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# Tigres UANL 2-2 Atletico San Luis: San Luis Wastes Winning Position

Atletico San Luis came agonizingly close to pulling off a massive upset, but ultimately had to settle for a draw in a thrilling encounter against Tigres UANL. The visitors dominated the pre-match predictions with a fifty-six percent win expectancy, yet found themselves chasing the game after Gorriaran's early eleventh-minute strike gave Tigres the lead. San Luis equalized through Llorente just before halftime, then appeared to have secured all three points when Rodriguez struck in the eighty-ninth minute, only to be undone by Sanchez Guevara's second-half leveler for the hosts.

The result proved to be a partial disappointment for San Luis despite their pre-match favoritism, as they failed to convert their dominant position into victory. Diego Sánchez emerged as Tigres' standout performer with an outstanding eight-point-three rating, while Rodriguez and Sergio delivered influential displays for the visitors in what was ultimately a fiercely contested Mexican league clash. The draw leaves both teams sharing the spoils after an entertaining back-and-forth contest that saw late drama derail San Luis's hopes of a statement win.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 03:00
Round
Apertura - 2
Stadium
Estadio Universitario — San Nicolas de los Garza
Referee
L. Garcia
AI predictionExpected goals 3.7 : 3.5
🧠 The model favours Tigres UANL at 44%, with expected goals 4-4, and the likeliest scorer is R. Aguirre (89%).
Tigres UANL 44% Draw 17% Atletico San Luis 39%
Tigres UANL 0% Draw 0% Atletico San Luis 0%
0 votes
Confidence 30% Low confidence
📉 Poor form Tigres UANL 📉 Poor form Atletico San Luis 🤝 H2H advantage Tigres UANL ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 3 - 3 5%
Both teams to score 95% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 97%
Over 2.5 97%Under 2.5 3%
Win Probability
100%
Tigres UANL 0% Draw 100% Atletico San Luis 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Atletico San Luis
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
R. Aguirre
🏠 Tigres UANL
89%
O. Herrera
🏠 Tigres UANL
89%
Joaquim
🏠 Tigres UANL
89%
Rafa Llorente
✈️ Atletico San Luis
83%
D. Sánchez
🏠 Tigres UANL
71%
Team comparison API-Football
Tigres UANL Atletico San Luis
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
71%
H2H
0%Strength0%
33%Attacking strength67%
50%Defensive strength50%
0%Poisson distribution0%
71%Head-to-head29%
57%Expected goals43%
0%
Team strength
29%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 10
6Tigres UANL win
3Draw
1Atletico San Luis win
2026/01/12 Atletico San Luis 1 : 2 Tigres UANL
2025/11/08 Tigres UANL 3 : 1 Atletico San Luis
2025/01/11 Atletico San Luis 1 : 3 Tigres UANL
2024/12/02 Tigres UANL 0 : 0 Atletico San Luis
2024/11/29 Atletico San Luis 3 : 0 Tigres UANL
2024/09/14 Tigres UANL 1 : 0 Atletico San Luis
2024/01/25 Atletico San Luis 1 : 2 Tigres UANL
2023/11/04 Tigres UANL 2 : 2 Atletico San Luis
2023/01/29 Tigres UANL 0 : 0 Atletico San Luis
2022/10/01 Atletico San Luis 0 : 3 Tigres UANL
Key events
F. GorriaranAssists Joaquim
goals
11'
🟨C. Araujo
Yellow Card
13'
R. Llorente
goals
39'
🟨Robson Bambu
Yellow Card
45+4'
D. A. Sanchez GuevaraAssists J. Brunetta
goals
53'
🔄R. MerazL. Flores
Substitution
69'
🔄A. FrancoC. Araujo
Substitution
74'
🔄J. VigonD. A. Sanchez Guevara
Substitution
82'
🔄R. NajeraM. Garcia
Substitution
82'
🔄S. MunozR. Llorente
Substitution
82'
🔄S. PerezO. Macias
Substitution
82'
🟨A. Franco
Yellow Card
86'
🔄A. DuarteLucas Esteves
Substitution
87'
D. RodriguezAssists R. Torres
goals
89'
🔄A. de Maria CamposV. Lorona
Substitution
90+1'
Lineup
Lineups appear just before kickoff and right after, straight from the API.
