The match between FC Lugano and Dukagjini in the Conference League ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for FC Lugano, courtesy of a goal from R. Steffen in the 31st minute. This result was largely in line with pre-match predictions, which gave FC Lugano a 40% chance of winning. The decisive moment came when Steffen found the back of the net, giving his team the lead they would hold onto for the remainder of the game. FC Lugano's players stood out, particularly Renato Steffen, who received an impressive rating of 8.7 for his performance.

The win was also influenced by the discipline of the teams, with Dukagjini's A. Rexhaj receiving a red card in the 88th minute, which did not significantly impact the outcome given the late stage of the game. Anto Grgić and Uran Bislimi also had notable performances for FC Lugano, with ratings of 8.3 and 8.2, respectively. Overall, the result was not a major surprise, given the pre-match expectations, and FC Lugano's victory was a testament to their slightly higher chances of winning as predicted by the model.