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📝 Match Recap AI

# Philadelphia Union Edge Seattle in Tight Contest

Philadelphia Union claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Seattle Sounders in Major League Soccer, with Milan Iloski breaking the deadlock in the 31st minute to settle a closely contested match. The result came against a relatively even prediction model, which had given Seattle a 35 percent chance of winning compared to Union's 29 percent, suggesting this was not a dominant performance but rather a tightly balanced affair decided by a single goal. Union's defensive solidity proved crucial in protecting their slender advantage through to the final whistle.

The hosts were powered by an impressive collective effort from their back line and midfield, with three Philadelphia players earning identical seven-point-seven ratings: Kai Wagner, Milan Iloski, and Quinn Sullivan all stood out as the match's most influential performers. Iloski's goalscoring contribution underscored his importance to the team, while Wagner and Sullivan's defensive work helped keep Seattle's attacking threats at bay throughout the ninety minutes, delivering a well-earned three points for the home side.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/25 · 23:30
Round
Round 17
Stadium
Subaru Park — Chester
Referee
Tim Ford
🩹 Absences & Injuries API-Football
Philadelphia Union 4
P. Ndinga
🩹 Hamstring
Ruled Out
S. Korzeniowski
🩹 Knee injury
Doubtful
P. Ndinga
🩹 Hamstring
Ruled Out
S. Korzeniowski
🩹 Knee injury
Doubtful
Seattle Sounders 16
Kim Kee-Hee
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
J. Morris
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
N. Petkovic
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
J. Ragen
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
A. Roldan
🩹 Hip injury
Ruled Out
C. Roldan
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
P. de La Vega
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
R. Sailor
🩹 Knee injury
Doubtful
Kim Kee-Hee
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
J. Morris
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
N. Petkovic
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
J. Ragen
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
A. Roldan
🩹 Hip injury
Ruled Out
C. Roldan
🩹 Muscle injury
Ruled Out
P. de La Vega
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
R. Sailor
🩹 Knee injury
Doubtful
AI predictionExpected goals 2.1 : 0.5
🧠 The model favours Philadelphia Union at 74%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is Cavan Sullivan (17%).
🤖 AI won
Philadelphia Union 74% Draw 18% Seattle Sounders 8%
Philadelphia Union 0% Draw 0% Seattle Sounders 0%
0 votes
Confidence 79% High confidence
📉 Poor form Seattle Sounders 🚑 Key absences Philadelphia Union 🚑 Key absences Seattle Sounders
Most likely score 2 - 0 16%
Both teams to score 35% No
Over / Under 2.5 Under 52%
Over 2.5 48%Under 2.5 52%
Win Probability
100%
Philadelphia Union 100% Draw 0% Seattle Sounders 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
Cavan Sullivan
🏠 Philadelphia Union
17%
Team comparison API-Football
Philadelphia Union Seattle Sounders
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
57%
Team strength
50%
H2H
57%Strength43%
71%Attacking strength29%
48%Defensive strength52%
42%Poisson distribution58%
50%Head-to-head50%
55%Expected goals45%
43%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw
Head-to-head Last 9
3Philadelphia Union win
2Draw
4Seattle Sounders win
2024/05/01 Philadelphia Union 2 : 3 Seattle Sounders
2019/05/18 Philadelphia Union 0 : 0 Seattle Sounders
2018/09/20 Seattle Sounders 0 : 1 Philadelphia Union
2017/10/01 Philadelphia Union 2 : 0 Seattle Sounders
2016/04/17 Seattle Sounders 2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
2015/06/24 Philadelphia Union 1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
2014/09/16 Philadelphia Union 1 : 3 Seattle Sounders
2014/05/04 Seattle Sounders 2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
2013/05/04 Philadelphia Union 2 : 2 Seattle Sounders