Player rating API-Football
Tigres UANL
30
Diego Sánchez
MID · 82′ · ⚽1
8.3
8
Fernando Gorriarán C
MID · 96′ · ⚽1
7.5
11
Juan Brunetta
MID · 96′ · 🅰️1
7.2
28
Joaquim
DEF · 96′ · 🅰️1
7
5
César Araújo
MID · 74′ · 🟨
7
16
Diego Lainez
MID · 96′
7
1
Nahuel Guzmán
GK · 96′
6.3
14
Jesus Garza
DEF · 96′
6.3
32
Vladimir Loroña
DEF · 91′
6.3
77
Ozziel Herrera
FWD · 96′
6.3
6
Juan Vigón
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.3
23
Rômulo Zwarg
DEF · 96′
6.2
15
Alan Javier Franco
DEF · 22′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.2
205
Antonio de María y Campos
FWD · 5′ · Substitute
25
Carlos Rodríguez
GK · 0′ · Substitute
193
Marcelo Salinas
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
26
Fernando Ordoñez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
33
Rafael Guerrero
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
19
Mauro Laínez
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
198
Isac Galván
MID · 0′ · Substitute
197
Ángel Ramírez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Atletico San Luis
11
David Rodriguez
FWD · 96′ · ⚽1
8.2
22
Sergio
FWD · 82′ · ⚽1
7.9
10
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge C
MID · 96′
7
5
Roberto Meraz
MID · 27′ · Substitute
6.6
17
Anderson Duarte
FWD · 9′ · Substitute
6.6
2
Román Torres
MID · 96′ · 🅰️1
6.5
19
Santiago Muñoz
FWD · 14′ · Substitute
6.5
31
Eduardo Águila
DEF · 87′
6.3
21
Oscar Macías
MID · 82′
6.3
16
Lucas Esteves
MID · 96′
6.3
20
Leonardo Flores
FWD · 69′
6.3
26
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.3
14
Miguel Alonso García
DEF · 82′
6.2
8
Ronaldo Nájera
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.2
3
Robson Bambu
DEF · 96′ · 🟨
6
1
Andrés Sánchez
GK · 96′
5.9
25
Gibran Lajud
GK · 0′ · Substitute
18
Aldo Cruz
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
30
Benjamín Galindo
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
13
Johan Caicedo
MID · 0′ · Substitute
242
Ángel Reyes
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
13% Shot Accuracy
84% Pass Accuracy
43% Possession
Tigres UANL Atletico San Luis
1.17Expected Goals (xG)0.47
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
15Shots13
2Shots on Target4
11Shots off Target6
10Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots3
367Passes503
309Accurate Passes439
9Corners3
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper saves1
18Tackles19
11Interceptions5
3Blocks (defensive)1
46Duels Won45
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
31% Shot Accuracy
87% Pass Accuracy
57% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Tigres UANL
Diego Lainez
5
Juan Brunetta
5
Joaquim
1
Vladimir Loroña
1
César Araújo
1
Diego Sánchez
1
Atletico San Luis
Román Torres
2
Sergio
2
Robson Bambu
1
Miguel Alonso García
1
Oscar Macías
1
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Club Tijuana 2200 +36
2 Cruz Azul 2200 +26
3 Atlas 2200 +26
4 Necaxa 2200 +26
5 Club America 2110 +14
6 CF Pachuca 2101 +23
7 Toluca 2101 +13
8 Monterrey 2101 +03
9 Club Queretaro 2101 +03
10 Puebla 2101 +03
11 Guadalajara Chivas 2101 −13
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2101 −23
13 Atletico San Luis 2011 −11
14 Atlante FC 2011 −11
15 Tigres UANL 2011 −21
16 Leon 2002 −20
17 Santos Laguna 2002 −20
18 FC Juarez 2002 −20
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