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📝 Match Recap AI

# San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

San Jose's pre-match dominance prediction failed to materialize as Los Angeles struck first through Joseph Paintsil's clinical finish in the thirteenth minute. The Earthquakes fought back and eventually equalized through Reid Roberts in the sixty-second minute, setting up a tense finale that saw both sides search for a winner. The draw proved somewhat unexpected given the model's strong backing for a San Jose victory, though the result reflected a competitive encounter that neither team could fully control.

Paintsil's early goal and influential performance, highlighted by his team-leading eight point three rating, kept Los Angeles competitive despite their underdog status. Roberts matched him in impact with an eight point two rating and the crucial leveling goal, while Timo Werner's missed penalty in the ninetieth minute proved costly as San Jose squandered a chance to claim the win they had predicted to achieve. Ultimately, the stalemate left both teams with a point in what proved to be an evenly contested affair.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/26 · 02:30
Round
Round 17
Stadium
Stanford Stadium — Stanford
Referee
Armando Villarrea
🩹 Absences & Injuries API-Football
San Jose Earthquakes 12
N. Adimabua
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
E. Edwards
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
D. Jones
🩹 Achilles tendon
Ruled Out
P. Judd
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
N. Tsakiris
🩹 Groin injury
Ruled Out
R. Vieira
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
N. Adimabua
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
E. Edwards
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
D. Jones
🩹 Achilles tendon
Ruled Out
P. Judd
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
N. Tsakiris
🩹 Groin injury
Ruled Out
R. Vieira
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Los Angeles Galaxy 10
C. Garces
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
J. Glesnes
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Joao Klauss
🩹 Foot injury
Ruled Out
R. Puig
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
E. Thommy
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
C. Garces
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
J. Glesnes
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
Joao Klauss
🩹 Foot injury
Ruled Out
R. Puig
🩹 Knee injury
Ruled Out
E. Thommy
🩹 Injury
Ruled Out
AI predictionExpected goals 2.0 : 1.2
🧠 The model favours San Jose Earthquakes at 55%, with expected goals 2-1, and the likeliest scorer is P. Judd (47%).
San Jose Earthquakes 55% Draw 22% Los Angeles Galaxy 23%
San Jose Earthquakes 0% Draw 0% Los Angeles Galaxy 0%
0 votes
Confidence 91% High confidence
📉 Poor form San Jose Earthquakes 🚑 Key absences San Jose Earthquakes 🚑 Key absences Los Angeles Galaxy 🤝 H2H advantage Los Angeles Galaxy ⚽ Goals expected
Most likely score 1 - 1 10%
Both teams to score 60% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Over 62%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Win Probability
100%
San Jose Earthquakes 0% Draw 100% Los Angeles Galaxy 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
P. Judd
🏠 San Jose Earthquakes
47%
Gabriel Pec
✈️ Los Angeles Galaxy
26%
Team comparison API-Football
San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles Galaxy
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
50%
Team strength
29%
H2H
50%Strength50%
62%Attacking strength38%
45%Defensive strength55%
57%Poisson distribution43%
29%Head-to-head71%
38%Expected goals63%
50%
Team strength
71%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Double chance : draw or Los Angeles Galaxy
Head-to-head Last 10
1San Jose Earthquakes win
2Draw
7Los Angeles Galaxy win
2025/06/29 San Jose Earthquakes 1 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
2025/05/29 Los Angeles Galaxy 0 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
2024/08/01 San Jose Earthquakes 1 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
2024/06/30 San Jose Earthquakes 0 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
2024/04/22 Los Angeles Galaxy 4 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
2024/03/03 San Jose Earthquakes 1 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
2023/08/31 San Jose Earthquakes 2 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
