HomeCanadian Premier LeagueMatch details
Finished · Canadian Premier League
📝 Match Recap AI

The match between Supra du Quebec and Forge in the Canadian league ultimately went in favor of the visitors, with Forge securing a 2-1 win. As predicted, Forge dominated the proceedings, with their superior form and higher win probability of 65% prior to the match proving accurate. The decisive moments came in the second half, where Forge's D. Nimick's 43rd-minute goal was canceled out by Supra du Quebec's L. A. Kwemi in the 56th minute, only for M. Filion to score the winner for Forge 10 minutes later.

The outcome was largely in line with pre-match expectations, given Forge's strong chances of winning. The standout performers were undoubtedly the goal-scorers, with D. Nimick and M. Filion making the difference for Forge. Their goals were crucial in securing the three points, and their overall performance earned them high ratings. While Supra du Quebec showed resilience in equalizing, they were ultimately unable to contain Forge's attacking threat, leading to a result that was not entirely surprising given the pre-match predictions.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/05 · 17:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
CEPSUM Stadium — Monteal
Referee
B. Hoskins
AI predictionExpected goals 0.8 : 3.1
🧠 The model favours Forge at 83%, with expected goals 1-3, and the likeliest scorer is B. Wright (24%).
🤖 AI won
Supra du Quebec 6% Draw 11% Forge 83%
Supra du Quebec 0% Draw 0% Forge 0%
0 votes
Confidence 93% High confidence
✈️ Dangerous away Forge 📈 In great form Forge 📉 Poor form Supra du Quebec ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 0 - 3 10%
Both teams to score 53% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 75%
Over 2.5 75%Under 2.5 25%
Win Probability
100%
Supra du Quebec 0% Draw 0% Forge 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
B. Wright
✈️ Forge
24%
D. Nimick
✈️ Forge
24%
Team comparison API-Football
Supra du Quebec Forge
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
29%
Team strength
0%
H2H
29%Strength71%
44%Attacking strength56%
36%Defensive strength64%
30%Poisson distribution70%
0%Head-to-head100%
0%Expected goals100%
71%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Forge
Head-to-head Last 1
0Supra du Quebec win
0Draw
1Forge win
2026/05/13 Forge 1 : 0 Supra du Quebec
Key events
🟨Daniel Nimick
Yellow Card
12'
🟨Charles Auguste
Yellow Card
42'
📺Ben Paton
Penalty confirmed
42'
D. Nimick
Goal (Penalty)
44'
🔄A. SissokoS. Mlah
Substitution
46'
🔄A. BielloO. Boughanmi
Substitution
46'
L. A. KwemiAssists C. Bayiha
goals
56'
📺Loïc Kwemi
Goal confirmed
58'
🔄N. AmpomahB. Wright
Substitution
64'
🔄M. FilionN. Jensen
Substitution
64'
🟨Tristan Borges
Yellow Card
65'
M. FilionAssists T. Borges
goals
66'
🟨Riad Bey
Yellow Card
69'
🔄K. BekkerT. Borges
Substitution
75'
🔄M. BourgeoisH. Massunda
Substitution
75'
🟨Anthony Aromatario
Yellow Card
76'
📺Anthony Aromatario
Card upgrade
76'
🔄B. KaboreC. Bayiha
Substitution
78'
🔄O. El KalkouliC. Auguste
Substitution
78'
🔄D. KrutzenA. Aromatario
Substitution
85'
🟨Nana Ampomah
Yellow Card
89'
🔄Y. W. Wandje DjomzeR. Bey
Substitution
90'
Lineup
16
D. Bertaud 6.2
8
A. Batisse 6.9
5
D. Nimick 7.3
24
R. Rama 6.6
3
M. Jevremovic 7.2
23
A. Aromatario 5.9
6
B. Paton 7.7
17
H. Massunda
19
T. Borges 7.2
22
N. Jensen 6.5
9
B. Wright 6.2
32
J. Milli 6.9
2
C. Auguste 6.7
4
M. Chretien 7.3
11
D. Abzi 6.3
5
K. Ferdinand
20
O. Boughanmi 6.5
12
C. Bayiha 6.7
24
S. Mlah 6.2
10
S. Rea 7.3
77
R. Bey 6.5
9
L. A. Kwemi 7.6
Player rating API-Football
Supra du Quebec
9
Loïc Kwemi
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.6
4
Matisse Chretien
DEF · 90′
7.3
10
Sean Rea
MID · 90′
7.3
32
Joakim Milli
GK · 90′
6.9
8
Omar Elkalouli
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.9
2
Charles Auguste
DEF · 78′ · 🟨
6.7
12
Clement Bayiha
MID · 78′ · 🅰️1
6.7
33
Aboubacar Sissoko
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.7
6
Alessandro Biello
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.7
20
Ousama Boughanmi
MID · 45′
6.5
77
Riad Bey
MID · 89′ · 🟨
6.5
64
Wesley Wandje
MID · 8′ · Substitute
6.5
11
Abzi Diyaeddine C
DEF · 90′
6.3
5
Keesean Ferdinand
DEF · 90′
6.2
24
Safwane Mlah
MID · 45′
6.2
19
Bakary Kaboré
FWD · 12′ · Substitute
6.2
80
Makhoudia Diop
GK · 0′ · Substitute
37
Sasha Deslandes
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
Forge
6
Ben Paton
MID · 90′
7.7
12
Maxime Filion
FWD · 26′ · ⚽1 · Substitute
7.6
5
Daniel Nimick
DEF · 90′ · ⚽1 · 🟨
7.3
3
Marko Jevremović
MID · 90′
7.2
19
Tristan Borges C
FWD · 75′ · 🅰️1 · 🟨
7.2
8
Antoine Batisse
DEF · 90′
6.9
4
Daniel Krutzen
DEF · 13′ · Substitute
6.7
24
Rezart Rama
DEF · 90′
6.6
22
Noah Jensen
FWD · 64′
6.5
11
Nana Ampomah
FWD · 26′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.3
87
Maxime Bourgeois
MID · 15′ · Substitute
6.3
10
Kyle Bekker
MID · 15′ · Substitute
6.3
16
Dimitry Bertaud
GK · 90′
6.2
17
Hoce Massunda
MID · 75′
6.2
9
Brian Wright
FWD · 64′
6.2
23
Anthony Aromatario
MID · 85′ · 🟨
5.9
36
Dino Bontis
GK · 0′ · Substitute
18
Molham Babouli
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
8% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
53% Possession
Supra du Quebec Forge
1.03Expected Goals (xG)1.59
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
12Shots13
1Shots on Target7
8Shots off Target3
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots3
479Passes418
419Accurate Passes350
2Corners4
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper saves0
19Tackles27
6Interceptions4
3Blocks (defensive)3
52Duels Won55
14Fouls18
2Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
54% Shot Accuracy
84% Pass Accuracy
47% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Supra du Quebec
Sean Rea
5
Clement Bayiha
1
Omar Elkalouli
1
Forge
Hoce Massunda
4
Tristan Borges
3
Daniel Nimick
1
Ben Paton
1
Anthony Aromatario
1
Kyle Bekker
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
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