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# Atlético Ottawa Edges Pacific FC in Thrilling Canadian Premier League Encounter

Atlético Ottawa claimed a dramatic 3-2 victory over Pacific FC in a match that unfolded as expected but required a late rally to secure all three points. Eduardo Garcia opened the scoring just before halftime, but Pacific FC struck back through goals from Adrian Diaz and Matias Bustos to take a 2-1 lead midway through the second half. The home side's comeback was completed by Brasileiro Tabla in the 76th minute and sealed by Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau's stoppage-time winner, securing a result that aligned closely with preseason predictions favoring an Ottawa victory at 75 percent probability.

The match showcased Atlético Ottawa's resilience as they refused to surrender despite falling behind, while Pacific FC's inability to hold their advantage proved costly in the final stages. The three goals conceded in the second half, particularly the two late strikes, highlighted defensive lapses that undermined what had been a promising performance for the visitors. Ottawa's dominance in the opening half and their superior depth ultimately made the difference, confirming their status as favorites while leaving Pacific FC to rue missed opportunities to register an away result.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 18:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
TD Place Stadium
Referee
R. Villanueva
AI predictionExpected goals 4.0 : 1.5
🧠 The model favours Atlético Ottawa at 79%, with expected goals 4-2, and the likeliest scorer is B. Tabla (52%).
🤖 AI won
Atlético Ottawa 79% Draw 11% Pacific FC 10%
Atlético Ottawa 0% Draw 0% Pacific FC 0%
0 votes
Confidence 95% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home Atlético Ottawa 🛡️ Leaky visitors away Atlético Ottawa 📉 Poor form Pacific FC 🤝 H2H advantage Atlético Ottawa ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 3 - 1 7%
Both teams to score 76% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 91%
Over 2.5 91%Under 2.5 9%
Win Probability
100%
Atlético Ottawa 100% Draw 0% Pacific FC 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Atlético Ottawa
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
B. Tabla
🏠 Atlético Ottawa
52%
A. Díaz
✈️ Pacific FC
26%
Team comparison API-Football
Atlético Ottawa Pacific FC
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
78%
Team strength
93%
H2H
78%Strength22%
59%Attacking strength41%
55%Defensive strength45%
70%Poisson distribution30%
93%Head-to-head7%
77%Expected goals23%
22%
Team strength
7%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Atlético Ottawa or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 9
5Atlético Ottawa win
2Draw
2Pacific FC win
2026/05/30 Pacific FC 2 : 2 Atlético Ottawa
2025/09/06 Atlético Ottawa 2 : 0 Pacific FC
2025/07/27 Pacific FC 0 : 2 Atlético Ottawa
2025/06/07 Pacific FC 0 : 1 Atlético Ottawa
2025/05/03 Atlético Ottawa 3 : 1 Pacific FC
2024/09/22 Atlético Ottawa 1 : 1 Pacific FC
2024/08/17 Pacific FC 0 : 3 Atlético Ottawa
2024/07/07 Atlético Ottawa 0 : 1 Pacific FC
2024/05/30 Pacific FC 2 : 1 Atlético Ottawa
Key events
🟨W. Timoteo
Yellow Card
38'
🟨L. Cloutier
Yellow Card
45+3'
E. Garcia
goals
45+6'
A. Diaz
Goal (Penalty)
53'
🟨J. Heard
Yellow Card
56'
M. BustosAssists Y. R. Toualy
goals
62'
🔄R. KrattA. Diaz
Substitution
63'
🔄N. Fleuriau ChateauJ. Coulanges
Substitution
63'
🔄T. ArnaudJ. Assi
Substitution
63'
🔄A. DanielsM. Schiavoni
Substitution
72'
B. Tabla
goals
76'
🔄M. ValesM. Bustos
Substitution
78'
🔄K. ChungJ. Heard
Substitution
79'
🔄D. KonincksJ. Quintana
Substitution
79'
🟨T. Dunfield
Yellow Card
85'
🔄D. AguilarW. Timoteo
Substitution
87'
🟨G. Antinoro
Yellow Card
90'
🔄K. HabibullahG. Antinoro
Substitution
90+4'
🔄R. KhouryE. Garcia
Substitution
90+4'
🟨J. Castro
Yellow Card
90+4'
N. Fleuriau Chateau
goals
90+6'
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
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