2023/07/02 San Jose Earthquakes 2 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
2023/05/15 Los Angeles Galaxy 2 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
2022/09/25 San Jose Earthquakes 2 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
Key events
J. PaintsilAssists M. Reus
goals
13'
🔄I. HarkesJ. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
Substitution
20'
🟨L. Sanabria
Yellow Card
43'
🟨J. Aude
Yellow Card
45+3'
🔄E. WynderR. Taylor
Substitution
60'
🔄J. NelsonJ. Aude
Substitution
60'
R. Roberts
goals
62'
🔄P. MarieN. Fernandez
Substitution
73'
🔄D. JohnsonJ. Skahan
Substitution
73'
🟨B. Leroux
Yellow Card
80'
🟨I. Harkes
Yellow Card
81'
🔄I. ParenteL. Sanabria
Substitution
82'
🟨J. Ricketts
Yellow Card
90'
T. WernerAssists T. Werner
goals
90+5'
Lineup
1
Angus Gunn 7.3
2
Jamar Ricketts 6.9
18
Reid Roberts 8.2
5
Daniel Munie 6.3
28
Benjamin Kikanović 6.2
34
Beau Leroux 7.3
40
Jonathan Gonzalez 6.7
11
Timo Werner 7.6
20
Nick Fernandez 6.9
16
Jack Skahan 6
7
Ousseni Bouda 7.3
12
JT Marcinkowski 7.3
3
Julián Aude 6.5
15
Justin Haak 7.3
4
Maya Yoshida 6.2
2
Miki Yamane 6.3
21
Robert Taylor 6.6
8
Lucas Sanabria 7
6
Edwin Cerrillo 7.5
26
Harbor Miller 6.7
18
Marco Reus 7.3
28
Joseph Paintsil 8.3
Player rating API-Football
San Jose Earthquakes
18
Reid Roberts
DEF · 96′ · ⚽1
8.2
11
Timo Werner C
MID · 96′
7.6
1
Angus Gunn
GK · 96′
7.3
34
Beau Leroux
MID · 96′ · 🟨
7.3
7
Ousseni Bouda
FWD · 96′
7.3
2
Jamar Ricketts
DEF · 96′ · 🟨
6.9
20
Nick Fernandez
MID · 73′
6.9
6
Ian Harkes
MID · 76′ · 🟨 · Substitute
6.9
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
MID · 20′
6.7
79
Darius Johnson
FWD · 23′ · Substitute
6.6
3
Paul Marie
DEF · 23′ · Substitute
6.6
5
Daniel Munie
DEF · 96′
6.3
28
Benjamin Kikanović
DEF · 96′
6.2
16
Jack Skahan
MID · 73′
6
31
Francesco Montali
GK · 0′ · Substitute
4
Dave Romney
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
25
Max Floriani
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
17
Jack Jasinski
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
21
Noel Buck
MID · 0′ · Substitute
87
Vitor Costa
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
Los Angeles Galaxy
28
Joseph Paintsil
FWD · 96′ · ⚽1
8.3
6
Edwin Cerrillo
MID · 96′
7.5
12
JT Marcinkowski
GK · 96′
7.3
15
Justin Haak
DEF · 96′
7.3
18
Marco Reus
FWD · 96′ · 🅰️1
7.3
8
Lucas Sanabria
MID · 82′ · 🟨
7
26
Harbor Miller
MID · 96′
6.7
21
Robert Taylor
MID · 60′
6.6
3
Julián Aude
DEF · 60′ · 🟨
6.5
16
Isaiah Parente
MID · 14′ · Substitute
6.5
2
Miki Yamane
DEF · 96′
6.3
22
Elijah Wynder
MID · 36′ · Substitute
6.3
4
Maya Yoshida C
DEF · 96′
6.2
14
John Nelson
DEF · 36′ · Substitute
6.2
1
Novak Mićović
GK · 0′ · Substitute
20
Chris Rindov
DEF · 0′ · Substitute
60
Sebastian Hernandez
MID · 0′ · Substitute
76
Troy Elgersma
MID · 0′ · Substitute
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Match statistics
28% Shot Accuracy
83% Pass Accuracy
58% Possession
San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles Galaxy
3.04Expected Goals (xG)1.28
The quality of chances each team created — how many goals it "deserved" based on the danger of its shots.
18Shots9
5Shots on Target2
10Shots off Target3
15Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots4
452Passes336
375Accurate Passes252
5Corners6
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper saves3
13Tackles13
8Interceptions17
4Blocks (defensive)3
48Duels Won49
14Fouls16
3Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
22% Shot Accuracy
75% Pass Accuracy
42% Possession
Chance Creators (Key Passes) API-Football
San Jose Earthquakes
Timo Werner
4
Beau Leroux
3
Nick Fernandez
1
Ousseni Bouda
1
Darius Johnson
1
Los Angeles Galaxy
Marco Reus
3
Harbor Miller
2
Justin Haak
1
Edwin Cerrillo
1
Lucas Sanabria
1
Joseph Paintsil
1
Key passes = a pass leading directly to a teammate's shot (the available proxy for expected assists / xA).
Standings
Western Conference
#TeamPWDL+/−Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 161033 +2133
2 Los Angeles FC 181035 +1633
3 San Jose Earthquakes 171034 +1533
4 Real Salt Lake 16826 +426
5 Houston Dynamo 16826 −126
6 FC Dallas 17755 +726
7 St. Louis City 17746 +025
8 Seattle Sounders 16736 −124
9 Minnesota United FC 17656 −523
10 Portland Timbers 17638 −121
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18567 −521
12 San Diego 17557 +320
13 Colorado Rapids 176110 +119
14 Austin 17458 −1317
15 Sporting Kansas City 174211 −2614
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