HomeCanadian Premier LeagueMatch details
Finished · Canadian Premier League
📝 Match Recap AI

The match between Pacific FC and HFX Wanderers FC was a closely contested affair, with the visitors ultimately emerging as 2-1 winners. As predicted, HFX Wanderers FC had a slight edge, with a 49% chance of winning according to pre-match models, and they capitalized on this advantage to take the three points. The decisive moments came in the second half, where HFX Wanderers FC's L. Callegari scored the winning goal in the 60th minute, after A. Diaz had equalized for Pacific FC just eight minutes earlier. T. Ciccarelli had given HFX Wanderers FC the lead in the 21st minute, setting the tone for the rest of the match.

The result was not entirely unexpected, given HFX Wanderers FC's favorable pre-match prediction, but it still required a strong performance from the team to overcome a determined Pacific FC side. L. Callegari and T. Ciccarelli stood out for HFX Wanderers FC, with their goals proving crucial in securing the win. Overall, the match unfolded largely as expected, with HFX Wanderers FC's superior pre-match rating ultimately translating into a hard-fought victory on the pitch. The win will be a significant boost for HFX Wanderers FC, while Pacific FC will look to regroup and bounce back from the defeat.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/05 · 22:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
Starlight Stadium
Referee
A. Ruch
AI predictionExpected goals 1.1 : 1.8
🧠 The model favours HFX Wanderers FC at 52%, with expected goals 1-2, and the likeliest scorer is I. Johnston (30%).
🤖 AI won
Pacific FC 24% Draw 24% HFX Wanderers FC 52%
Pacific FC 0% Draw 0% HFX Wanderers FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 79% High confidence
📉 Poor form Pacific FC
Most likely score 1 - 1 11%
Both teams to score 56% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 55%
Over 2.5 55%Under 2.5 45%
Win Probability
100%
Pacific FC 0% Draw 0% HFX Wanderers FC 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
I. Johnston
✈️ HFX Wanderers FC
30%
Tavio Ciccarelli
✈️ HFX Wanderers FC
24%
A. Díaz
🏠 Pacific FC
20%
L. Callegari
✈️ HFX Wanderers FC
16%
Miguel Arilla
✈️ HFX Wanderers FC
9%
Team comparison API-Football
Pacific FC HFX Wanderers FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
25%
Team strength
38%
H2H
25%Strength75%
46%Attacking strength54%
38%Defensive strength62%
47%Poisson distribution53%
38%Head-to-head62%
39%Expected goals61%
75%
Team strength
62%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or HFX Wanderers FC
Head-to-head Last 9
2Pacific FC win
4Draw
3HFX Wanderers FC win
2026/06/26 HFX Wanderers FC 5 : 2 Pacific FC
2026/04/18 HFX Wanderers FC 2 : 2 Pacific FC
2025/09/20 HFX Wanderers FC 3 : 0 Pacific FC
2025/08/16 Pacific FC 2 : 2 HFX Wanderers FC
2025/07/12 Pacific FC 3 : 2 HFX Wanderers FC
2025/04/19 HFX Wanderers FC 3 : 1 Pacific FC
2024/09/18 HFX Wanderers FC 2 : 2 Pacific FC
2024/09/08 Pacific FC 3 : 0 HFX Wanderers FC
2024/06/08 HFX Wanderers FC 0 : 0 Pacific FC
Key events
T. CiccarelliAssists J. Bahamboula
goals
21'
🟨Josh Heard
Yellow Card
42'
📺Yann Régis Toualy
Penalty cancelled
