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📝 Match Recap AI

# HFX Wanderers Fall Short in Stunning Second-Half Collapse

HFX Wanderers FC appeared to be in control after establishing a two-goal lead by halftime, with goals from C. Kachwele in the twenty-eighth minute and F. Linder just before the break. However, Supra du Quebec orchestrated a remarkable comeback in the second half, with L. A. Kwemi single-handedly turning the match on its head by scoring three consecutive goals in the sixty-fifth, sixty-seventh, and seventy-seventh minutes. The visitors' late surge proved decisive as they claimed a dramatic three-two victory.

The result represented a significant upset given the pre-match model favored Wanderers with a fifty-three percent win probability compared to Supra's twenty-nine percent chance. Despite dominating large portions of the match and taking a commanding lead into halftime, HFX's inability to maintain their advantage and defensive vulnerabilities in the final thirty minutes allowed their opponents to steal an unlikely victory. Kwemi's hat-trick performance was the standout individual display, completely changing the trajectory of a match that appeared settled at the halfway stage.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/24 · 22:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
Wanderers Grounds
Referee
F. Stasolla
AI predictionExpected goals 2.9 : 2.4
🧠 The model favours HFX Wanderers FC at 48%, with expected goals 3-2, and the likeliest scorer is I. Johnston (44%).
🏆 Fans won
HFX Wanderers FC 48% Draw 18% Supra du Quebec 34%
HFX Wanderers FC 0% Draw 0% Supra du Quebec 100%
1 votes
Confidence 59% Medium confidence
🏠 Strong at home HFX Wanderers FC ✈️ Dangerous away Supra du Quebec 🛡️ Leaky visitors away HFX Wanderers FC 📉 Poor form Supra du Quebec ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 2 6%
Both teams to score 86% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 90%
Over 2.5 90%Under 2.5 10%
Win Probability
100%
HFX Wanderers FC 0% Draw 0% Supra du Quebec 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
I. Johnston
🏠 HFX Wanderers FC
44%
Tavio Ciccarelli
🏠 HFX Wanderers FC
35%
L. Callegari
🏠 HFX Wanderers FC
25%
Miguel Arilla
🏠 HFX Wanderers FC
13%
Team comparison API-Football
HFX Wanderers FC Supra du Quebec
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
64%
Team strength
0%
H2H
64%Strength36%
50%Attacking strength50%
64%Defensive strength36%
56%Poisson distribution44%
0%Head-to-head100%
33%Expected goals67%
36%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : HFX Wanderers FC or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 1
0HFX Wanderers FC win
0Draw
1Supra du Quebec win
2026/04/24 Supra du Quebec 2 : 1 HFX Wanderers FC
Key events
C. KachweleAssists M. Arilla
goals
28'
🟨M. Chretien
Yellow Card
40'
F. LinderAssists M. Arilla
goals
45'
L. A. Kwemi
Goal (Penalty)
65'
🔄A. SissokoD. Abzi
Substitution
65'
🔄I. CondeD. Choiniere
Substitution
65'
L. A. Kwemi
goals
67'
🟨T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
Yellow Card
76'
🟨V. Sartini
Yellow Card
76'
L. A. Kwemi
Goal (Penalty)
77'
🔄J. BahamboulaM. Arilla
Substitution
77'
🔄T. CiccarelliC. Kachwele
Substitution
78'
🔄A. ReidS. Zitman
Substitution
78'
🔄Y. W. Wandje DjomzeL. A. Kwemi
Substitution
80'
🔄S. DeslandesC. Auguste
Substitution
82'
🔄A. RampersadL. Olguin
Substitution
88'
🔄F. TroisiJ. Alphonse
Substitution
88'
🔄O. BoughanmiS. Rea
Substitution
90+4'
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
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