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# Cavalry FC 1-2 Supra du Quebec: Late Drama Secures Expected Victory

Cavalry FC secured a narrow 2-1 victory over Supra du Quebec in a Canadian League encounter that largely aligned with pre-match expectations, though not without late tension. The hosts dominated early proceedings when Nicholas Edwards broke the deadlock in the third minute, setting a positive tone for the home side. However, Supra du Quebec pulled level through Kevin Ferdinand's well-taken goal in the fifty-fifth minute, injecting genuine uncertainty into the contest and suggesting an upset might be on the cards.

The decisive moment arrived deep into stoppage time when Aleksandar Didic restored Cavalry's advantage with a ninety-minute strike, securing the three points for the pre-match favorites. While the final scoreline matched the model's eighty-six percent prediction of a Cavalry victory, the dramatic nature of the conclusion and Supra's spirited second-half performance prevented this from being a completely comfortable affair. Cavalry's resilience in finding a late winner ultimately proved decisive in what threatened to become an unexpected result.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/29 · 01:00
Round
Group stage
Stadium
ATCO Field
Referee
F. Stasolla
AI predictionExpected goals 3.5 : 0.8
🧠 The model favours Cavalry FC at 86%, with expected goals 4-1, and the likeliest scorer is T. Warschewski (37%).
🤖 AI won
Cavalry FC 86% Draw 9% Supra du Quebec 5%
Cavalry FC 0% Draw 0% Supra du Quebec 0%
0 votes
Confidence 93% High confidence
✈️ Dangerous away Supra du Quebec 🛡️ Leaky visitors away Cavalry FC 📈 In great form Cavalry FC 📉 Poor form Supra du Quebec ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 3 - 0 10%
Both teams to score 53% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 80%
Over 2.5 80%Under 2.5 20%
Win Probability
100%
Cavalry FC 100% Draw 0% Supra du Quebec 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Supra du Quebec
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
T. Warschewski
🏠 Cavalry FC
37%
G. Ntignee
🏠 Cavalry FC
26%
D. Klomp
🏠 Cavalry FC
26%
Team comparison API-Football
Cavalry FC Supra du Quebec
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
71%
Team strength
100%
H2H
71%Strength29%
55%Attacking strength45%
83%Defensive strength17%
78%Poisson distribution22%
100%Head-to-head0%
100%Expected goals0%
29%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Cavalry FC or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 1
1Cavalry FC win
0Draw
0Supra du Quebec win
2026/05/03 Supra du Quebec 0 : 1 Cavalry FC
Key events
N. EdwardsAssists A. Didic
goals
3'
🔄N. MyroniukM. Baldisimo
Substitution
8'
🟨D. Abzi
Yellow Card
39'
🟨L. Laing
Yellow Card
43'
🟨S. Camargo
Yellow Card
53'
K. FerdinandAssists S. Rea
goals
55'
🔄J. McGlincheyS. Camargo
Substitution
71'
🔄C. OforiL. Laing
Substitution
71'
🔄L. A. KwemiO. El Kalkouli
Substitution
73'
🔄D. ChoiniereC. Bayiha
Substitution
73'
🔄O. AntoniukN. Edwards
Substitution
83'
🔄J. HerdmanC. Elva
Substitution
83'
A. DidicAssists A. Musse
goals
90+3'
🟨A. Didic
Yellow Card
90+4'
🟨K. Ferdinand
Yellow Card
90+8'
🟨O. Antoniuk
Yellow Card
90+8'
🔄O. BoughanmiS. Mlah
Substitution
90+11'
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Forge 131111 +1534
2 Cavalry FC 13832 +1627
3 Atlético Ottawa 14635 −321
4 Vancouver FC 14626 +620
5 HFX Wanderers FC 15447 −416
6 Supra du Quebec 12426 −514
7 York United 12345 −1013
8 Pacific FC 130310 −153
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