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Finished · Champions League
📝 Match Recap AI

# Omonia Nicosia Edges Past Kairat Almaty in Tight European Clash

Omonia Nicosia secured a narrow but crucial victory over Kairat Almaty, winning one-nil in a European competition match decided by an early strike from P. Andreou in the thirteenth minute. The Cypriot side's task became considerably more difficult when Loic Négo was sent off just twenty-one minutes later, forcing them to defend their slender advantage with ten men for the majority of the encounter. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Omonia held firm to claim all three points in what proved to be a testing defensive display.

The result aligned closely with the pre-match prediction, which favored Omonia with a forty percent win probability over Kairat's thirty-three percent, suggesting this outcome was anticipated by the model though hardly a dominant performance. Andreou's early goal combined with Omonia's resilience following Négo's red card proved decisive, though the manner of victory underlined that this was far from a commanding display by the hosts. The win advances Omonia's European campaign despite the significant tactical challenge they faced for most of the second half.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/22 · 17:00
Round
Qualifiers · Round 2
Stadium
GSP Stadium — Nicosia
Referee
Gustavo Correia
TV channels
beIN Sports 1
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Omonia Nicosia at 40%.
🤖 AI won
Omonia Nicosia 40% Draw 27% Kairat Almaty 33%
Omonia Nicosia 0% Draw 0% Kairat Almaty 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Omonia Nicosia 100% Draw 0% Kairat Almaty 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Team comparison API-Football
Omonia Nicosia Kairat Almaty
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
0%
Team strength
50%
H2H
0%Strength100%
0%Attacking strength100%
100%Defensive strength0%
0%Poisson distribution0%
50%Head-to-head50%
0%Expected goals0%
100%
Team strength
50%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: No predictions available
Head-to-head Last 2
0Omonia Nicosia win
2Draw
0Kairat Almaty win
2021/12/09 Omonia Nicosia 0 : 0 Kairat Almaty
2021/09/16 Kairat Almaty 0 : 0 Omonia Nicosia
Key events
P. Andreou
goals
13'
🟥Loic Négo
Red Card
34'
🔄S. SimicM. Tankovic
Substitution
36'
🔄M. MayambelaJ. Montnor
Substitution
46'
🔄EdmilsonA. Sadybekov
Substitution
46'
🟨Andronikos Kakoullis
Yellow Card
56'
🟨Jorginho
Yellow Card
56'
🟨Edmilson
Yellow Card
56'
🔄I. BekbolatE. Tapalov
Substitution
58'
🔄L. KurginO. Jukkola
Substitution
68'
🔄A. NeofytouA. Kakoullis
Substitution
69'
🔄I. KousoulosP. Andreou
Substitution
77'
🔄A. TuyakbaevL. Mata
Substitution
83'
🔄G. MendonsaM. Gual
Substitution
83'
🟨Aleksandr Martynovich
Yellow Card
90+7'
Lineup
40
Fabiano
29
Jure Balkovec
30
Nikolas Panagiotou
5
Senou Coulibaly
77
Loic Négo
74
Panagiotis Andreou
22
Muamer Tanković
14
Mateo Marić
7
Jaden Montnor
9
Andronikos Kakoullis
11
Ewandro Costa
1
Temirlan Anarbekov
3
Luís Mata
44
Lucas Áfrico
14
Aleksandr Martynovich
20
Erkin Tapalov
13
Jaakko Oksanen
6
Adilet Sadybekov
19
Oiva Jukkola
7
Jorginho
24
Aleksandr Mrynskiy
28
Marc Gual
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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