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📝 Match Recap AI

# Atlante Stuns America with Unlikely Draw

Club America entered as heavy favorites with a seventy-seven percent predicted win probability, but Atlante FC proved to be a stubborn opponent, forcing a one-one draw in this Mexican league encounter. Cristián Borja gave the visitors an early advantage with a twenty-first-minute goal, but Atlante equalized through Eduardo Pizzuto in the sixty-fifth minute, securing a result that defied expectations. The draw was undoubtedly a surprise, as the model gave Atlante merely a three percent chance of victory, making this a significant upset for the home side.

Atlante's defensive resilience was their standout feature, with goalkeeper Óscar Jiménez delivering a commanding performance rated at eight point three, keeping his team competitive throughout. Borja provided Club America's best individual display with a seven point nine rating and his crucial early goal, though it ultimately proved insufficient to claim all three points. Eduardo Tercero complemented Jiménez's efforts with a solid seven point five rating, helping Atlante's backline weather the pressure from their more fancied opponents and claim a valuable point.

Estadio Banorte
🏟️ Estadio Banorte Mexico City
Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 03:00
Round
Apertura - 2
Stadium
Estadio Banorte — Mexico City
Referee
Katia García
AI predictionExpected goals 0.5 : 1.3
🧠 The model favours Club America at 56%, with expected goals 1-1, and the likeliest scorer is I. Violante (48%).
Atlante FC 14% Draw 30% Club America 56%
Atlante FC 0% Draw 0% Club America 0%
0 votes
Confidence 54% Medium confidence
📈 In great form Club America 📉 Poor form Atlante FC 🔒 Tight, low-scoring
Most likely score 0 - 1 21%
Both teams to score 29% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 73%
Over 2.5 27%Under 2.5 73%
Win Probability
100%
Atlante FC 0% Draw 100% Club America 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
I. Violante
✈️ Club America
48%
E. Pizzuto
🏠 Atlante FC
39%
Team comparison API-Football
Atlante FC Club America
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
0%
H2H
0%Strength100%
50%Attacking strength50%
0%Defensive strength100%
0%Poisson distribution0%
0%Head-to-head0%
0%Expected goals0%
100%
Team strength
0%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Club America and -3.5 goals
Key events
C. BorjaAssists I. Violante
goals
21'
🟨M. Herrera
Yellow Card
26'
🟨K. Alvarez
Yellow Card
41'
🔄E. JimenezW. Clar
Substitution
57'
E. PizzutoAssists Jhojan Julio
goals
65'
🟨E. Sanchez
Yellow Card
67'
🟨H. Martin
Yellow Card
67'
🔄A. H. Gutierrez TorresRaphael Veiga
Substitution
75'
🔄P. SalasK. Alvarez
Substitution
75'
🔄J. IbarraE. Pizzuto
Substitution
76'
🔄L. MejiaM. Fernandez
Substitution
76'
🔄S. GarciaJ. N. Carrera
Substitution
76'
🔄A. CardenasH. Martin
Substitution
80'
🔄F. RossanoC. Borja
Substitution
86'
🔄D. GonzalezL. Calzadilla
Substitution
87'
🟨E. Jimenez
Yellow Card
89'
Lineup
1
Óscar Jiménez 8.3
37
Walter Clar 6.6
3
Luis Sánchez 7.2
4
Eduardo Tercero 7.5
6
Nicolas Carrera 6.9
29
Walter Portales 6.5
19
Luis Calzadilla 6.6
25
Martín Fernández 6.7
8
Eugenio Pizzuto 7.3
7
Jhojan Julio 6.9
9
Luis Puente 6.7
30
Rodolfo Cota 6.6
5
Kevin Álvarez 6.9
32
Miguel Vazquez 7.3
29
Ramón Juárez 6.9
34
Dagoberto Espinoza 7.3
