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Finished · Brasileirão
📝 Match Recap AI

# Bahia 1-1 Corinthians: Draw Materializes as Expected

The match between Bahia and Corinthians ended in a one-one draw, a result that aligned closely with the pre-match prediction favoring a stalemate at thirty-three percent probability. Fabrizio Angileri gave Corinthians an early advantage with a goal in the eighth minute, but Bahia responded effectively through David Duarte's equalizer just before halftime in the forty-fifth minute. The draw represented a fair outcome given the balance of play between two competitive sides.

David Duarte emerged as the standout performer of the encounter, earning a rating of seven point nine and playing a decisive role in Bahia's comeback. Angileri and Gustavo Henrique provided solid contributions for Corinthians with ratings of seven point six and seven point three respectively, but their efforts ultimately proved insufficient to secure victory. While Corinthians entered as slight favorites at forty percent, the draw suggests both teams matched each other's intensity throughout the Brazilian league fixture.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 19:00
Round
Round 20
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova — Salvador
Referee
Ramon Abatti Abel
🩹 Absences & Injuries API-Football
Bahia 6
Caio Alexandre
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Leo Vieira
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
M. Moreno
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Caio Alexandre
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Leo Vieira
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
M. Moreno
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Corinthians 10
Alex Santana
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
M. Depay
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Kayke
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
Matheus Bidu
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Vitinho
🩹 Hip injury
Ruled Out
Alex Santana
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
M. Depay
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Kayke
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
Matheus Bidu
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Vitinho
🩹 Hip injury
Ruled Out
AI predictionExpected goals 0.7 : 1.0
🧠 The model favours Corinthians at 42%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is Gustavo Henrique (31%).
Bahia 25% Draw 33% Corinthians 42%
Bahia 0% Draw 0% Corinthians 0%
0 votes
Confidence 53% Medium confidence
📈 In great form Corinthians 🚑 Key absences Bahia 🚑 Key absences Corinthians 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 0 18%
Both teams to score 32% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 76%
Over 2.5 24%Under 2.5 76%
Win Probability
100%
Bahia 0% Draw 100% Corinthians 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Gustavo Henrique
✈️ Corinthians
31%
Luciano Juba
🏠 Bahia
16%
Team comparison API-Football
Bahia Corinthians
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
40%
Team strength
50%
H2H
40%Strength60%
42%Attacking strength58%
50%Defensive strength50%
59%Poisson distribution41%
50%Head-to-head50%
42%Expected goals58%
60%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Bahia or draw
Head-to-head Last 10
4Bahia win
3Draw
3Corinthians win
2026/01/28 Corinthians 1 : 2 Bahia
2025/08/17 Corinthians 1 : 2 Bahia
2025/03/30 Bahia 1 : 1 Corinthians
2024/12/03 Corinthians 3 : 0 Bahia
2024/07/21 Bahia 0 : 1 Corinthians
2023/11/25 Corinthians 1 : 5 Bahia
2023/07/22 Bahia 0 : 0 Corinthians
2021/10/06 Corinthians 3 : 1 Bahia
2021/06/20 Bahia 0 : 0 Corinthians
2021/01/28 Bahia 2 : 1 Corinthians
Key events
F. AngileriAssists Andre
goals
8'
📺A. Veliz
Goal Disallowed - offside
11'
🟨F. Angileri
Yellow Card
16'
🟨David Duarte
Yellow Card
19'
🟨Ze Guilherme
Yellow Card
28'
🟨Raniele
Yellow Card
35'
David DuarteAssists Rodrigo
goals
45+4'
🟨Rogerio Ceni
Yellow Card
45+9'
🟨Breno Bidon
Yellow Card
67'
🔄Willian JoseAdemir
Substitution
69'
🔄Kaue JuniorA. Veliz
Substitution
69'
🔄Luciano JubaZe Guilherme
Substitution
69'
🔄P. MilansF. Angileri
