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Finished · Canadian Premier League
📝 Match Recap AI

# York United 1-3 Forge

Forge's comprehensive victory over York United proved to be exactly what the pre-match model had predicted, with the visitors dominating a one-sided encounter in Canadian Premier League action. Nicolas Ampomah emerged as the match-winner, scoring twice in the first and second halves to secure the result, while Isaac Oketokoun added a late third goal to seal the convincing three-one triumph. York United's sole reply came through Thorold Skublak, who pulled one back immediately after Ampomah's opening goal, but the home side proved unable to capitalize on any momentum from that moment.

The scoreline accurately reflected the pre-match expectations, as Forge's 88 percent win probability came to fruition with a performance that left York United's slim chances of victory completely unrealized. Ampomah's brace in particular highlighted Forge's attacking prowess, while York United's lack of sustained pressure meant they could never truly threaten a comeback despite Skublak's early second-half consolation. The result extends Forge's dominance and leaves York United with much to address in their upcoming fixtures.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 21:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
York Lions Stadium
Referee
S. Bowman
AI predictionExpected goals 0.8 : 4.2
🧠 The model favours Forge at 91%, with expected goals 1-4, and the likeliest scorer is B. Wright (31%).
🤖 AI won
York United 3% Draw 6% Forge 91%
York United 0% Draw 0% Forge 0%
0 votes
Confidence 95% High confidence
🏠 Strong at home York United ✈️ Dangerous away Forge 📈 In great form Forge 📉 Poor form York United 🤝 H2H advantage Forge ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 0 - 4 9%
Both teams to score 54% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 87%
Over 2.5 87%Under 2.5 13%
Win Probability
100%
York United 0% Draw 0% Forge 100%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
B. Wright
✈️ Forge
31%
D. Nimick
✈️ Forge
31%
T. Skublak
🏠 York United
15%
J. Altobelli
🏠 York United
10%
Team comparison API-Football
York United Forge
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
6%
Team strength
15%
H2H
6%Strength94%
27%Attacking strength73%
19%Defensive strength81%
23%Poisson distribution77%
15%Head-to-head85%
32%Expected goals68%
94%
Team strength
85%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Winner : Forge and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 9
0York United win
3Draw
6Forge win
2026/06/07 York United 1 : 4 Forge
2025/10/18 Forge 3 : 0 York United
2025/08/09 York United 1 : 2 Forge
2025/06/29 Forge 2 : 2 York United
2025/04/27 York United 2 : 2 Forge
2024/09/28 Forge 2 : 0 York United
2024/08/24 York United 0 : 0 Forge
2024/06/01 Forge 3 : 0 York United
2024/05/01 Forge 3 : 1 York United
Key events
🟨A. Batisse
Yellow Card
18'
🟨J. Cordova
Yellow Card
19'
📺M. Jevremovic
Goal Disallowed - offside
30'
N. AmpomahAssists T. Borges
goals
41'
T. SkublakAssists B. Badibanga
goals
44'
🟨T. Skublak
Yellow Card
45+4'
🔄R. RamaM. Bourgeois
Substitution
46'
N. AmpomahAssists A. Sadek
goals
56'
🔄S. GonzalesT. Skublak
Substitution
61'
🔄L. SinghO. Leon
Substitution
64'
🔄N. JensenA. Sadek
Substitution
65'
🔄I. OketokounN. Ampomah
Substitution
66'
🟨B. Badibanga
Yellow Card
71'
🔄L. AccettolaO. Bassett
Substitution
77'
🔄S. YeatesR. Lopez
Substitution
77'
🔄K. BekkerT. Borges
Substitution
77'
🟨M. Jevremovic
Yellow Card
82'
🔄D. KrutzenH. Massunda
Substitution
85'
I. OketokounAssists N. Jensen
goals
86'
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
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