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📝 Match Recap AI

# San Diego Secures Narrow Victory Over FC Dallas

San Diego claimed a hard-fought one-nil victory over FC Dallas in Major League Soccer, with Alejandro Alvarado Jr breaking the deadlock in the fiftieth minute to settle the contest. The result aligned closely with the pre-match predictions, which gave San Diego a slight edge with a forty-two percent win probability compared to Dallas's thirty-nine percent chance, suggesting the two sides were evenly matched heading into the encounter.

The hosts were buoyed by outstanding performances from their attacking and defensive ranks, with Alvarado Jr earning the match's highest rating of eight point three after his decisive goal, while defender Jeppe Tverskov matched that score with a commanding display at the back. Kieran Sargeant also impressed for San Diego with a seven point six rating, helping the team maintain control throughout the match and secure three vital points in what proved to be a closely competitive affair.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 01:30
Round
Round 17
Stadium
Snapdragon Stadium — San Diego
Referee
Victor Rivas
🩹 Absences & Injuries API-Football
San Diego 6
A. Pellegrino
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
P. Sisniega
🩹 Back injury
Ruled Out
A. Reyes
🩹 Injury
Doubtful
A. Pellegrino
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
P. Sisniega
🩹 Back injury
Ruled Out
A. Reyes
🩹 Injury
Doubtful
FC Dallas 4
Geovane Jesus
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
Ramiro
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Geovane Jesus
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
Ramiro
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
AI predictionExpected goals 2.1 : 1.8
🧠 The model favours San Diego at 45%, with expected goals 2-2, and the likeliest scorer is M. Ingvartsen (53%).
🤖 AI won
San Diego 45% Draw 21% FC Dallas 34%
San Diego 0% Draw 0% FC Dallas 0%
0 votes
Confidence 61% Medium confidence
🏠 Strong at home San Diego 🚑 Key absences San Diego 🚑 Key absences FC Dallas 🤝 H2H advantage San Diego ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 2 - 1 8%
Both teams to score 73% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 75%
Over 2.5 75%Under 2.5 25%
Win Probability
100%
San Diego 100% Draw 0% FC Dallas 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
M. Ingvartsen
🏠 San Diego
53%
P. Musa
✈️ FC Dallas
52%
D. Vazquez
🏠 San Diego
18%
Team comparison API-Football
San Diego FC Dallas
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
33%
Team strength
88%
H2H
33%Strength67%
48%Attacking strength52%
50%Defensive strength50%
39%Poisson distribution61%
88%Head-to-head13%
69%Expected goals31%
67%
Team strength
13%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : San Diego or draw and +1.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 3
2San Diego win
1Draw
0FC Dallas win
2026/03/15 FC Dallas 3 : 3 San Diego
2025/06/29 FC Dallas 2 : 3 San Diego
2025/05/04 San Diego 5 : 0 FC Dallas
Key events
🔄J. SiroisDaniel
Substitution
19'
🔄B. KamungoJ. Valiente
Substitution
46'
A. Alvarado JrAssists M. Duah
goals
50'
🔄S. MorenoP. Delgado
Substitution
61'
🔄A. A. Julio SantosR. Binyamin
Substitution
61'
🔄A. GodoyA. Alvarado Jr
Substitution
73'
🔄D. VazquezM. Ingvartsen
Substitution
73'
🔄L. FarringtonS. Ibeagha
Substitution
79'
🟨B. Kamungo
Yellow Card
81'
🔄L. BombinoK. Sargeant
Substitution
86'
🔄L. MorganO. Valakari
Substitution
87'
🟨A. A. Julio Santos
Yellow Card
88'
Lineup
1
CJ Dos Santos 6.9
5
Kieran Sargeant 7.6
26
Manu Duah 7.3
97