Substitution
69'
🔄Z. LabyadBreno Bidon
Substitution
70'
🔄AllanAndre
Substitution
77'
🔄M. PereiraRaniele
Substitution
77'
🔄Everton RibeiroJean Lucas
Substitution
77'
🔄A. CarrilloYuri Alberto
Substitution
85'
🔄M. SanabriaErick Pulga
Substitution
86'
🟨Kaue
Yellow Card
89'
🟨Allan
Yellow Card
90+6'
Lineup
1
Ronaldo 6.3
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo 6.2
33
David Duarte 7.9
31
Román Gómez 7.2
5
Nicolás Acevedo 6.6
66
José Guilherme 6.7
6
Jean Lucas 6.3
11
Rodrigo Nestor 6.6
7
Ademir 6.6
16
Erick Pulga 6.9
9
Alejo Véliz 6.2
1
Hugo Souza 6.5
26
Fabrizio Angileri 7.6
13
Gustavo Henrique 7.3
3
Gabriel Paulista 6.9
2
Matheuzinho 6.3
49
André Luiz 6.3
14
Raniele 6.3
7
Breno Bidon 6
8
Rodrigo Garro 6.6
37
Kaio César 6.9
9
Yuri Alberto 6.2
Player rating API-Football
Bahia
33
David Duarte
DEF · 95′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.9
31
Román Gómez
DEF · 95′
7.2
16
Erick Pulga
FWD · 86′
6.9
57
Kauê Furquim
MID · 26′ · Substitute
6.9
66
José Guilherme
MID · 69′ · 🟨
6.7
5
Nicolás Acevedo C
MID · 95′
6.6
7
Ademir
MID · 69′
6.6
11
Rodrigo Nestor
MID · 95′ · 🅰️1
6.6
23
Mateo Sanabria
FWD · 9′ · Substitute
6.6
12
Willian José
FWD · 26′ · Substitute
6.5
1
Ronaldo
GK · 95′
6.3
6
Jean Lucas
MID · 77′
6.3
10
Everton Ribeiro
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.3
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
DEF · 95′
6.2
9
Alejo Véliz
FWD · 69′
6.2
46
Luciano Juba
DEF · 26′ · Substitute
6.2
17
Guido Herrera
GK · 0′ · Substitute
4
Kanu
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
44
Marcos Victor
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
77
Ruan Pablo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
15
Michel Araújo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
63
David Martins
MID · 0′ · Substitute
27
Everaldo
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Corinthians
26
Fabrizio Angileri
DEF · 69′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.6
13
Gustavo Henrique
DEF · 95′
7.3
3
Gabriel Paulista
DEF · 95′
6.9
37
Kaio César
MID · 95′
6.9
23
Matheus Pereira
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.7
8
Rodrigo Garro C
MID · 95′
6.6
20
Pedro Milans
DEF · 26′ · Substitute
6.6
19
André Carrillo
MID · 10′ · Substitute
6.6
1
Hugo Souza
GK · 95′
6.5
29
Allan
MID · 18′ · Substitute
6.5
2
Matheuzinho
DEF · 95′
6.3
14
Raniele
MID · 77′ · 🟨
6.3
49
André Luiz
MID · 77′ · 🅰️1
6.3
9
Yuri Alberto
FWD · 85′
6.2
52
Zakaria Labyad
FWD · 25′ · Substitute
6.2
7
Breno Bidon
MID · 70′ · 🟨
6
51
Kauê
GK · 0′ · 🟨 · Substitute
4
João Pedro Tchoca
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
5
André Ramalho
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
61
Dieguinho
MID · 0′ · Substitute
35
Charles
MID · 0′ · Substitute
77
Jesse Lingard
MID · 0′ · Substitute
18
Pedro Raul
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
17% Shot Accuracy
88% Pass Accuracy
60% Possession
Bahia Corinthians
0.65Expected Goals (xG)0.17
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
12Shots5
2Shots on Target2
8Shots off Target1
8Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
464Passes318
409Accurate Passes256
6Corners2
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves1
16Tackles20
6Interceptions4
2Blocks (defensive)2
46Duels Won52
17Fouls17
2Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
40% Shot Accuracy
81% Pass Accuracy
40% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Bahia
Román Gómez
2
Jean Lucas
2
Nicolás Acevedo
1
Rodrigo Nestor
1
Erick Pulga
1
Willian José
1
Corinthians
André Luiz
1
Rodrigo Garro
1
Matheus Pereira
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Palmeiras 201352 +1844
2 Flamengo 191153 +1938
3 Atletico Paranaense 201136 +936
4 Fluminense 20965 +533
5 RB Bragantino 20947 +631
6 Bahia 20875 +431
7 Botafogo 20857 +229
8 Atletico-MG 20848 +028
9 Corinthians 20776 +228
10 Coritiba 20767 −227
11 Cruzeiro 20767 −427
12 Sao Paulo 20758 +226
13 Vitoria 20758 −526
14 Santos 20578 −422
15 Gremio 20578 −422
16 Internacional 20569 −421
17 Vasco DA Gama 20569 −821
18 Remo 20569 −921
19 Mirassol 19559 −520
20 Chapecoense B 201712 −2210
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