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📝 Match Recap AI

# Santos Draw Against Chapecoense in Thrilling Brazilian League Encounter

Santos and Chapecoense finished level at two goals apiece in a match that defied pre-game expectations favoring the hosts. Neymar proved decisive for Santos with two goals, opening the scoring in the thirty-sixth minute before sealing a point deep into the second half at eighty-nine minutes. However, Chapecoense mounted an impressive comeback through Marcinho and Joao Ananias, who struck within eleven minutes of each other to overturn the deficit and force Santos to fight back for the draw.

The result represented a significant surprise given the model's seventy-two percent prediction for a Santos victory, with the draw only projected at twenty percent probability. Despite Neymar's commanding performance, earning a match-high rating of nine point three and proving the standout performer alongside Gabriel Bontempo and Álvaro Barreal, Santos could not convert their dominance into three points. Chapecoense's resilience and clinical finishing in the second half ultimately earned them a valuable point away from home in a competitive encounter.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 21:30
Round
Round 20
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira — Santos
Referee
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Santos at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is Gabriel Barbosa (27%).
Santos 40% Draw 27% Chapecoense-sc 33%
Santos 0% Draw 0% Chapecoense-sc 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Santos 0% Draw 100% Chapecoense-sc 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Santos
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Gabriel Barbosa
🏠 Santos
27%
Neymar
🏠 Santos
24%
Gabriel Bontempo
🏠 Santos
13%
Team comparison API-Football
Santos Chapecoense-sc
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
100%
Team strength
60%
H2H
100%Strength0%
73%Attacking strength27%
57%Defensive strength43%
77%Poisson distribution23%
60%Head-to-head40%
53%Expected goals47%
0%
Team strength
40%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Santos or draw
Head-to-head Last 10
5Santos win
1Draw
4Chapecoense-sc win
2026/01/28 Chapecoense-sc 4 : 2 Santos
2024/10/16 Chapecoense-sc 3 : 2 Santos
2024/07/02 Santos 1 : 0 Chapecoense-sc
2021/11/17 Santos 2 : 0 Chapecoense-sc
2021/08/01 Chapecoense-sc 0 : 1 Santos
2019/12/01 Santos 2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
2019/08/31 Chapecoense-SC 0 : 1 Santos
2018/11/12 Santos 0 : 1 Chapecoense-sc
2018/07/22 Chapecoense-sc 0 : 0 Santos
2017/11/13 Chapecoense-sc 2 : 0 Santos
Key events
NeymarAssists A. Barreal
goals
36'
🔄Bruno MatiasDavid Antunes
Substitution
46'
🔄Giovanni AugustoEnio
Substitution
46'
🔄MarcinhoK. Ramirez
Substitution
46'
MarcinhoAssists Giovanni Augusto
goals
51'
🟨Camilo Reijers
Yellow Card
54'
🥅Joao Ananias
Own Goal
62'
🔄G. CaballeroB. Rollheiser
Substitution
63'
🔄C. OlivaWillian Arao
Substitution
63'
🔄Gabriel MeninoIgor Vinicius
Substitution
63'
🟨Lucas Verissimo
Yellow Card
68'
🟨Matheus Aurelio
Yellow Card
73'
🟨Bruno Tubarao
Yellow Card
75'
🟨Neymar
Yellow Card
76'
🟨A. Barreal
Yellow Card
77'
🔄ThacianoA. Barreal
Substitution
80'
🔄RonyGabriel Barbosa
Substitution
80'
🔄Bruno PachecoFernando
Substitution
80'
🔄Vinicius BalieiroCamilo Reijers
Substitution
83'
🟨Bruno Matias
Yellow Card
88'
Neymar
Goal (Penalty)
89'
Lineup
77
Gabriel Brazão 6.2
31
Gonzalo Escobar 6.3
26
João Paulo Ananias 6.3
4
Lucas Veríssimo 6.3
18
Igor Vinícius 6.3
15
Willian Arão 7.2
22
Álvaro Barreal 7.3
10
2
Neymar 9.3
32
Benjamín Rollheiser 6.3
8
Gabriel Bontempo 7.3
9
Gabriel Barbosa 6