27
Ícaro 6.9
28
Erick Sánchez 7.2
26
Cristián Borja 7.9
23
Raphael Veiga 6.6
12
Isaías Violante 7.2
9
Henry Martín 5.9
Player rating API-Football
Atlante FC
1
Óscar Jiménez
GK · 90′
8.3
4
Eduardo Tercero
DEF · 90′
7.5
8
Eugenio Pizzuto
MID · 76′ · ⚽1
7.3
3
Luis Sánchez
DEF · 90′
7.2
6
Nicolas Carrera C
DEF · 76′
6.9
7
Jhojan Julio
FWD · 90′ · 🅰️1
6.9
17
Leonardo Mejía
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.9
21
Javier Ibarra
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.9
25
Martín Fernández
MID · 76′
6.7
9
Luis Puente
FWD · 90′
6.7
16
José González
MID · 13′ · Substitute
6.7
37
Walter Clar
DEF · 57′
6.6
19
Luis Calzadilla
MID · 87′
6.6
34
Edgar Jiménez
MID · 33′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.6
29
Walter Portales
DEF · 90′
6.5
199
Santiago Garcia
DEF · 14′ · Substitute
6.3
22
Roberto Barragan
GK · 0′ · Substitute
27
Armando Escobar
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
23
Axl Padilla
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
184
Rubén Coubert
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
15
Jairón Charcopa
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Club America
26
Cristián Borja
MID · 86′ · ⚽1
7.9
34
Dagoberto Espinoza
DEF · 90′
7.3
32
Miguel Vazquez
DEF · 90′
7.3
28
Erick Sánchez
MID · 90′ · 🟨
7.2
12
Isaías Violante
MID · 90′ · 🅰️1
7.2
20
Alexis Gutiérrez
MID · 15′ · Substitute
7
29
Ramón Juárez
DEF · 90′
6.9
5
Kevin Álvarez
DEF · 75′ · 🟨
6.9
27
Ícaro
MID · 90′
6.9
24
Franco Rossano
DEF · 14′ · Substitute
6.9
189
Alejandro Cardenas
FWD · 10′ · Substitute
6.7
30
Rodolfo Cota
GK · 90′
6.6
23
Raphael Veiga
MID · 75′
6.6
33
Patricio Salas
FWD · 15′ · Substitute
6.2
9
Henry Martín C
FWD · 80′ · 🟨
5.9
21
Fernando Tapia
GK · 0′ · Substitute
2
Emilio Lara
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
186
Osvaldo Arriaga
MID · 0′ · Substitute
240
Ricardo González
MID · 0′ · Substitute
191
Adrián Fernández
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
188
Santiago Camarena
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
50% Shot Accuracy
69% Pass Accuracy
38% Possession
Atlante FC Club America
0.74Expected Goals (xG)1.57
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
8Shots20
4Shots on Target8
3Shots off Target6
4Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
313Passes508
216Accurate Passes419
2Corners9
2Offsides3
7Goalkeeper saves3
24Tackles12
7Interceptions5
6Blocks (defensive)1
58Duels Won59
17Fouls14
1Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
40% Shot Accuracy
82% Pass Accuracy
62% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Atlante FC
Walter Clar
2
Martín Fernández
1
Luis Puente
1
Jhojan Julio
1
Club America
Isaías Violante
5
Raphael Veiga
3
Ícaro
2
Henry Martín
2
Alexis Gutiérrez
2
Dagoberto Espinoza
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Club Tijuana 2200 +36
2 Cruz Azul 2200 +26
3 Atlas 2200 +26
4 Necaxa 2200 +26
5 Club America 2110 +14
6 CF Pachuca 2101 +23
7 Toluca 2101 +13
8 Monterrey 2101 +03
9 Club Queretaro 2101 +03
10 Puebla 2101 +03
11 Guadalajara Chivas 2101 −13
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2101 −23
13 Atletico San Luis 2011 −11
14 Atlante FC 2011 −11
15 Tigres UANL 2011 −21
16 Leon 2002 −20
17 Santos Laguna 2002 −20
18 FC Juarez 2002 −20
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