba
2023/11/11 Coritiba 1 : 0 Cruzeiro
2023/07/16 Cruzeiro 0 : 0 Coritiba
2021/10/09 Coritiba 0 : 3 Cruzeiro
2021/07/06 Cruzeiro 0 : 0 Coritiba
2017/10/18 Coritiba 1 : 0 Cruzeiro
2017/06/25 Cruzeiro 2 : 0 Coritiba
2016/08/14 Cruzeiro 2 : 2 Coritiba
2016/05/15 Coritiba 1 : 0 Cruzeiro
2015/09/27 Cruzeiro 2 : 0 Coritiba
Key events
No events recorded yet — they appear here during and after the match.
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Palmeiras 201352 +1844
2 Flamengo 191153 +1938
3 Atletico Paranaense 201136 +936
4 Fluminense 20965 +533
5 RB Bragantino 20947 +631
6 Bahia 20875 +431
7 Botafogo 20857 +229
8 Atletico-MG 20848 +028
9 Corinthians 20776 +228
10 Coritiba 20767 −227
11 Cruzeiro 20767 −427
12 Sao Paulo 20758 +226
13 Vitoria 20758 −526
14 Santos 20578 −422
15 Gremio 20578 −422
16 Internacional 20569 −421
17 Vasco DA Gama 20569 −821
18 Remo 20569 −921
19 Mirassol 19559 −520
20 Chapecoense B 201712 −2210
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