Christopher McVey 7.2
33
Oscar Verhoeven 6.7
8
Onni Valakari 6.9
6
Jeppe Tverskov 8.3
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr 8.3
77
Alex Mighten 6.2
7
Marcus Ingvartsen 6.7
10
Anders Dreyer 7.2
42
Daniel 7.3
32
Nolan Norris 6.2
25
Sebastien Ibeagha 7.3
3
Osaze Urhoghide 7.2
18
Shaq Moore 6.6
12
Christian Cappis 6.7
55
Kaick 6.5
6
Ran Binyamin 6.9
8
Patrickson Delgado 6.3
21
Joaquín Valiente 6.3
9
Petar Musa 6.9
Player rating API-Football
San Diego
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
MID · 73′ · ⚽1
8.3
6
Jeppe Tverskov C
MID · 92′
8.3
5
Kieran Sargeant
DEF · 86′
7.6
26
Manu Duah
DEF · 92′ · 🅰️1
7.3
97
Christopher McVey
DEF · 92′
7.2
10
Anders Dreyer
FWD · 92′
7.2
1
CJ Dos Santos
GK · 92′
6.9
8
Onni Valakari
MID · 87′
6.9
19
David Vazquez
MID · 19′ · Substitute
6.9
33
Oscar Verhoeven
DEF · 92′
6.7
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
FWD · 73′
6.7
20
Aníbal Godoy
MID · 19′ · Substitute
6.3
77
Alex Mighten
FWD · 92′
6.2
27
Luca Bombino
DEF · 6′ · Substitute
9
Lewis Morgan
FWD · 5′ · Substitute
18
Duran Ferree
GK · 0′ · Substitute
32
Ian Murphy
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
15
Pedro Soma
MID · 0′ · Substitute
3
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
14
Bryan Zamblé
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
FC Dallas
42
Daniel
GK · 19′
7.3
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
DEF · 79′
7.3
3
Osaze Urhoghide
DEF · 92′
7.2
40
Jonathan Sirois
GK · 73′ · Substitute
7
6
Ran Binyamin
MID · 61′
6.9
9
Petar Musa
FWD · 92′
6.9
12
Christian Cappis
MID · 92′
6.7
77
Bernard Kamungo
FWD · 47′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.7
10
Santiago Moreno
FWD · 31′ · Substitute
6.7
18
Shaq Moore C
DEF · 92′
6.6
55
Kaick
MID · 92′
6.5
23
Logan Farrington
FWD · 13′ · Substitute
6.5
21
Joaquín Valiente
MID · 45′
6.3
8
Patrickson Delgado
MID · 61′
6.3
32
Nolan Norris
DEF · 92′
6.2
11
Anderson Julio
FWD · 31′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.2
5
Lalas Abubakar
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
14
Herman Johansson
MID · 0′ · Substitute
27
Caleb Swann
MID · 0′ · Substitute
28
Sam Sarver
FWD · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
42% Shot Accuracy
90% Pass Accuracy
73% Possession
San Diego FC Dallas
1.56Expected Goals (xG)0.33
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
19Shots5
8Shots on Target1
3Shots off Target2
9Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots2
795Passes285
719Accurate Passes214
7Corners4
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper saves7
14Tackles14
6Interceptions13
2Blocks (defensive)8
30Duels Won32
10Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
20% Shot Accuracy
75% Pass Accuracy
27% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
San Diego
Onni Valakari
6
Anders Dreyer
4
Oscar Verhoeven
1
Manu Duah
1
Kieran Sargeant
1
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
1
FC Dallas
Kaick
1
Ran Binyamin
1
Petar Musa
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Western Conference
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 161033 +2133
2 Los Angeles FC 181035 +1633
3 San Jose Earthquakes 171034 +1533
4 Real Salt Lake 16826 +426
5 Houston Dynamo 16826 −126
6 FC Dallas 17755 +726
7 St. Louis City 17746 +025
8 Seattle Sounders 16736 −124
9 Minnesota United FC 17656 −523
10 Portland Timbers 17638 −121
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18567 −521
12 San Diego 17557 +320
13 Colorado Rapids 176110 +119
14 Austin 17458 −1317
15 Sporting Kansas City 174211 −2614
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