30
Matheus 6.6
12
Fernando 6.6
3
Eduardo Doma 6.5
33
Bruno Leonardo 7.2
20
Bruno Tubarão 6.2
94
Kevin Ramírez 6.3
22
Max 6.9
27
Camilo 6.9
19
David Antunes 6.7
97
Ênio 6.3
11
Yannick Bolasie 6.5
Player rating API-Football
Santos
10
Neymar C
MID · 90′ · ⚽2 · 🟨
9.3
8
Gabriel Bontempo
MID · 90′
7.3
22
Álvaro Barreal
MID · 80′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
7.3
17
Gustavo Caballero
FWD · 27′ · Substitute
7.3
15
Willian Arão
MID · 63′
7.2
25
Gabriel Menino
MID · 27′ · Substitute
7.2
28
Christian Oliva
MID · 27′ · Substitute
6.9
16
Thaciano
MID · 10′ · Substitute
6.7
18
Igor Vinícius
DEF · 63′
6.3
4
Lucas Veríssimo
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.3
26
João Paulo Ananias
DEF · 90′
6.3
31
Gonzalo Escobar
DEF · 90′
6.3
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
MID · 63′
6.3
77
Gabriel Brazão
GK · 90′
6.2
11
Rony
FWD · 10′ · Substitute
6.2
9
Gabriel Barbosa
FWD · 80′
6
34
João Paulo
GK · 0′ · Substitute
98
Adonis Frías
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
14
Luan Peres
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
30
Miguelito
MID · 0′ · Substitute
81
Samuel Mendes
MID · 0′ · Substitute
5
João Schmidt
MID · 0′ · Substitute
7
Robinho Júnior
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Chapecoense-sc
33
Bruno Leonardo
DEF · 90′
7.2
7
Marcinho
FWD · 45′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.2
27
Camilo
MID · 83′ · 🟨
6.9
22
Max
MID · 90′
6.9
10
Giovanni Augusto
MID · 45′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
6.9
19
David Antunes
MID · 45′
6.7
30
Matheus
GK · 90′ · 🟨
6.6
12
Fernando
DEF · 80′
6.6
3
Eduardo Doma C
DEF · 90′
6.5
11
Yannick Bolasie
FWD · 90′
6.5
97
Ênio
MID · 45′
6.3
94
Kevin Ramírez
MID · 45′
6.3
17
Vinicius Balieiro
MID · 15′ · Substitute
6.3
20
Bruno Tubarão
DEF · 90′ · 🟨
6.2
91
Bruno Pacheco
DEF · 10′ · Substitute
6.2
16
Bruno Matias
MID · 45′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6
1
Rafael Santos
GK · 0′ · Substitute
15
Rafael Thyere
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
21
Kauan
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
26
Everton
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
18
Neto Pessoa
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
50
Kassio
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
33% Shot Accuracy
89% Pass Accuracy
64% Possession
Santos Chapecoense-sc
1.74Expected Goals (xG)0.86
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
21Shots5
7Shots on Target3
7Shots off Target1
11Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
594Passes335
531Accurate Passes269
12Corners1
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper saves5
15Tackles15
7Interceptions16
1Blocks (defensive)6
47Duels Won36
11Fouls13
3Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
60% Shot Accuracy
80% Pass Accuracy
36% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Santos
Álvaro Barreal
4
Christian Oliva
4
Gabriel Bontempo
2
Benjamín Rollheiser
2
Neymar
2
Igor Vinícius
1
Chapecoense-sc
Fernando
1
Camilo
1
Yannick Bolasie
1
Giovanni Augusto
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Palmeiras 201352 +1844
2 Flamengo 191153 +1938
3 Atletico Paranaense 201136 +936
4 Fluminense 20965 +533
5 RB Bragantino 20947 +631
6 Bahia 20875 +431
7 Botafogo 20857 +229
8 Atletico-MG 20848 +028
9 Corinthians 20776 +228
10 Coritiba 20767 −227
11 Cruzeiro 20767 −427
12 Sao Paulo 20758 +226
13 Vitoria 20758 −526
14 Santos 20578 −422
15 Gremio 20578 −422
16 Internacional 20569 −421
17 Vasco DA Gama 20569 −821
18 Remo 20569 −921
19 Mirassol 19559 −520
20 Chapecoense B 201712 −2210
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