Key events
🟨H. Dotson
Yellow Card
12'
M. IloskiAssists F. Westfield
goals
31'
🔄G. SandnesA. Lopez
Substitution
59'
🔄P. KingstonK. Kossa-Rienzi
Substitution
60'
🔄J. FerreiraP. Arriola
Substitution
60'
🔄Q. SullivanI. Vassilev
Substitution
65'
🔄E. AlladohB. Damiani
Substitution
65'
🔄D. MusovskiO. De Rosario
Substitution
80'
🔄J. BuenoD. Jean Jacques
Substitution
80'
🔄S. GomezH. Dotson
Substitution
80'
🔄A. BedoyaC. Sullivan
Substitution
89'
Lineup
18
Andre Blake 6.5
27
Kai Wagner 7.7
26
Nathan Harriel 7.2
44
Neil Pierre 7
39
Frankie Westfield 7.5
19
Indiana Vassilev 6.7
4
Jovan Lukić 6.5
21
Danley Jean Jacques 6.9
6
Cavan Sullivan 7.3
9
Bruno Damiani 6.2
10
Milan Iloski 7.7
26
Andrew Thomas 7
5
Nouhou Tolo 6.9
35
Antino Lopez 6.3
39
Stuart Hawkins 6.7
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 6.2
37
Snyder Brunell 6.9
31
Hassani Dotson 6.6
14
Paul Rothrock 6.3
11
Albert Rusnák 6.7
17
Paul Arriola 7
95
Osaze De Rosario 6
Player rating API-Football
Philadelphia Union
27
Kai Wagner
DEF · 92′
7.7
10
Milan Iloski
FWD · 92′ · ⚽1
7.7
33
Quinn Sullivan
MID · 27′ · Substitute
7.7
39
Frankie Westfield
DEF · 92′ · 🅰️1
7.5
6
Cavan Sullivan
MID · 89′
7.3
26
Nathan Harriel
DEF · 92′
7.2
44
Neil Pierre
DEF · 92′
7
21
Danley Jean Jacques
MID · 80′
6.9
19
Indiana Vassilev
MID · 65′
6.7
8
Jesus Bueno
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.7
18
Andre Blake C
GK · 92′
6.5
4
Jovan Lukić
MID · 92′
6.5
23
Ezekiel Alladoh
FWD · 27′ · Substitute
6.5
9
Bruno Damiani
FWD · 65′
6.2
11
Alejandro Bedoya
MID · 3′ · Substitute
76
Andrew Rick
GK · 0′ · Substitute
5
Japhet Sery Larsen
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
2
Geiner Martínez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
28
Agustin Anello
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
16
Ben Bender
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Seattle Sounders
26
Andrew Thomas
GK · 92′
7
17
Paul Arriola
MID · 60′
7
5
Nouhou Tolo C
DEF · 92′
6.9
37
Snyder Brunell
MID · 92′
6.9
53
Gallatin Sandnes
DEF · 33′ · Substitute
6.9
39
Stuart Hawkins
DEF · 92′
6.7
11
Albert Rusnák
MID · 92′
6.7
31
Hassani Dotson
MID · 80′ · 🟨
6.6
9
Jesús Ferreira
FWD · 32′ · Substitute
6.5
19
Daniel Musovski
FWD · 12′ · Substitute
6.5
35
Antino Lopez
DEF · 59′
6.3
14
Paul Rothrock
MID · 92′
6.3
45
Peter Kingston
MID · 32′ · Substitute
6.3
90
Sebastian Gomez
MID · 12′ · Substitute
6.3
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
DEF · 60′
6.2
95
Osaze De Rosario
FWD · 80′
6
50
Max Anchor
GK · 0′ · Substitute
24
Stefan Frei
GK · 0′ · Substitute
28
Yeimar Gómez
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
31% Shot Accuracy
73% Pass Accuracy
44% Possession
Philadelphia Union Seattle Sounders
1.15Expected Goals (xG)0.36
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
13Shots7
4Shots on Target1
6Shots off Target5
7Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
340Passes442
247Accurate Passes343
5Corners1
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper saves3
18Tackles11
16Interceptions6
1Blocks (defensive)3
59Duels Won50
11Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
14% Shot Accuracy
78% Pass Accuracy
56% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
Philadelphia Union
Frankie Westfield
2
Kai Wagner
2
Cavan Sullivan
2
Indiana Vassilev
1
Milan Iloski
1
Quinn Sullivan
1
Seattle Sounders
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
1
Paul Arriola
1
Albert Rusnák
1
Jesús Ferreira
1
Sebastian Gomez
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Eastern Conference
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Nashville SC 171232 +2139
2 Inter Miami 171142 +1337
3 New England Revolution 16925 +729
4 Chicago Fire 16826 +826
5 New York City FC 17746 +725
6 Charlotte 17746 +325
7 FC Cincinnati 17656 −123
8 New York Red Bulls 17647 −1122
9 DC United 17575 −322
10 Orlando City SC 17629 −1620
11 Columbus Crew 17548 −219
12 Toronto FC 17377 −816
13 CF Montreal 174310 −1115
14 Philadelphia Union 173410 −913
15 Atlanta United FC 173311 −1312
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