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📝 Match Recap AI

# Shamrock Rovers Edge Past Ararat-Armenia in Tight European Contest

Shamrock Rovers secured a narrow two-one victory over Armenian visitors Ararat-Armenia in a competitive European Cup tie that saw the Irish side establish early dominance. The hosts took control through Michael Healy's eleventh-minute opener before doubling their advantage through Alan Greene in the thirty-sixth minute, effectively deciding the contest in the first half. Despite their commanding position, Rovers could not add to their tally and allowed Sandro Lima to pull one back in the seventy-third minute, setting up an anxious final stretch.

The result proved slightly more decisive than the pre-match modeling suggested, with Shamrock Rovers' forty percent win probability materializing despite Ararat-Armenia's late resurgence. The Irish side's clinical finishing in the opening forty-five minutes proved the difference, as they converted chances when it mattered most and ultimately held firm to secure the three points despite the visitors' second-half pressure.

Match info
Status
Finished
Date
2026/07/28 · 19:00
Round
Qualifiers · Round 2
Stadium
Tallaght Stadium — Dublin
Referee
Samuel Barrott
TV channels
beIN Sports 1
AI prediction
🧠 The model favours Shamrock Rovers at 40%, and the likeliest scorer is D. Watts (19%).
🤖 AI won
Shamrock Rovers 40% Draw 27% Ararat-Armenia 33%
Shamrock Rovers 0% Draw 0% Ararat-Armenia 0%
0 votes
Confidence 25% Low confidence
Win Probability
100%
Shamrock Rovers 100% Draw 0% Ararat-Armenia 0%
75% 50%
0'Half-time 45'90'
Momentum Balanced
Live Poisson model from score, time and expected goals — for insight only. Hover any minute.
Scorer prediction AI
D. Watts
🏠 Shamrock Rovers
19%
J. Byrne
🏠 Shamrock Rovers
19%
G. Burke
🏠 Shamrock Rovers
19%
Z. Shaghoyan
✈️ Ararat-Armenia
17%
Sandro Lima
✈️ Ararat-Armenia
17%
Team comparison API-Football
Shamrock Rovers Ararat-Armenia
Strength Attack Defense Poisson H2H Goals
33%
Team strength
0%
H2H
33%Strength67%
45%Attacking strength55%
38%Defensive strength63%
85%Poisson distribution15%
0%Head-to-head100%
0%Expected goals100%
67%
Team strength
100%
H2H
💡 Analysis tip: Combo Double chance : draw or Ararat-Armenia and +2.5 goals
Head-to-head Last 1
0Shamrock Rovers win
0Draw
1Ararat-Armenia win
2026/07/21 Ararat-Armenia 2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
Key events
M. HealyAssists A. Greene
goals
11'
A. GreeneAssists J. Byrne
goals
36'
🟨Junior Julio
Yellow Card
50'
🟨R. Lopes
Yellow Card
58'
🔄Franca CarlosA. Serobyan
Substitution
72'
Sandro Lima
goals
73'
🔄J. AfolabiA. Greene
Substitution
77'
🔄E. StevensJ. Mulraney
Substitution
77'
🟨B. R. Wilson Valdez
Yellow Card
81'
🟨Franca Carlos
Yellow Card
82'
🔄Z. ShaghoyanZ. Banjaqui
Substitution
84'
🔄M. AyvazyanM. Carlier
Substitution
84'
🔄D. MandroiuL. Grace
Substitution
85'
🔄N. RaziD. Watts
Substitution
85'
🔄M. NoonanG. Burke
Substitution
88'
🔄A. NdourSandro Lima
Substitution
90+4'
🔄Luis FelipeH. Oliveira
Substitution
90+4'
Lineup
1
Ed McGinty
5
Lee Grace
4
Pico
11
Jake Mulraney
19
Adam Brennan
29
Jack Byrne
8
Matthew Healy
7
Dylan Watts
22
Tunmise Sobowale
10
Graham Burke
9
Aaron Greene
98
João Bravim
47
Alexandros Malis
43
Bruno Wilson
3
Junior Julio
16
Edgar Grigoryan
19
Karen Muradyan
17
Maxence Carlier
2
Hugo Oliveira
11
Zidane Banjaqui
91
Sandro Lima
77
Artur Serobyan
Live commentary AI
Preparing…
Standings
No standings table for this competition (it may be a knockout format).
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