45+2'
🔄R. KrattM. Bustos
Substitution
46'
🔄C. Greco-TaylorE. Lajeunesse
Substitution
46'
🔄R. JuhmiM. Baldisimo
Substitution
46'
🔄M. ArillaT. Ciccarelli
Substitution
46'
📺Yann Régis Toualy
Penalty confirmed
49'
A. Diaz
Goal (Penalty)
52'
L. CallegariAssists M. Arilla
goals
60'
🔄J. QuintanaJ. Belluz
Substitution
65'
🔄S. ZitmanA. Rampersad
Substitution
65'
🔄C. KachweleJ. Bahamboula
Substitution
65'
🔄M. ValesJ. Heard
Substitution
73'
🔄T. Meilleur-GigeuereL. Olguin
Substitution
79'
🔄F. TroisiI. Johnston
Substitution
89'
Lineup
55
S. Melvin 6
3
E. Lajeunesse 6.3
4
D. Konincks 6.5
12
J. Belluz 6.3
7
K. Chung 6.9
33
M. Baldisimo 7.2
16
T. Gomulka 7.9
64
Y. R. Toualy
10
M. Bustos 6.5
11
J. Heard 6.7
9
A. Diaz 7.5
1
M. Carducci 8.2
7
R. Telfer 6.2
16
K. Sow 7.2
2
F. Linder 6.9
21
J. Alphonse 6
18
A. Rampersad 6.5
5
L. Olguin 6.3
6
L. Callegari 8.3
14
J. Bahamboula
20
T. Ciccarelli
8
I. Johnston 6.7
Player rating API-Football
Pacific FC
16
Taras Gomulka
MID · 90′
7.9
9
Alejandro Díaz
FWD · 90′ · ⚽1
7.5
5
Juan David Quintana
DEF · 25′ · Substitute
7.3
33
Matthew Baldisimo
MID · 45′
7.2
7
Kadin Chung
DEF · 90′
6.9
64
Yann Régis Toualy
MID · 90′
6.9
37
Mattias Vales
MID · 17′ · Substitute
6.9
11
Josh Heard C
MID · 73′ · 🟨
6.7
66
Roshawn Juhmi
MID · 45′ · Substitute
6.6
4
Diego Konincks
DEF · 90′
6.5
10
Marco Bustos
MID · 45′
6.5
12
Joshua Belluz
DEF · 65′
6.3
3
Eric Lajeunesse
DEF · 45′
6.3
15
Christian Greco-Taylor
DEF · 45′ · Substitute
6.3
27
Ronan Kratt
FWD · 45′ · Substitute
6.3
55
Sean Melvin
GK · 90′
6
1
Eleias Himaras
GK · 0′ · Substitute
8
Aidan Daniels
MID · 0′ · Substitute
HFX Wanderers FC
6
Lorenzo Callegari
MID · 90′ · ⚽1
8.3
1
Marco Carducci
GK · 90′
8.2
14
Jason Bahamboula
FWD · 65′ · 🅰️1
7.3
16
Kareem Sow
DEF · 90′
7.2
2
Finn Linder
DEF · 90′
6.9
20
Tavio Ciccarelli
FWD · 45′ · ⚽1
6.9
26
Thomas Meilleur Giguère
DEF · 11′ · Substitute
6.9
8
Isaiah Johnston
FWD · 89′
6.7
23
Miguel Arilla
MID · 45′ · 🅰️1 · Substitute
6.7
18
Andre Rampersad C
MID · 65′
6.5
22
Sven Zitman
MID · 25′ · Substitute
6.5
5
Lucas Olguin
MID · 79′
6.3
7
Ryan Telfer
DEF · 90′
6.2
24
Cyprian Kachwele
FWD · 25′ · Substitute
6.2
21
Jefferson Alphonse
DEF · 90′
6
17
Francesco Troisi
DEF · 1′ · Substitute
12
Sinclair Astridge
GK · 0′ · Substitute
41
Harvey Hughes
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
50% Shot Accuracy
85% Pass Accuracy
51% Possession
Pacific FC HFX Wanderers FC
1.43Expected Goals (xG)1.04
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
10Shots6
5Shots on Target3
5Shots off Target2
9Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots1
477Passes466
407Accurate Passes394
6Corners2
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves4
25Tackles8
7Interceptions7
1Blocks (defensive)0
53Duels Won33
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
50% Shot Accuracy
85% Pass Accuracy
49% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Pacific FC
Taras Gomulka
4
Matthew Baldisimo
2
Christian Greco-Taylor
2
Ronan Kratt
1
HFX Wanderers FC
Ryan Telfer
1
Lorenzo Callegari
1
Andre Rampersad
1
Jason Bahamboula
1
Miguel Arilla
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
Discussion 0 comments
No comments yet. Be the first!